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15758 Loch Maree Ln #4005
C+ Composite 62.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$212,000

15758 Loch Maree Ln #4005 · Boca Raton, FL 33446
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,286 sqft · Condo public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1986 $534/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

Key facts

  • Wood flooring
  • Lake views
  • Open layout

Tags

LAKE VIEWSWOOD FLOORINGVAULTED CEILINGSOPEN LAYOUTSPLIT-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANWORLD-CLASS SOCIAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, putting green, sidewalks, street lights, community room, business center, cafe/restaurant, manager on site, and internet included; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Community of 1,082 units

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Condominium; 2 stories; Resale condition; Faces southeast
  • Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; Waterfront property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Main level bedrooms not present
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $212k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $212k).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
  • Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Orchard View Elementary School (math 48% / reading 47%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 596 students, 76% FRL); Spanish River Community High School (math 64% / reading 74%, grade B, #63 of 667 statewide, top 10%, 2,578 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 577 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.7% local appreciation)).
  • Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.7% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $212k implies a 293% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $192,920 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.19%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.69% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.8%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$13,759
Equity at exit
$68,939
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$47,773
Equity at exit
$89,014

Cash invested: $59,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33446

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
577
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,765 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,112
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,734/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$534
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$581
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,378
Max offer price $212,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,000
Closing costs
$6,360
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15711 Loch Maree Ln #4702 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1688 $10,000 $5.92 24d 1 0.08mi
15694 Loch Maree Ln #5903 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1705 $9,000 $5.28 15d 1 0.13mi
15831 Loch Maree Ln #5502 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1340 $9,500 $7.09 13d 1 0.15mi
15306 W Tranquility Lake Dr Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1175 $2,850 $2.43 11d 1 0.25mi
7509 Glendevon Ln #1002 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1399 $9,500 $6.79 18d 1 0.31mi
7455 Glendevon Ln #206 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1260 $9,500 $7.54 24d 1 0.31mi
7533 Glendevon Ln #907 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1311 $8,000 $6.10 15d 1 0.31mi
15212 W Tranquility Lake Dr Unit 15212 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1175 $3,250 $2.77 22d 1 0.35mi
7657 Lexington Club Blvd Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1645 $4,500 $2.74 24d 1 0.47mi
7254 Clunie Pl #15002 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1311 $9,000 $6.86 24d 1 0.52mi
16032 Lomond Hills Trl #152 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1415 $10,000 $7.07 21d 1 0.59mi
7512 Eagle Point Dr Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1463 $4,000 $2.73 4d 1 0.60mi
7512 Eagle Point Dr Unit 7512 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1463 $4,000 $2.73 19d 1 0.60mi
16021 Loch Katrine Trl #7405 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1311 $9,500 $7.25 24d 1 0.65mi
7607 Atlantic Ave Delray Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1086 $3,494 $3.22 2d 6 0.71mi
15085 Michelangelo Blvd #202 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,700 $2.18 22d 1 0.77mi
15055 Michelangelo Blvd Delray Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1158 $2,125 $1.83 22d 2 0.80mi
15145 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,600 $2.10 3d 1 0.81mi
15145 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,600 $2.10 24d 1 0.81mi
15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,400 $2.22 2d 1 0.83mi
15065 Michelangelo Blvd #105 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,400 $2.22 22d 1 0.83mi
15035 Michelangelo Blvd #103 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,000 $1.85 24d 1 0.85mi
15005 Michelangelo Blvd Delray Beach, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1234 $2,050 $1.66 2d 22 0.86mi
15155 Michelangelo Blvd #106 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,400 $2.22 20d 1 0.86mi
15155 Michelangelo Blvd #106 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,400 $2.22 24d 1 0.86mi
15155 Michelangelo Blvd Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,288 $2.12 8d 2 0.87mi
15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,499 $2.02 3d 1 0.89mi
15015 Michelangelo Blvd #102 Delray Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1238 $2,499 $2.02 24d 1 0.89mi
8061 Red Jasper Ln Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1153 $3,002 $2.60 3d 1 0.96mi
8061 Red Jasper Ln Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1097 $2,877 $2.62 24d 1 0.96mi
8061 Red Jasper Ln Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1097 $2,892 $2.64 12d 1 0.96mi
14898 Wedgefield Dr #202 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $2,000 $1.81 18d 1 0.96mi
14895 Builtmore Way Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,800 $1.63 24d 1 0.96mi
14896 Bal Moral Ln Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $2,200 $2.12 24d 1 0.99mi
417 Brittany Dr #417 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,750 $1.99 21d 1 1.01mi
7350 Kinghurst Dr #305 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 22d 1 1.03mi
7350 Kinghurst Dr Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1220 $4,500 $3.69 15d 1 1.03mi
233 Brittany Dr Unit 233 Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 988 $1,700 $1.72 24d 1 1.03mi
564 Brittany L Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.5 880 $1,800 $2.05 24d 1 1.04mi
260 Brittany F Unit F Delray Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 880 $1,600 $1.82 2d 1 1.04mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$534 · $6,408/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-05
    listed $212,000 Active
  3. 2014-06-24
    soldstatus $54,000
  4. 2014-06-23
    historical 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

  5. 2014-06-20
    soldstatus $54,000 Closed 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

  6. 2014-04-16
    status Pending 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

  7. 2014-03-15
    price $59,000 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

  8. 2013-10-23
    listed $62,000 Active 208-char remark
    Show marketing remark (208 chars)

    BEAUTIFUL 2 BEDROOM 2 BATH CONDO VAULTED CEILINGS WOOD FLOORS OVERLOOKING SPECTACULAR GOLF COURSE AND LAKE VIEWS, ENCLOSED PATIO FOR EXTRA ROOM AND SPACE. EXTRA STORAGE, UPDATED AND A MUST SEE. GREAT PRICE

  9. 2013-10-10
    historical
  10. 2013-09-19
    listed $62,000 Active
  11. 2013-08-05
    historical
  12. 2013-07-08
    price $65,000
  13. 2013-02-05
    listed $59,000 Active
  14. 2012-09-30
    historical
  15. 2012-02-10
    listed $79,900
  16. 1989-02-14
    soldstatus $129,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,734 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,760 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,183
− Mortgage interest
−$11,875
− Property taxes
−$1,734
− Insurance
−$1,060
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,655
− Management
−$2,655
− HOA
−$6,408
− Depreciation
−$6,167
Taxable income
$629
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$151
After-tax cash flow
$3,521/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Beach
NCES district ID
1201500
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$53,943
Composite
42.72/100
National rank
#3160
State rank
#34 of 73 in FL

Livability — Boca Raton

Score
77/100
State rank
#192
US rank
#3070

Category grades

Amenities D Commute B Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
City population
250,102
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,431
Household income
$80,187
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
494.0

Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,637,487 people
By 2030
1,743,255 · +6.5%
By 2040
1,948,712 · +19.0%
By 2050
2,132,979 · +30.3%
By 2075
2,530,027 · +54.5%
By 2100
2,706,979 · +65.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 9% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
2008→2024 swing
-22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.69%
Current HPI
242.5138
Rent YoY
▲ 0.51%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.7% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $212,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2014-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 2014-06-23 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2014-06-20 Sold (MLS) $54,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2014-04-16 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2014-03-15 Price Changed $59,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-10-23 Listed $62,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-10-10 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2013-09-19 Listed $62,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-08-05 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2013-07-08 Price Changed $65,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2013-02-05 Listed $59,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2012-09-30 Listing Removed Beaches MLS
  • 2012-02-10 Listed $79,900 Beaches MLS
  • 1989-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $129,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,734 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…