17640 Corkill Rd #57 · Desert Edge, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to the cozy 55+ community of Corkill Palms. This home has 1232 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. Open floorplan with vaulted ceiling between the large eat in kitchen and living room. Appliances include Refrigerator, Gas Range and Dishwasher. Plus there is a washer and dryer located off the kitchen and side entrance door leading to the covered carport with room for 2 vehicles. Also, this home comes furnished as per MLS photos. There is a private deck off the living room with an above ground hot tub. However, the seller has never used the hot tub so it would need to be serviced. Relax in the Therapeutic Natural Mineral Springs at the Clubhouse or have some
Key facts
- Large eat in kitchen
- Vaulted ceiling
- Covered carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required to rent or purchase in the park
- Financial info: Site is in a senior park (Corkill Palms) with 82 units; Monthly park lease $540; Manager: Dee Lee
- HOA & community: Association clubhouse; Association pet rules apply; Gated community; Hot water provided
Exterior
- Parking: Carport attached; 2 total parking spaces (2 covered)
- Security: Gated community; Smoke detector; Carbon monoxide detector(s); Manager approval required for park
- Utilities: District/public water; Shared septic
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Double wide mobile home; Single-story; Faces north; Mobile home remains with property; Manufactured by Baron Homes Inc., model New Haven 2802 (44 x 24), manufactured May 12, 1988
- Construction: Vinyl skirting; Pier jacks foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Shed; Mountain view; Heated indoor community pool; Community spa (heated, in-ground)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Furnished; Living room entry; Awning windows; Vertical blinds; Mini blinds; Drapes/curtains; Covered patio
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer; In-unit dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#297 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D-, employment F.
- Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Julius Corsini Elementary (409 students, 98% FRL); Desert Springs Middle (803 students, 99% FRL); Desert Hot Springs High (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #532 of 1,170 statewide, top 48%, 1,742 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 73% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→10/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.24%
- DSCR
- 2.70
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,000
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- 35.72%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17640 Corkill Rd #27 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 7mo | $60,000 | $48 | 92 |
| 17640 Corkill #78 Rd | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (+1%) | 1mo | $69,999 | $56 | 92 |
| 17640 Corkill Rd #46 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-3%) | 8mo | $58,000 | $48 | 89 |
| 17640 Corkill Rd #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-14%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $52 | 70 |
| 17555 Corkill Rd #53 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-14%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $66 | 69 |
| 69525 Dillon Rd #88 | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (+1%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $144 | 69 |
| 17555 Corkill Rd | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+9%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $78 | 68 |
| 17625 Langlois Rd Spc 13 | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+9%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $48 | 64 |
| 18070 Langlois #206 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+2%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $148 | 64 |
| 18131 Langlois Rd Unit G-14 | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,104 (-10%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $50 | 47 |
| 16821 Lakeside Ct | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+11%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $124 | 43 |
| 69525 Dillon Rd #85 | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,050 (-15%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $113 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $38,616
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 41.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.88×
- Total profit
- $103,251
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92241
- Home prices YoY
- -22.8%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,904 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $848
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $913 | -5% $880 | +0% $848 | +5% $815 | +10% $782 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $697 | -5% $772 | +0% $848 | +5% $923 | +10% $998 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $895 | -0.5pp $872 | base $848 | +0.5pp $823 | +1.0pp $798 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd Dsrt Hot Spgs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,850 | $1.95 | 1d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18070 Langlois Rd #257 Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,850 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 70875 Dillon Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 720 | $2,200 | $3.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-04-27$95,000 Active 929-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥109°F today · 10 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,828
- − Management
- −$1,828
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $9,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,209
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 55+ community home is in good condition with minor repairs needed. It offers a good balance of curb appeal and interior updates that can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Slight wear visible on cabinet doors.
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Some wear visible on bathroom fixtures.
- Minor Landscaping — Some areas of landscaping could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance.
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with new cabinets can significantly increase the home's value.
- Rental Service hot tub — A functional hot tub can attract more renters and increase rental income.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Slight wear visible on cabinet doors. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Some wear visible on bathroom fixtures. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Landscaping · Some areas of landscaping could benefit from trimming and maintenance. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance. ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen with new cabinets can significantly increase the home's value. ↑
- Rental Service hot tub — A functional hot tub can attract more renters and increase rental income. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Springs Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629550
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,638
- Composite
- 26.76/100
- National rank
- #7131
- State rank
- #328 of 517 in CA
Livability — Desert Edge
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #9953
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Desert Edge, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,624
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 46% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 38% Chinese 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.23%
- Current HPI
- 400.5663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Listed $95,000 TheMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…