8752 N Rokeby Rd NW · McConnelsville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.9/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
$186,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
Key facts
- Knotly pine walls
- Deck
- 1.55 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $187k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-303 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (28.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (43.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (43.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#648 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Morgan Local (rural): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #420 of 656 in OH (top 64%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #590 of 1,584 statewide, top 41%, 310 students, 0% FRL); Morgan Junior High School (math 37% / reading 61%, grade C-, #426 of 654 statewide, top 66%, 257 students, 58% FRL); Morgan High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #497 of 781 statewide, top 66%, 519 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
- Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $187k implies a 416% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.94%
- DSCR
- 0.69
- GRM
- 14.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,410
- List price
- $186,900
- Delta
- -35.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8648 State Route 60 | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-6%) | 19mo | $375,000 | $248 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $17,204
- Equity at exit
- $98,995
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.37×
- Total profit
- $71,868
- Equity at exit
- $165,387
Cash invested: $52,332 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43756
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 28
- Price-to-rent
- 14.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,053 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$980
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $918/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $-303
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-197 | -5% $-250 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-356 | +10% $-409 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-386 | -5% $-344 | +0% $-303 | +5% $-261 | +10% $-220 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-209 | -0.5pp $-255 | base $-303 | +0.5pp $-351 | +1.0pp $-401 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,725
- Closing costs
- $5,607
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $186,900 Pending 335 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $186,900 Active 334 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $186,900 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $186,900 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $186,900 Active 331 DOM
-
2026-02-24price $186,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2026-02-24price $186,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2026-01-11status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2026-01-11status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-10-16price $189,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-10-16price $189,900 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-09-30price $195,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-09-30price $195,000 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-09-30status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-09-12status Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-07-29historical Contingent 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-07-24historical Contingent 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-07-04$199,900 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-07-04$199,900 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Walk into this lovely 2 bedroom with knotly pine walls, and a deck that will keep you coming back. Quite, peaceful, tranquil, atmosphere, and close to the mighty Muskingum River. Enough garage space to open up a shop. Come take a look at this awesome property and just imagine the possibilities. Call for you private showing today.
-
2025-06-17historical
-
2025-06-17historical
-
2025-03-11$199,900 Active
-
2025-03-11$199,900 Active
-
1987-02-01soldstatus $36,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $918 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,917 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$999/yr (+$83/mo · 108.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,632
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,469
- − Property taxes
- −$918
- − Insurance
- −$934
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,011
- − Management
- −$1,011
- − Depreciation
- −$5,437
- Taxable loss
- −$7,148
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,715
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904877
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,523
- Composite
- 43.93/100
- National rank
- #2907
- State rank
- #420 of 656 in OH
Livability — McConnelsville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #648
- US rank
- #11482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Morgan · 19,509 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,747
- Household income
- $62,238
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.5
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,024 people
- By 2030
- 13,485 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 12,222 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 10,912 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 8,181 · -41.7%
- By 2100
- 5,838 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.0pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+6.0 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.38%
- Current HPI
- 200.5438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+416.3% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $186,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $186,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-11 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-01-11 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $189,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $189,900 CBRMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $195,000 CBRMLS
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $195,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-09-30 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2025-09-12 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-29 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2025-07-24 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-07-04 Listed $199,900 CBRMLS
- 2025-07-04 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-06-17 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-06-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-03-11 Listed $199,900 CBRMLS
- 2025-03-11 Listed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $918 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…