Duplex
1238 E 145th St · East Cleveland, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Major value-add duplex opportunity in East Cleveland featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, each offering a traditional layout with living room, dining room, and kitchen. The property has sustained significant water damage due to burst pipes and requires a full renovation. This is a substantial project suited for experienced investors prepared to complete a comprehensive rehab. Once restored, renovated duplexes in the area are supporting values of $150,000 or more. Estimated renovation costs are approximately $80,000, presenting an opportunity to create equity through improvements. For investors evaluating long-term rental strategy, current CMHA payment standards for two-bedroom units in th
Key facts
- 3,885 sq ft lot
- Built 1916
- Listed 27 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $550/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 39.3% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,843/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 39.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 117.93%
- DSCR
- 6.25
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $41,832
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14111 Savannah Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,924 (-3%) | 2mo | $34,000 | $18 | 68 |
| 13428 Hartford Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,988 (-0%) | 9mo | $34,000 | $17 | 63 |
| 14004 Savannah Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 1,996 (+0%) | 13mo | $40,000 | $20 | 62 |
| 14310 Potomac Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,982 (-0%) | 12mo | $36,000 | $18 | 56 |
| 13436 Hartford Rd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,920 (-4%) | 11mo | $89,500 | $47 | 56 |
| 14810 Shaw Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,698 (-15%) | 6mo | $35,000 | $21 | 50 |
| 14520 Strathmore Ave | 0.47mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,220 (+11%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $59 | 43 |
| 14012 Scioto Ave | 0.69mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,209 (+11%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $43 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.05×
- Total profit
- $67,790
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.92×
- Total profit
- $167,159
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44112
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,546/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $1,101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,123 | -5% $1,112 | +0% $1,101 | +5% $1,089 | +10% $1,078 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $955 | -5% $1,028 | +0% $1,101 | +5% $1,173 | +10% $1,246 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,121 | -0.5pp $1,111 | base $1,101 | +0.5pp $1,090 | +1.0pp $1,080 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,844 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $922 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $922 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,843 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 16000 Terrace Rd Cleveland, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,210 | $1.21 | 2d | 39 | 0.82mi |
| 12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1423 | $1,795 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1839 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15801 Hazel Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1908 | $1,550 | $0.81 | 17d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 571 E 115th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2220 | $1,808 | $0.81 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,800 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 821 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2178 | $2,100 | $0.96 | 8d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 915 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 983 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $1,495 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1024 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-03-31status Pending
-
2026-03-03$40,000 Active
-
2025-08-28soldstatus $116,700
-
2025-05-22soldstatus $50,000
-
2025-04-10historical
-
2025-03-28price $74,900
-
2025-03-20$99,900 Active
-
2006-09-14soldstatus $92,000
-
1978-05-01soldstatus $23,000
-
1978-05-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,546 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,546 · $129/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$1,546
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,769
- − Management
- −$1,769
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $13,427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,223
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Cleveland City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $22,726
- Composite
- 7.38/100
- National rank
- #9954
- State rank
- #652 of 656 in OH
Livability — East Cleveland
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #650
- US rank
- #11510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Cleveland, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 17,848
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,848
- Household income
- $28,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1702.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.61%
- Current HPI
- 67.2162
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.16%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+73.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-03 Listed $40,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $116,700 Public Records
- 2025-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-10 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2025-03-28 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
- 2025-03-20 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
- 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
- 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,546 · +64.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…