1326 Garden Ave · Niagara Falls, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
In person viewings are not available. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Niagara Falls. Nice size lot, with vinyl exterior. Great potential to purchase a property for an amazing price!
Key facts
- New furnace
- Renovated
- New garage roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Garage with 1 car space
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block and poured foundation; Built (existing structure)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; 50 x 185 lot dimensions; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen-family room combo; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Has basement (utility space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $120k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.97%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2946 Mckoon Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,291 (-1%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 1852 Ontario Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,273 (-2%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $67 | 70 |
| 1317 Niagara Ave | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,310 (+0%) | 1mo | $28,000 | $21 | 69 |
| 1870 South Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+1%) | 0mo | $116,000 | $88 | 67 |
| 1849 Niagara Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+2%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $49 | 65 |
| 2830 Macklem Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+5%) | 0mo | $161,000 | $117 | 62 |
| 1307 Michigan Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,330 (+2%) | 4mo | $41,000 | $31 | 61 |
| 1868 Niagara Ave | 0.58mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,360 (+4%) | 5mo | $68,000 | $50 | 57 |
| 4011 Bell St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+4%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $111 | 54 |
| 1315 Maple Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (+8%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $112 | 50 |
| 2189 Seneca Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,125 (-14%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $116 | 47 |
| 3915 Deveaux St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,460 (+12%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $82 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,913
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $29,204
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14305
- Home prices YoY
- -10.9%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $403 | -5% $369 | +0% $335 | +5% $301 | +10% $267 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $277 | +0% $335 | +5% $393 | +10% $451 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $395 | -0.5pp $365 | base $335 | +0.5pp $304 | +1.0pp $272 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2814 10th St Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 2d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1817 Ontario Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,899 | $1.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1817 Ontario Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $1,899 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1750 | $2,200 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2463 South Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1808 Whitney Ave Unit 3 Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $900 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1001 17th St Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,800 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,350 | $0.98 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2473 Pierce Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 18d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 754 15th St Niagara Falls, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,100 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 769 19th St Niagara Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 724 Augustus Pl Niagara Falls, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$119,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,765 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,896 · $158/mo
- Expected delta
- +$131/yr (+$11/mo · 7.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,629
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,765
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $2,240
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$538
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,480/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Niagara Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620820
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,488
- Composite
- 24.5/100
- National rank
- #7655
- State rank
- #578 of 590 in NY
Livability — Niagara Falls
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #956
- US rank
- #18749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Niagara Falls, NY
- County
- Niagara County · 157,377 people
- City population
- 62,983
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,696
- Household income
- $51,004
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1095.0
Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 204,149 people
- By 2030
- 197,900 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 182,239 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 165,198 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 129,416 · -36.6%
- By 2100
- 96,222 · -52.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Niagara
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.08%
- Current HPI
- 350.8741
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+99.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-07-01 Sold (MLS) $36,500 UNYREIS
- 2025-01-05 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2024-10-10 Price Changed $39,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-08-14 Price Changed $55,000 UNYREIS
- 2024-07-08 Listed $60,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+14.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,765 · -18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…