🌊 Lakefront
16625 NE 2nd Street Rd · Silver Springs Shores East, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room
Key facts
- Freshly painted
- 0.45 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.45 acre (1/4 to less than 1/2 acre)
- Financial info: No lease restrictions indicated
- HOA & community: No association (HOA) indicated; Pets allowed with size limit (max ~15 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected
- Home design: Residential manufactured home (single wide); One level; Faces south; Entry on one level
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a manufactured single wide
- Exterior features: Mature landscaping; Dirt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $231 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $90k implies a 352% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.96%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $48,584
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- 85.04%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 NE 168th Ct | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 7mo | $63,000 | $94 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $171
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $19,270
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34488
- Home prices YoY
- -26.1%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,149 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $514/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$241
- Net cashflow
- $231
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $281 | -5% $256 | +0% $231 | +5% $205 | +10% $180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $185 | +0% $231 | +5% $276 | +10% $321 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $276 | -0.5pp $253 | base $231 | +0.5pp $207 | +1.0pp $184 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 292-char remark
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2026-06-15price $89,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 37 DOM
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2026-04-23$94,900 Active 267-char remark
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2026-04-08price $1,100
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2026-03-25price $1,195
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2026-03-04$1,295
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2014-02-19soldstatus $19,900
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2011-10-11soldstatus $54,000
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2008-11-17soldstatus $55,000
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2008-10-17soldstatus $55,000 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room
-
2008-06-18$57,500 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Avoid the traffic! 2/1 s/w mobile home sitting on almost a half an acre waterfront lot. At the end of the road peace is found. Comes partly furnished, 2 screen porches, attached carport, shed with electric on a small peaceful pond. A must see to appreciate. Washer & dryer are in shed. Makes a nice unattached laundry room
-
2007-10-19historical
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2007-06-14$69,900
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2006-05-19soldstatus $57,500
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2006-05-10soldstatus $57,500
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2006-03-07$59,900
-
1988-09-01soldstatus $18,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $514 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $746 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$232/yr (+$19/mo · 45.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$514
- − Insurance
- −$1,952
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,103
- − Management
- −$1,103
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $1,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$351
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,416/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores East
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,525
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.45%
- Current HPI
- 227.3763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+383.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Price Changed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Listed $94,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $1,100 STELLARMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $1,195 STELLARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed for Rent $1,295 STELLARMLS
- 2014-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $19,900 Public Records
- 2011-10-11 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2008-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2008-10-17 Sold (MLS) $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-18 Listed $57,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-19 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-14 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 2006-05-10 Sold (MLS) $57,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-07 Listed $59,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1988-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,600 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $514 · +70.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…