1328 Niles Ave · Kinsley, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Attic space
- Private well
- Updated windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.96 acres (dimensions roughly 150 x 280); Zoning: NC.1 / R-1
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water available: public, well, or private
- Home design: Residential property
- Construction: Stucco exterior
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Interior features: Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-445/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $30k (15.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($799 rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $30k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#183 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Kinsley-Offerle (rural): math 30% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #172 of 280 in KS (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kinsley-Offerle Elementary Pre-K-5 (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #165 of 684 statewide, top 28%, 139 students, 57% FRL); Kinsley Jr/Sr High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 157 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $826 of equity ($242 loan paydown + $584 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Edwards County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $3k; list at $35k implies a 1067% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.69%
- DSCR
- 3.12
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-271
- Equity at exit
- $13,184
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $5,880
- Equity at exit
- $18,519
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67547
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $799 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $-37
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-13 | -5% $-25 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-49 | +10% $-61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-100 | -5% $-69 | +0% $-37 | +5% $-6 | +10% $26 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-19 | -0.5pp $-28 | base $-37 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $35,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $35,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $35,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $35,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $35,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-21$35,000 Active
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $3,000
-
2001-08-01soldstatus $3,000
-
1995-04-01soldstatus
-
1995-04-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$5,294
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$767
- − Management
- −$767
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable loss
- −$742
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$178
- After-tax cash flow
- $-267/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kinsley-Offerle
- NCES district ID
- 2008100
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,157
- Composite
- 28.38/100
- National rank
- #12126
- State rank
- #172 of 280 in KS
Livability — Kinsley
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #183
- US rank
- #8396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kinsley, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,658
Population outlook (Edwards County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,909 people
- By 2030
- 2,871 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 2,800 · -3.7%
- By 2050
- 2,738 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 2,702 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 2,512 · -13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 13%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Edwards
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.3) · D 16.8% · R 82.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -48.8pp · 2024: -65.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.3 2020: R+60.9 2016: R+63.1 2012: R+55.5 2008: R+48.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Current HPI
- 178.0256
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+1066.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $35,000 Hays MLS
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records
- 2001-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $3,000 Public Records
- 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…