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1238 E 145th St Duplex
D Composite 44.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

1238 E 145th St · East Cleveland, OH 44112
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,992 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1916 3,885 sqft lot Est $42k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Major value-add duplex opportunity in East Cleveland featuring two 2-bedroom, 1-bath units, each offering a traditional layout with living room, dining room, and kitchen. The property has sustained significant water damage due to burst pipes and requires a full renovation. This is a substantial project suited for experienced investors prepared to complete a comprehensive rehab. Once restored, renovated duplexes in the area are supporting values of $150,000 or more. Estimated renovation costs are approximately $80,000, presenting an opportunity to create equity through improvements. For investors evaluating long-term rental strategy, current CMHA payment standards for two-bedroom units in th

Key facts

  • 3,885 sq ft lot
  • Built 1916
  • Listed 27 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $550/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 39.3% vs local median 17.4% in East Cleveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#650 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • East Cleveland City School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #652 of 656 in OH (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 92% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,843/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 1702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $39,400 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.61%
Cap rate
39.31%
Cash-on-cash
117.93%
DSCR
6.25
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$41,832
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14111 Savannah Ave 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,924 (-3%) 2mo $34,000 $18 68
13428 Hartford Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,988 (-0%) 9mo $34,000 $17 63
14004 Savannah Ave 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,996 (+0%) 13mo $40,000 $20 62
14310 Potomac Ave 0.59mi 5/2.0 (+1) 1,982 (-0%) 12mo $36,000 $18 56
13436 Hartford Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,920 (-4%) 11mo $89,500 $47 56
14810 Shaw Ave 0.43mi 4/2.0 1,698 (-15%) 6mo $35,000 $21 50
14520 Strathmore Ave 0.47mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,220 (+11%) 9mo $130,000 $59 43
14012 Scioto Ave 0.69mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,209 (+11%) 6mo $95,000 $43 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.05×
Total profit
$67,790
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.92×
Total profit
$167,159
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44112

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$129 /mo · $1,546/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$1,101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $450
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,123 -5% $1,112 +0% $1,101 +5% $1,089 +10% $1,078
Rent -10% $955 -5% $1,028 +0% $1,101 +5% $1,173 +10% $1,246
Rate -1.0pp $1,121 -0.5pp $1,111 base $1,101 +0.5pp $1,090 +1.0pp $1,080

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,843

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14200 Scioto Ave Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.0 1256 $1,350 $1.07 17d 1 0.70mi
16000 Terrace Rd Cleveland, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,210 $1.21 2d 39 0.82mi
12819 Edmonton Ave Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1423 $1,795 $1.26 17d 1 0.92mi
910 Dresden Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1839 $1,800 $0.98 17d 1 1.08mi
15801 Hazel Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 1.5 1908 $1,550 $0.81 17d 1 1.08mi
571 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 2220 $1,808 $0.81 17d 1 1.25mi
651 E 115th St Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.0 1550 $1,800 $1.16 22d 1 1.28mi
821 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 2.5 2178 $2,100 $0.96 8d 1 1.33mi
915 Nela View Rd Cleveland, OH 4.0 1.0 1300 $2,600 $2.00 17d 1 1.33mi
983 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH 3.0 2.0 1457 $1,495 $1.03 17d 1 1.42mi
1024 Greyton Rd Cleveland, OH 5.0 2.5 1800 $2,500 $1.39 44d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-03-31
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-03
    listed $40,000 Active
  3. 2025-08-28
    soldstatus $116,700
  4. 2025-05-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  5. 2025-04-10
    historical
  6. 2025-03-28
    price $74,900
  7. 2025-03-20
    listed $99,900 Active
  8. 2006-09-14
    soldstatus $92,000
  9. 1978-05-01
    soldstatus $23,000
  10. 1978-05-01
    soldstatus $23,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,546 · $129/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,116
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$1,546
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$13,427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,223
After-tax cash flow
$9,986/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Cleveland City School District
NCES district ID
3904390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$22,726
Composite
7.38/100
National rank
#9954
State rank
#652 of 656 in OH

Livability — East Cleveland

Score
66/100
State rank
#650
US rank
#11510

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Cleveland, OH
County
Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
City population
17,848
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
17,848
Household income
$28,799
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1702.0

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 7% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -115.61%
Current HPI
67.2162
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $40,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $116,700 Public Records
  • 2025-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2025-04-10 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2025-03-28 Price Changed $74,900 MLSNOW
  • 2025-03-20 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
  • 2006-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
  • 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 1978-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,546 · +64.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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