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714 S Martinez Rd
B Composite 71.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$65,000

714 S Martinez Rd · Town of Pecos, TX 79772
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,064 sqft · Manufactured public records · 415 Days on market
Built 1980 5,488 sqft lot ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

Key facts

  • 5,488 sq ft lot
  • Built 1980
  • Listed 415 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $995 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pecos-Barstow-Toyah ISD (town): math 28% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #652 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 22 units permitted in Reeves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $707 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Reeves County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 415 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $57,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 415 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.77%
Cap rate
24.67%
Cash-on-cash
65.63%
DSCR
3.92
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.09% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.6%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$58,252
Equity at exit
$15,413
10-year hold
IRR
69.4%
Equity multiple
8.55×
Total profit
$137,435
Equity at exit
$15,949

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79772

Home prices YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $704/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$995

Break-even live

Break-even rent $540
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,032 -5% $1,014 +0% $995 +5% $977 +10% $959
Rent -10% $853 -5% $924 +0% $995 +5% $1,066 +10% $1,138
Rate -1.0pp $1,028 -0.5pp $1,012 base $995 +0.5pp $978 +1.0pp $961

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
415 S Cherry St Unit B Pecos, TX 2.0 1.0 980 $1,800 $1.84 44d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $65,000 Active 415 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 413 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 412 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 411 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 410 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 409 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 408 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $65,000 Active 407 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $65,000 Active 404 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 403 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 402 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 401 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 398 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 397 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 396 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 395 DOM
  17. 2026-04-26
    status Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  18. 2026-04-21
    historical 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  19. 2025-10-20
    status Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  20. 2025-10-14
    historical 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  21. 2025-07-01
    price $65,000 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  22. 2025-04-21
    listed $70,000 Active 254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (254 chars)

    Looking for a developed lot with all utilities for a mobile home? Here is the perfect opportunity, I have this lot zoned for mobile home use, bring in a new MH or simply flip the structure and make it someone's home! Call me today for more information!

  23. 2018-12-03
    soldstatus
  24. 2008-02-19
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$704 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,190 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$485/yr (+$40/mo · 68.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$704
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$11,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,780
After-tax cash flow
$9,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pecos-Barstow-Toyah ISD
NCES district ID
4834550
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$41,982
Composite
24.61/100
National rank
#7632
State rank
#652 of 826 in TX

Livability — Town of Pecos

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
12,547
Population (ZIP)
12,547

Population outlook (Reeves County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,069 people
By 2030
18,407 · +7.8%
By 2040
21,342 · +25.0%
By 2050
24,701 · +44.7%
By 2075
32,688 · +91.5%
By 2100
36,117 · +111.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 85% Two or more races 22% White 12% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 78%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada
Languages at home
38% English-only · Spanish 62%

Political lean MEDSL · Reeves

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.9) · D 31.1% · R 68.0%
2008→2024 swing
-42.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.2pp · 2024: -36.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.9 2020: R+23.3 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+5.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.09%
Current HPI
147.9377
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Relisted ODMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Delisted ODMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Relisted ODMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Delisted ODMLS
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $65,000 ODMLS
  • 2025-04-21 Listed $70,000 ODMLS
  • 2018-12-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2008-02-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $704 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…