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328 North Rd
A- Composite 81.34
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,999

328 North Rd · Poestenkill, NY 12018
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,332 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1870 1.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at 328 North Rd in Averill Park! Situated on a spacious country lot with peaceful surroundings, this fixer-upper is ideal for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build sweat equity. Home offers endless potential with solid footprint, rural charm, and room to customize to your vision. Conveniently located near local lakes, outdoor recreation, schools, and an easy commute to the Capital Region. Bring your tools and imagination -- restore, renovate, or reimagine this property into something truly special. Property sold as-is. Great potential for renovation, rental income, or long-term investment in desirable Averill Park.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Solid footprint
  • Rural charm

Tags

SPACIOUS COUNTRY LOTPEACEFUL SURROUNDINGSSOLID FOOTPRINTRURAL CHARMLOCAL LAKESOUTDOOR RECREATION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with space for 8 vehicles
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Cedar construction
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Level, wooded lot with road frontage; 1.33-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms — three on the first floor and one on the second floor; Two additional bedrooms on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms — one on the first floor and one on the second floor
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Pellet stove
  • Interior features: Partial, unfinished walk-out basement; 9 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in a bathroom on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.9% vs local median 2.1% in Poestenkill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#798 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Averill Park Central School District (rural): math 58% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #169 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Averill Park High School (math 97% / reading 98%, grade A+, #49 of 1,100 statewide, top 5%, 897 students, 25% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 97% at this address vs 64% district-wide (+34 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Averill Park Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,874 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.78%
Cap rate
30.89%
Cash-on-cash
87.83%
DSCR
4.91
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
97.1%
Equity multiple
7.61×
Total profit
$138,894
Equity at exit
$67,565
10-year hold
IRR
92.3%
Equity multiple
16.83×
Total profit
$332,344
Equity at exit
$145,707

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12018

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,832 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$276 /mo · $3,306/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$595
Net cashflow
$1,537

Break-even live

Break-even rent $886
Max offer price $74,999
Occupancy floor 41%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,999 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,999 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,999 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    price $74,999 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,999 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,999 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,999 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,999 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,999 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,999 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,999 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,999 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,999 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,999 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-29
    listed $89,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,306 · $276/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,306 · $276/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,981
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$3,306
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,718
− Management
−$2,718
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$18,480
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,435
After-tax cash flow
$14,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Averill Park Central School District
NCES district ID
3600016
Math proficiency
58% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$81,340
Composite
56.94/100
National rank
#1113
State rank
#169 of 590 in NY

Livability — Poestenkill

Score
63/100
State rank
#798
US rank
#15428

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime D Employment A+ Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
1,526
Population (ZIP)
7,069

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.43%
Current HPI
263.2196
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $89,999 Global MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,306 · -27.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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