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10110 Royal Oaks Dr
B Composite 72.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.3/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,000

10110 Royal Oaks Dr · Houston, TX 77016
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,465 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1960 6,581 sqft lot Est $173k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming brick home is turning heads for all the right reasons, opportunities like this don't come around often. Rental-ready, move-in ready, and investor-friendly, this property checks all the boxes whether you're looking for your next home or your next smart investment. A motivated seller means the timing couldn't be better. Don't let this golden opportunity slip away!

Key facts

  • 6,581 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story layout (rooms listed on first floor)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1960; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 14x16)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11x11); Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (each approx. 10x10)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Five total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shadydale El (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 631 students, 95% FRL); Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.34%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$172,870
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6219 Hesta Ln 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,436 (-2%) 7mo $169,000 $118 58
7203 Gore Dr 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,609 (+10%) 2mo $159,000 $99 58
7822 Laurel Gem Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,401 (-4%) 7mo $214,990 $153 57
6206 Antha St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,415 (-3%) 4mo $170,000 $120 52
10313 E Blades St 0.51mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,578 (+8%) 5mo $175,000 $111 52
7618 Boggess Rd 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,436 (-2%) 6mo $145,999 $102 52
10535 Hollyglen Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (-8%) 4mo $124,900 $93 50
7321 Wiley Rd 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,262 (-14%) 2mo $179,900 $143 46
7603 Caddo Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,356 (-7%) 6mo $106,000 $78 46
7630 Yoe St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (-11%) 2mo $239,000 $184 41
10618 Wolbrook St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,662 (+13%) 4mo $210,000 $126 36
6015 Langley Rd 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,245 (-15%) 2mo $95,000 $76 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$74,326
Equity at exit
$111,794
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$197,548
Equity at exit
$228,092

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77016

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,281
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 22 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 24d 1 0.21mi
7252 Parker Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 916 $1,650 $1.80 43d 1 0.31mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 222 Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 985 $700 $0.71 43d 1 0.44mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 43d 1 0.44mi
7201 Hallshire Dr Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 985 $740 $0.75 43d 1 0.44mi
7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1568 $1,850 $1.18 16d 1 0.46mi
7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1568 $1,850 $1.18 43d 1 0.46mi
10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,400 $1.11 20d 1 0.53mi
9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,900 $1.27 43d 1 0.75mi
9324 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1600 $1,900 $1.19 21d 1 0.79mi
9314 Sundown Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,695 $1.05 14d 1 0.80mi
10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1496 $3,782 $2.53 7d 1 0.92mi
9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1461 $1,875 $1.28 43d 1 0.99mi
10750 Nyla Spring St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,975 $1.32 18d 1 1.07mi
10474 Red Orchid Dr Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,875 $1.21 24d 1 1.12mi
9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,199 $1.34 1d 5 1.24mi
10708 Lavender Cotton Ln Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1406 $2,150 $1.53 43d 1 1.35mi
7119 Bywood St Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1150 $1,795 $1.56 43d 1 1.39mi
7601 Springdale St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1224 $1,200 $0.98 15d 1 1.42mi
8003 Alpine Bearberry Dr Houston, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1696 $2,000 $1.18 7d 1 1.43mi
6822 Leedale St Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 978 $1,500 $1.53 43d 1 1.47mi
7418 Bywood St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 24d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 378-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $139,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,698 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,698 · $225/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,983
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,519
− Management
−$1,519
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$723
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$174
After-tax cash flow
$2,683/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,841
Household income
$47,677
Rent vs Own
38.8% rent · 61.2% own
Severe rent burden
1297.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.65%
Current HPI
315.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 0.44%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $139,000 HARMLS
  • 2018-02-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,698 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…