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305 Third St
B- Composite 65.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0

$255,000

305 Third St · Center Point, TX 78010
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,458 sqft · SingleFamily · 249 Days on market
Built 1975 Good condition 0.30 ac lot $175/sqft · at area comps Est $252k · at est. ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Center Point. Located on a corner lot with low traffic, this is an affordable home, perfect for first time buyers, retirees, or a family with kids. .. it's within walking distance to Center Point schools! There's a storage shed at the back corner of the 1/3 acre lot and a little cabin style playhouse out back. There have been several updates completed in 2025; fresh interior paint, new carpet in bedrooms, new roof, new water heater, and a new air handler. Make an appointment today and make this your new home.

Key facts

  • New carpet
  • Storage shed
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

CORNER LOTWALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSSTORAGE SHEDCABIN STYLE PLAYHOUSEFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW CARPET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
  • Recommended offer: $224k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.9% in Center Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Center Point ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #359 of 826 in TX (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 422 units permitted in Kerr County in 2024 (322 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
  • Kerr County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $71k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.18%
Cash-on-cash
10.30%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,611
List price
$255,000
Delta
1.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.4%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$45,258
Equity at exit
$88,544
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$139,487
Equity at exit
$118,828

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78010

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,007 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax est. 1.5%
$319 /mo · $3,825/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$631
Net cashflow
$613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,231
Max offer price $255,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $789 -5% $701 +0% $613 +5% $525 +10% $437
Rent -10% $375 -5% $494 +0% $613 +5% $732 +10% $851
Rate -1.0pp $741 -0.5pp $678 base $613 +0.5pp $547 +1.0pp $480

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $255,000 Active 249 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $255,000 Active 248 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $255,000 Active 247 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $255,000 Active 246 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $255,000 Active 245 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $255,000 Active 243 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $255,000 Active 242 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $255,000 Active 239 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $255,000 Active 238 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $255,000 Active 237 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $255,000 Active 234 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 233 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $255,000 Active 232 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $255,000 Active 231 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 230 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $255,000 Active 229 DOM
  17. 2026-04-13
    price $255,000 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Center Point. Located on a corner lot with low traffic, this is an affordable home, perfect for first time buyers, retirees, or a family with kids. .. it's within walking distance to Center Point schools! There's a storage shed at the back corner of the 1/3 acre lot and a little cabin style playhouse out back. There have been several updates completed in 2025; fresh interior paint, new carpet in bedrooms, new roof, new water heater, and a new air handler. Make an appointment today and make this your new home.

  18. 2025-12-01
    price $259,900 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Center Point. Located on a corner lot with low traffic, this is an affordable home, perfect for first time buyers, retirees, or a family with kids. .. it's within walking distance to Center Point schools! There's a storage shed at the back corner of the 1/3 acre lot and a little cabin style playhouse out back. There have been several updates completed in 2025; fresh interior paint, new carpet in bedrooms, new roof, new water heater, and a new air handler. Make an appointment today and make this your new home.

  19. 2025-10-13
    listed $268,000 Active 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    Check out this 3 bedroom, 2 bath home in Center Point. Located on a corner lot with low traffic, this is an affordable home, perfect for first time buyers, retirees, or a family with kids. .. it's within walking distance to Center Point schools! There's a storage shed at the back corner of the 1/3 acre lot and a little cabin style playhouse out back. There have been several updates completed in 2025; fresh interior paint, new carpet in bedrooms, new roof, new water heater, and a new air handler. Make an appointment today and make this your new home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,080
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$3,825
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,886
− Management
−$2,886
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable income
$3,505
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$841
After-tax cash flow
$6,515/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in Center Point, TX is in good condition with recent updates. It has a good roof, fresh paint, and a good exterior. The kitchen and bathrooms need some updates to modernize the space and add value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor kitchen cabinets — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom fixtures — slight wear
  • Minor kitchen countertops — slight wear
  • Minor bathroom flooring — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom fixtures · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
kitchen countertops · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
bathroom flooring · slight wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $2,000–12,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale new kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes kitchen and adds value
  • Resale new bathroom fixtures — modernizes bathroom and adds value
  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center Point ISD
NCES district ID
4813350
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$47,127
Composite
35.42/100
National rank
#4939
State rank
#359 of 826 in TX

Livability — Center Point

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Center Point, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,819

Population outlook (Kerr County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,010 people
By 2030
55,651 · +3.0%
By 2040
58,923 · +9.1%
By 2050
62,117 · +15.0%
By 2075
71,809 · +33.0%
By 2100
77,004 · +42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 26% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 30%

Political lean MEDSL · Kerr

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.4% · R 76.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -49.6pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+59.1 2008: R+49.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.11%
Current HPI
226.9684
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $255,000 KVMLS
  • 2025-12-01 Price Changed $259,900 KVMLS
  • 2025-10-13 Listed $268,000 KVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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