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1326 Garden Ave
C Composite 56.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

1326 Garden Ave · Niagara Falls, NY 14305
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,304 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1930 9,250 sqft lot Est $107k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

In person viewings are not available. 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in Niagara Falls. Nice size lot, with vinyl exterior. Great potential to purchase a property for an amazing price!

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Renovated
  • New garage roof

Tags

RENOVATEDBONUS ROOMNEW FURNACENEW HOT WATER TANKNEW GARAGE ROOFUPDATED COUNTERTOPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Garage with 1 car space
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Block and poured foundation; Built (existing structure)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot; 50 x 185 lot dimensions; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen-family room combo; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Has basement (utility space)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $120k implies a 228% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $119,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
9.64%
Cash-on-cash
11.97%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,928
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2946 Mckoon Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,291 (-1%) 4mo $90,000 $70 71
1852 Ontario Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,273 (-2%) 3mo $85,000 $67 70
1317 Niagara Ave 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,310 (+0%) 1mo $28,000 $21 69
1870 South Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+1%) 0mo $116,000 $88 67
1849 Niagara Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,336 (+2%) 5mo $65,000 $49 65
2830 Macklem Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,372 (+5%) 0mo $161,000 $117 62
1307 Michigan Ave 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,330 (+2%) 4mo $41,000 $31 61
1868 Niagara Ave 0.58mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,360 (+4%) 5mo $68,000 $50 57
4011 Bell St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,350 (+4%) 4mo $150,000 $111 54
1315 Maple Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,412 (+8%) 2mo $158,000 $112 50
2189 Seneca Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,125 (-14%) 2mo $130,000 $116 47
3915 Deveaux St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,460 (+12%) 0mo $120,000 $82 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.5%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,913
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$29,204
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14305

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,469 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$147 /mo · $1,765/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$309
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,045
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $369 +0% $335 +5% $301 +10% $267
Rent -10% $219 -5% $277 +0% $335 +5% $393 +10% $451
Rate -1.0pp $395 -0.5pp $365 base $335 +0.5pp $304 +1.0pp $272

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2814 10th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 2d 1 0.34mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 985 $1,899 $1.93 2d 1 0.50mi
1817 Ontario Ave Unit 1 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 999 $1,899 $1.90 2d 1 0.50mi
3025 Macklem Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.5 1750 $2,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.50mi
2463 South Ave Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,100 $1.09 18d 1 0.91mi
1808 Whitney Ave Unit 3 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $900 $0.75 44d 1 0.95mi
1001 17th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,800 $1.56 24d 1 1.09mi
784 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.5 1380 $1,350 $0.98 4d 1 1.12mi
2473 Pierce Ave Unit 2 Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 1.13mi
2020 Forest Ave Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,500 $0.94 18d 1 1.17mi
642 Ashland Ave Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,100 $0.89 4d 1 1.18mi
754 15th St Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,100 $1.11 24d 1 1.20mi
769 19th St Niagara Falls, NY 2.0 1.5 960 $1,400 $1.46 22d 1 1.21mi
724 Augustus Pl Niagara Falls, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $119,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,765 · $147/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,896 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$131/yr (+$11/mo · 7.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,629
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,765
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,410
− Management
−$1,410
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,240
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$538
After-tax cash flow
$3,480/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,696
Household income
$51,004
Rent vs Own
38.4% rent · 61.6% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.08%
Current HPI
350.8741
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-07-01 Sold (MLS) $36,500 UNYREIS
  • 2025-01-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2024-10-10 Price Changed $39,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-14 Price Changed $55,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-07-08 Listed $60,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+14.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,765 · -18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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