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16625 NE 2nd Street Rd 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 66.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,900

16625 NE 2nd Street Rd · Silver Springs Shores East, FL 34488
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · Manufactured public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1987 0.45 ac lot $134/sqft · 151% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room

Key facts

  • Freshly painted
  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Parking

Tags

REFRIGERATOR AND OVEN INCLUDEDWASHER AND DRYER HOOKUPSFRESHLY PAINTEDEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.45 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
  • HOA & community: No association (HOA) indicated; Pets allowed with size limit (max ~15 lbs)

Exterior

  • Parking: Has carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home (single wide); One level; Faces south; Entry on one level
  • Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured single wide
  • Exterior features: Mature landscaping; Dirt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 352% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,203 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  5. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  6. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.04%
Cash-on-cash
16.96%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$48,584
List price
$89,900
Delta
85.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 NE 168th Ct 0.25mi 2/1.0 672 (0%) 7mo $63,000 $94 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$171
Equity at exit
$13,404
10-year hold
IRR
9.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$19,270
Equity at exit
$7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34488

Home prices YoY
-26.1%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $514/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$231

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $89,900
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $281 -5% $256 +0% $231 +5% $205 +10% $180
Rent -10% $140 -5% $185 +0% $231 +5% $276 +10% $321
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $253 base $231 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,475
Closing costs
$2,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 292-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    price $89,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 50 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
  19. 2026-04-23
    listed $94,900 Active 267-char remark
  20. 2026-04-08
    price $1,100
  21. 2026-03-25
    price $1,195
  22. 2026-03-04
    listed $1,295
  23. 2014-02-19
    soldstatus $19,900
  24. 2011-10-11
    soldstatus $54,000
  25. 2008-11-17
    soldstatus $55,000
  26. 2008-10-17
    soldstatus $55,000 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room

  27. 2008-06-18
    listed $57,500 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room

  28. 2007-10-19
    historical
  29. 2007-06-14
    listed $69,900
  30. 2006-05-19
    soldstatus $57,500
  31. 2006-05-10
    soldstatus $57,500
  32. 2006-03-07
    listed $59,900
  33. 1988-09-01
    soldstatus $18,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$514 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$746 · $62/mo
Expected delta
+$232/yr (+$19/mo · 45.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,785
− Mortgage interest
−$5,036
− Property taxes
−$514
− Insurance
−$1,952
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,103
− Management
−$1,103
− Depreciation
−$2,615
Taxable income
$1,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$351
After-tax cash flow
$2,416/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores East

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,525

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.45%
Current HPI
227.3763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+383.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $94,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $1,100 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $1,195 STELLARMLS
  • 2026-03-04 Listed for Rent $1,295 STELLARMLS
  • 2014-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
  • 2011-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2008-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2008-10-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-18 Listed $57,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-10-19 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-06-14 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 2006-05-10 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-03-07 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $514 · +70.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…