216 Rogers St · Henderson, TX 75654

$187,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,853 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 770 Days on market

Built 1935 8,625 sqft lot $101/sqft · 24% below area Est $245k · 24% under ↓ 28% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +6.2/30.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +1.6/10.0
• DSCR +0.5/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

Key facts

• 8,625 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1935

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-344 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (32.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (34.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $123k (34.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 2.9% in Henderson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#408 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Henderson ISD (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #573 of 826 in TX (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: William E Wylie El (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,965 of 4,322 statewide, top 46%, 671 students, 66% FRL); Henderson Middle (math 29% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,015 of 1,662 statewide, top 62%, 785 students, 58% FRL); Henderson H S (math 39% / reading 53%, grade D-, #627 of 1,632 statewide, top 38%, 1,042 students, 60% FRL).
• Market conditions: 179 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Rusk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Rusk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 770 days — a 12% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $72k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $123,031 (34.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 770 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.66% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.88%
• DSCR: 0.65
• GRM: 12.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $244,614
• List price: $187,000
• Delta: -23.55%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1119 S Main St	0.31mi	3/2.0	1,652 (-11%)	8mo	$224,000	$136	60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 18.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.53×
• Total profit: $79,978
• Equity at exit: $168,464

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.4%
• Equity multiple: 5.83×
• Total profit: $252,810
• Equity at exit: $363,300

Cash invested: $52,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75654

• Home prices YoY: 7.8%
• Active inventory: 179
• Price-to-rent: 12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,230 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$981
• Tax from tax record: −$257 /mo · $3,087/yr
• Insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$258
• Net cashflow: $-344

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,666

Max offer price $126,258

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-238	-5% $-291	+0% $-344	+5% $-397	+10% $-450
Rent	-10% $-441	-5% $-392	+0% $-344	+5% $-295	+10% $-247
Rate	-1.0pp $-250	-0.5pp $-296	base $-344	+0.5pp $-392	+1.0pp $-442

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $46,750
• Closing costs: $5,610
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 25 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $187,000 Active 770 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $187,000 Active 769 DOM
3. 2026-06-15
   days on market $187,000 Active 768 DOM
4. 2026-06-14
   days on market $187,000 Active 766 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $187,000 Active 765 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $187,000 Active 763 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $187,000 Active 762 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $187,000 Active 761 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $187,000 Active 760 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $187,000 Active 755 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $187,000 Active 754 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $187,000 Active 753 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $187,000 Active 752 DOM
14. 2025-10-20
    price $187,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

15. 2025-10-20
    price $187,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

16. 2025-08-05
    price $200,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

17. 2025-08-05
    price $200,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

18. 2025-06-23
    price $220,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

19. 2025-06-23
    price $220,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

20. 2025-02-11
    price $240,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

21. 2025-02-11
    price $240,000 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

22. 2024-05-08
    listed $259,000 Active 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

23. 2024-05-08
    listed $259,000 Active 621-char remark

    Show marketing remark (621 chars)

    Welcome home to this beautifully updated gem! The exterior of this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence has been completely transformed with new siding, trim, windows, and a new roof, ensuring both curb appeal and durability for years to come. Inside, you'll find a spacious kitchen, complemented by a generous living area ideal for relaxation and gatherings. The laundry room offers ample storage space, adding practicality to the home's charm. Conveniently located near schools and the stadium. Don't miss out on the opportunity to make this property your own. Schedule a viewing today and discover all that it has to offer!

24. 1999-09-21
    soldstatus
25. 1969-11-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,087 · $257/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,422 · $285/mo
• Expected delta: +$335/yr (+$28/mo · 10.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $14,764
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,475
• − Property taxes: −$3,087
• − Insurance: −$935
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,181
• − Management: −$1,181
• − Depreciation: −$5,440
• Taxable loss: −$7,535
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,808
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Henderson ISD
• NCES district ID: 4822970
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $46,296
• Composite: 27.91/100
• National rank: #6868
• State rank: #573 of 826 in TX

Livability — Henderson

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #408
• US rank: #8434

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Henderson, TX
• Population (ZIP): 12,184

Population outlook (Rusk County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 52,498 people
• By 2030: 52,093 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 50,866 · -3.1%
• By 2050: 49,696 · -5.3%
• By 2075: 48,583 · -7.5%
• By 2100: 43,265 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16% Black 7%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Rusk

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+59.4) · D 20.0% · R 79.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -46.3pp · 2024: -59.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+59.4 2020: R+55.7 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+51.1 2008: R+46.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 28.83%
• Current HPI: 397.5
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-27.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2025-10-20 Price Changed $187,000 GTAR
• 2025-10-20 Price Changed $187,000 LAAR
• 2025-08-05 Price Changed $200,000 LAAR
• 2025-08-05 Price Changed $200,000 GTAR
• 2025-06-23 Price Changed $220,000 GTAR
• 2025-06-23 Price Changed $220,000 LAAR
• 2025-02-11 Price Changed $240,000 GTAR
• 2025-02-11 Price Changed $240,000 LAAR
• 2024-05-08 Listed $259,000 LAAR
• 2024-05-08 Listed $259,000 GTAR
• 1999-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1969-11-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+8.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,087 · +28.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.