37 Main St · East Glenville, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated, affordable, and located in the Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake School District--this 3-bedroom home is a great find under $300K. With a flexible layout and thoughtful updates throughout, it's truly move-in ready. The main level features a bright, comfortable living space along with an updated kitchen offering modern finishes and plenty of room to cook and gather. You'll also find a first-floor bedroom and a full bathroom, making it ideal for guests, one-level living, or a convenient home office setup. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms and a half bath, creating a practical separation of space while still keeping everything functional and efficient. Recent updates give the home a clean, refreshed feel while maintaining its original character. Outside, the yard offers just enough space to enjoy without a ton of maintenance--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home combines value, location, and updates in a price range that's getting harder to find.
Key facts
- Bright living space
- Half bath
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $272k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.5% in East Glenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, crime D+.
- Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 590 in NY (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $235k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.47%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $426,276
- List price
- $279,900
- Delta
- -34.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Buell Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,539 (-2%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $250 | 58 |
| 36 Buell Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,509 (-4%) | 9mo | $371,000 | $246 | 52 |
| 30 Eastside Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 14 Old Schauber Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,814 (+15%) | 7mo | $651,000 | $359 | 47 |
| 3 Jacob St | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,702 (+8%) | 18mo | $353,000 | $207 | 47 |
| 106 Eastside Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+8%) | 19mo | $382,500 | $225 | 42 |
| 19 Buell Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,463 (-7%) | 23mo | $360,000 | $246 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-22,513
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $10,070
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12019
- Home prices YoY
- -22.7%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$428 /mo · $5,140/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $516 | -5% $436 | +0% $357 | +5% $278 | +10% $199 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $120 | -5% $239 | +0% $357 | +5% $476 | +10% $594 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $498 | -0.5pp $428 | base $357 | +0.5pp $285 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1109 Ballston Lake Rd Unit 2 Ballston Lake, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $3,000 | $1.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 1053-char remark
Show marketing remark (1053 chars)
Updated, affordable, and located in the Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake School District--this 3-bedroom home is a great find under $300K. With a flexible layout and thoughtful updates throughout, it's truly move-in ready. The main level features a bright, comfortable living space along with an updated kitchen offering modern finishes and plenty of room to cook and gather. You'll also find a first-floor bedroom and a full bathroom, making it ideal for guests, one-level living, or a convenient home office setup. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms and a half bath, creating a practical separation of space while still keeping everything functional and efficient. Recent updates give the home a clean, refreshed feel while maintaining its original character. Outside, the yard offers just enough space to enjoy without a ton of maintenance--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home combines value, location, and updates in a price range that's getting harder to find.
-
2026-03-19$279,900 Active 1053-char remark
Show marketing remark (1053 chars)
Updated, affordable, and located in the Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake School District--this 3-bedroom home is a great find under $300K. With a flexible layout and thoughtful updates throughout, it's truly move-in ready. The main level features a bright, comfortable living space along with an updated kitchen offering modern finishes and plenty of room to cook and gather. You'll also find a first-floor bedroom and a full bathroom, making it ideal for guests, one-level living, or a convenient home office setup. Upstairs, there are two additional bedrooms and a half bath, creating a practical separation of space while still keeping everything functional and efficient. Recent updates give the home a clean, refreshed feel while maintaining its original character. Outside, the yard offers just enough space to enjoy without a ton of maintenance--perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and major routes, this home combines value, location, and updates in a price range that's getting harder to find.
-
2024-10-03historical
-
2024-09-21price $279,900
-
2024-09-03$299,000 Active
-
2022-02-03soldstatus $235,000
-
2022-01-20soldstatus $235,000 Closed
-
2021-12-14status Pending
-
2021-10-28status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2021-10-11price $235,000
-
2021-10-01status Back On Market
-
2021-09-20price $230,000
-
2021-09-20status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2021-09-19price $240,000
-
2021-08-26$240,000 New
-
2020-10-07soldstatus $75,000
-
2020-09-30soldstatus $75,000 Closed (Final Sale)
-
2020-08-17status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2020-08-05price $95,000
-
2020-07-22status Back On Market
-
2020-07-03status Pend (Under Cntr)
-
2020-06-12$159,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,140 · $428/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,140 · $428/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$5,140
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,880
- − Management
- −$2,880
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$29
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605940
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,256
- Composite
- 60.89/100
- National rank
- #813
- State rank
- #137 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Glenville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #535
- US rank
- #9653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 610
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,683
Population outlook (Saratoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 238,889 people
- By 2030
- 243,681 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 249,118 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 248,638 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 241,675 · +1.2%
- By 2100
- 213,150 · -10.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 4% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Saratoga
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 49.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.6pp toward R · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.8 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.02%
- Current HPI
- 334.4925
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+76.0% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $279,900 Global MLS
- 2024-10-03 Listing Removed — Global MLS
- 2024-09-21 Price Changed $279,900 Global MLS
- 2024-09-03 Listed $299,000 Global MLS
- 2022-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-20 Sold (MLS) $235,000 Global MLS
- 2021-12-14 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-10-28 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-10-11 Price Changed $235,000 Global MLS
- 2021-10-01 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2021-09-20 Price Changed $230,000 Global MLS
- 2021-09-20 Pending — Global MLS
- 2021-09-19 Price Changed $240,000 Global MLS
- 2021-08-26 Listed $240,000 Global MLS
- 2020-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-30 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Global MLS
- 2020-08-17 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-08-05 Price Changed $95,000 Global MLS
- 2020-07-22 Relisted — Global MLS
- 2020-07-03 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-06-12 Listed $159,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2025): $5,140 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…