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50 Maple Ave
D Composite 43.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$470,000

50 Maple Ave · Bethel, CT 06801
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,198 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1960 Est $399k · 18% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention to those who are interested on Saving on the Purchase Price. Home is valued at $539,000, selling price of $470,000 is to give you the opportunity to update to your liking. New well pump, city sewer, newer electric, new water heater, new windows in bedooms, dining room and living room. Upstairs is a large living room with fireplace, kitchen opens to the dining room, which then steps out to a large deck with a patio below. 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, 3 large closets in the hall and each bedroom has a large closet. Living room, dining room, hall and all bedrooms have hardwood flooring. Downstairs is a complete in-law apartment, galley kitchen, large living room with fireplace, large be

Key facts

  • Newer electric
  • New well pump
  • New water heater

Tags

NEW WELL PUMPCITY SEWERNEWER ELECTRICNEW WATER HEATERNEW WINDOWSLARGE LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1960
  • Construction: Approximately 2,082 square feet of living area
  • Exterior features: Located in the Bethel subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $470k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $450k (4.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $450k (4.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Bethel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#12 in CT, #1,287 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
  • Bethel School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #72 of 153 in CT (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($456k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $450,000 (4.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.71%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$398,934
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Topstone Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (+3%) 18mo $410,000 $333 54
9 Topstone Dr 0.48mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (-7%) 18mo $370,000 $332 46
10 Almar Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,312 (+10%) 10mo $460,000 $351 44
2 Blue Spruce Ct 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,336 (+12%) 18mo $400,000 $299 38
30 Midway Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (-12%) 16mo $410,000 $388 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-46,806
Equity at exit
$70,079
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-3,035
Equity at exit
$40,637

Cash invested: $131,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06801

Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,465
Tax from tax record
$378 /mo · $4,531/yr
Insurance
$196
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$945
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,916
Max offer price $470,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,500
Closing costs
$14,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Greenwood Ave Bethel, CT 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,500 $3.21 10d 1 0.36mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $470,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $470,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $470,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $470,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $470,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $470,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $470,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $470,000 Active 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $470,000 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $470,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $470,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $470,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $470,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $470,000 Active 1309-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,531 · $378/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,294 · $608/mo
Expected delta
+$2,764/yr (+$230/mo · 61.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$54,000
− Mortgage interest
−$26,327
− Property taxes
−$4,531
− Insurance
−$3,016
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,320
− Management
−$4,320
− Depreciation
−$13,673
Taxable loss
−$2,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$525
After-tax cash flow
$6,061/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel School District
NCES district ID
0900270
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$87,843
Composite
47.17/100
National rank
#2323
State rank
#72 of 153 in CT

Livability — Bethel

Score
82/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1287

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bethel, CT
City population
20,498
Population (ZIP)
20,498

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Estonian 6% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -348.18%
Current HPI
234.4823
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $470,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,531 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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