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B+ Composite 76.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$45,000

90 Third St · Shinnston, WV 26431
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,131 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 552 Days on market
Built 1920 0.58 ac lot ↓ 35% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This wonderful gem is ready to be reinvented, nestled on 5 city lots the main level has 2 bedrooms one with ensuite, large living room, dining area with porch access over looking the beautiful back yard. Down stairs includes the large kitchen with 10x7 cellar/pantry close by. Access to yet another porch over looking the beautiful back yard, Mechanical room and main full bathroom with laundry hookups. The property is . 58 ac, with lots of potential. This property will require Renovation loan or Cash. Agent Remarks

Key facts

  • 5 city lots
  • Dining area
  • Large living room

Tags

5 CITY LOTSLARGE LIVING ROOMDINING AREALARGE KITCHEN10X7 CELLARPORCH ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; One story
  • Construction: Block, frame, vinyl siding and wood siding construction; Shingle roof; Below-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Includes a master bedroom with a fireplace
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ceiling fans; No central heating listed
  • Interior features: Two masonry fireplaces (one in the master bedroom); Partially finished basement with crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (partially finished)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
  • Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#12 in WV, #1,712 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Harrison County Schools (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #12 of 55 in WV (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Victory Elementary School (389 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 20% / reading 43%, grade F, #52 of 109 statewide, top 49%, 444 students, 0% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 548 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Harrison County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 552 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 552 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
18.73%
Cash-on-cash
44.41%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$139,113
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
112 Monroe 0.51mi 2/1.0 964 (-15%) 19mo $69,900 $73 36
226 Woodlawn Dr 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 972 (-14%) 12mo $120,000 $123 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.95% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.7%
Equity multiple
3.78×
Total profit
$35,030
Equity at exit
$20,113
10-year hold
IRR
49.4%
Equity multiple
7.61×
Total profit
$83,269
Equity at exit
$30,902

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26431

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,006 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$236
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $887/yr
Insurance
$19
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$211
Net cashflow
$466

Break-even live

Break-even rent $416
Max offer price $45,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,250
Closing costs
$1,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $45,000 Active 552 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $45,000 Active 551 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 550 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 549 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 548 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 546 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $45,000 Active 545 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 542 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 541 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 540 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 537 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 536 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 535 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 534 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 533 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 532 DOM
  17. 2025-12-31
    price $45,000
  18. 2025-06-10
    price $55,000
  19. 2025-04-28
    price $62,000
  20. 2025-01-14
    price $62,100
  21. 2024-12-14
    listed $69,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$887 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$887 · $74/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,075
− Mortgage interest
−$2,521
− Property taxes
−$887
− Insurance
−$225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$966
− Management
−$966
− Depreciation
−$1,309
Taxable income
$5,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,248
After-tax cash flow
$4,347/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County Schools
NCES district ID
5400510
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,269
Composite
30.48/100
National rank
#6222
State rank
#12 of 55 in WV

Livability — Shinnston

Score
80/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1712

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shinnston, WV
Population (ZIP)
5,899

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,273 people
By 2030
65,963 · -1.9%
By 2040
63,033 · -6.3%
By 2050
59,999 · -10.8%
By 2075
52,524 · -21.9%
By 2100
42,654 · -36.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 8% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.5% · R 69.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -41.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.0 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.95%
Current HPI
172.0039
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-34.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-31 Price Changed $45,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2025-06-10 Price Changed $55,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $62,000 NCWVREIN
  • 2025-01-14 Price Changed $62,100 NCWVREIN
  • 2024-12-14 Listed $69,000 NCWVREIN

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $887 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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