10110 Royal Oaks Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.3/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming brick home is turning heads for all the right reasons, opportunities like this don't come around often. Rental-ready, move-in ready, and investor-friendly, this property checks all the boxes whether you're looking for your next home or your next smart investment. A motivated seller means the timing couldn't be better. Don't let this golden opportunity slip away!
Key facts
- 6,581 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 7 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story layout (rooms listed on first floor)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1960; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (approx. 14x16)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor (approx. 11x11); Two additional bedrooms on the first floor (each approx. 10x10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Shadydale El (math 11% / reading 20%, grade F, #3,990 of 4,322 statewide, top 93%, 631 students, 95% FRL); Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.7% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.34%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $172,870
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6219 Hesta Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,436 (-2%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $118 | 58 |
| 7203 Gore Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,609 (+10%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $99 | 58 |
| 7822 Laurel Gem Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,401 (-4%) | 7mo | $214,990 | $153 | 57 |
| 6206 Antha St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,415 (-3%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $120 | 52 |
| 10313 E Blades St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,578 (+8%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $111 | 52 |
| 7618 Boggess Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,436 (-2%) | 6mo | $145,999 | $102 | 52 |
| 10535 Hollyglen Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 4mo | $124,900 | $93 | 50 |
| 7321 Wiley Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-14%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $143 | 46 |
| 7603 Caddo Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,356 (-7%) | 6mo | $106,000 | $78 | 46 |
| 7630 Yoe St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-11%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $184 | 41 |
| 10618 Wolbrook St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,662 (+13%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $126 | 36 |
| 6015 Langley Rd | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,245 (-15%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $76 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $74,326
- Equity at exit
- $111,794
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.08×
- Total profit
- $197,548
- Equity at exit
- $228,092
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77016
- Home prices YoY
- 2.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,582 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $238
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7252 Parker Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 916 | $1,650 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 222 Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $700 | $0.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Unit 235 Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $850 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7201 Hallshire Dr Houston, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $740 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7325 Boggess Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9410 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 9324 Firnat St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9314 Sundown Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,695 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10314 Woodwick St Unit 1283919P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,782 | $2.53 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $1,875 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 10750 Nyla Spring St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 10474 Red Orchid Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1553 | $1,875 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,199 | $1.34 | 1d | 5 | 1.24mi |
| 10708 Lavender Cotton Ln Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,150 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7119 Bywood St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,795 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7601 Springdale St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,200 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 8003 Alpine Bearberry Dr Houston, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1696 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 7d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 6822 Leedale St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,500 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7418 Bywood St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 378-char remark
-
2026-06-13$139,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,698 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,698 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,983
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $723
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$174
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,683/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,841
- Household income
- $47,677
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1297.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (56%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 34%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 37%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Current HPI
- 315.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $139,000 HARMLS
- 2018-02-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,698 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…