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39 Church St Multi-family
C Composite 57.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$420,000

39 Church St · Lebanon, NH 03766
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,862 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1860 9,583 sqft lot Est $391k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT 2 FAMILY, WALK TO TOWN. UPSTAIRS VACANT SO COUND BE OWNER OCCUPIED AND HAVE RENT TO HELP WITH MORTGAGE OR GOOD INVESTMENT WITH MOST UPDATING ALREADY DONE. OWNER IS A NH LICENCED REAL ESTATE AGENT.

Key facts

  • Downtown amenities
  • One-car garage
  • Two-unit multifamily

Tags

TWO-UNIT MULTIFAMILYONE-CAR GARAGEFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANGENEROUS BEDROOM COUNTDOWNTOWN AMENITIESI-89

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total finished area reported as 1862
  • Financial info: Operating expenses include insurance, maintenance, snow removal, trash, and water/sewer; Property configured as two rental units with annual leases

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (1-car garage capacity)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Multi-family building; Existing structure; Built in 1860
  • Construction: Wood frame construction; Slate roof; Built in 1860
  • Exterior features: Level lot in town; Gravel driveway; Public road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Water heater (gas)
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (Unit 1 on level 1, Unit 2 on level 2)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Direct vent heating; Hot water heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Basement present with interior access; Basement is partial with dirt floor
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities include public water and public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $420k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $757 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 2.6% in Lebanon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#59 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lebanon School District (town): math 48% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in NH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lebanon Middle School (math 41% / reading 59%, grade C, #22 of 96 statewide, top 23%, 471 students, 25% FRL); Lebanon High School (math 62% / reading 67%, grade B-, #14 of 90 statewide, top 17%, 598 students, 15% FRL) — zoned schools at 20% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,894/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 488% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $420,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.29%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$391,020
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
24 Parkhurst St 0.37mi 4/3.0 1,674 (-10%) 10mo $352,000 $210 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-1,254
Equity at exit
$62,623
10-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$143,006
Equity at exit
$36,314

Cash invested: $117,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03766

Home prices YoY
-10.6%
Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
14.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,894 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,203
Tax from tax record
$676 /mo · $8,110/yr
Insurance
$175
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,028
Net cashflow
$757

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,935
Max offer price $420,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $995 -5% $876 +0% $757 +5% $638 +10% $520
Rent -10% $371 -5% $564 +0% $757 +5% $951 +10% $1,144
Rate -1.0pp $969 -0.5pp $864 base $757 +0.5pp $649 +1.0pp $538

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $4,894

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$105,000
Closing costs
$12,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3 Kinne St Unit A Lebanon, NH 3.0 1.0 1400 $3,200 $2.29 45d 1 1.18mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $420,000 Pending 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $420,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $420,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $420,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    remarks 693-char remark
  6. 2026-06-09
    listed $420,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,110 · $676/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,633 · $719/mo
Expected delta
+$523/yr (+$44/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$58,728
− Mortgage interest
−$23,527
− Property taxes
−$8,110
− Insurance
−$2,766
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,698
− Management
−$4,698
− Depreciation
−$12,218
Taxable income
$2,710
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$650
After-tax cash flow
$8,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lebanon School District
NCES district ID
3304230
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$56,648
Composite
46.7/100
National rank
#2401
State rank
#26 of 98 in NH

Livability — Lebanon

Score
68/100
State rank
#59
US rank
#9879

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lebanon, NH
County
Grafton County · 11,195 people
City population
11,195
Metro
Lebanon, NH-VT
Population (ZIP)
11,195
Household income
$100,881
Rent vs Own
47.6% rent · 52.4% own
Severe rent burden
488.0

Population outlook (Grafton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,798 people
By 2030
87,131 · -1.9%
By 2040
82,000 · -7.7%
By 2050
77,064 · -13.2%
By 2075
68,769 · -22.6%
By 2100
61,631 · -30.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Asian 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Slovak 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
9% · China, Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Grafton

2024 margin
D (+19.9) · D 59.4% · R 39.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.8pp toward R · 2008: 27.7pp · 2024: 19.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.9 2020: D+24.6 2016: D+19.0 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+27.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.72%
Current HPI
368.6264
Rent YoY
▲ 6.60%
Metro
Lebanon, NH-VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+148.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $420,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2020-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
  • 2020-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $525,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-31 Sold (MLS) $189,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2004-01-12 Listed $189,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2003-09-25 Sold (MLS) $160,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2003-09-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2002-10-02 Listed $169,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2002-10-02 Listed $169,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,110 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…