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73 E Penning Ave
B+ Composite 75.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

73 E Penning Ave · Wood River, IL 62095
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1920 4,386 sqft lot Est $100k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ATENTION flipper and investors! Are you looking for your next project? This one has already been started with lots of new upgrades including fixtures flooring and carpet as well as some doors. 3 bed and 1 bath home with a large backyard. Just a little bit of TLC this one could be ready in no time! Seller will replace HVAC with an acceptable offer. This home is being sold as is and seller will do no inspections including occupancy. Please show during daylight hours. Seller will also do no repairs. Buyer to verify all MLS data including but not limited to taxes exemptions sq footage schools and features.

Key facts

  • New upgrades
  • Fixtures flooring
  • Large backyard

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDNEW UPGRADESFIXTURES FLOORING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area documented as 672 (source: public records)
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Single-phase electric service; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half levels; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s) on the property; Lot dimensions approximately 37.5 x 117.5

Interior

  • Kitchen: Standard kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room (15 x 12); Kitchen (11 x 10); Basement: block foundation, unfinished
  • Laundry & utility: Utility space in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 5.9% in Wood River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#214 in IL, #4,027 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, employment D+.
  • East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14 (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #793 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: East Alton-Wood River High Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 537 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,100 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.34%
Cash-on-cash
35.88%
DSCR
2.60
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,128
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
451 N Wood River Ave 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+14%) 2mo $124,900 $163 62
469 N 1st St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (+14%) 6mo $74,900 $98 59
314 N 3rd St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 767 (+14%) 3mo $144,990 $189 58
511 E Penning Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 736 (+10%) 16mo $45,000 $61 45
833 State St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+7%) 6mo $107,000 $149 45
148 Park Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 728 (+8%) 10mo $121,400 $167 44
835 Rice St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (+11%) 4mo $52,000 $70 40
967 Whitelaw Ave 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 704 (+5%) 16mo $35,000 $50 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$22,306
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
38.7%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$60,765
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62095

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$502

Break-even live

Break-even rent $561
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-26
    listed $60,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,244 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,303 · $109/mo
Expected delta
+$59/yr (+$5/mo · 4.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,364
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,244
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$5,415
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,300
After-tax cash flow
$4,728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14
NCES district ID
1712990
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,977
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#14315
State rank
#793 of 919 in IL

Livability — Wood River

Score
75/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#4027

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wood River, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
10,726
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
10,726
Household income
$65,013
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
383.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.69%
Current HPI
217.1264
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,244 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…