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404 W 18th
D Composite 43.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$22,000

404 W 18th · Ada, OK 74820
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 996 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1915 2,520 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Selling "As IS" this quaint 2-bedroom home located just blocks from downtown and schools. With a little TLC this home could be a great rental or housing for your ECU student.

Key facts

  • Blocks from downtown
  • 2,520 sq ft lot
  • Built 1915

Tags

BLOCKS FROM DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: No safety shelter
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story home
  • Construction: Wood siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; South-facing

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Aluminum-framed windows; No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $676 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
  • Recommended offer: $21k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 43.2% vs local median 4.0% in Ada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Ada (town): math 17% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #177 of 270 in OK (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ada Ec Ctr (402 students, 0% FRL); Ada Jhs (math 10% / reading 20%, grade F, #220 of 345 statewide, top 65%, 606 students, 0% FRL); Ada Hs (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #48 of 447 statewide, top 14%, 540 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 53% district-wide (53 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pontotoc County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $152 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $660 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pontotoc County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $22k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $21,340 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.66%
Cap rate
43.16%
Cash-on-cash
131.66%
DSCR
6.86
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
730 W 19th St 0.33mi 2/1.0 1,026 (+3%) 3mo $65,000 $63 77
1209 S Ash Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (0%) 2mo $129,500 $130 74
620 W 23rd 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,002 (+1%) 2mo $143,000 $143 72
1031 S Stockton 0.26mi 2/1.0 1,097 (+10%) 6mo $146,000 $133 66
619 W 14th St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (+1) 934 (-6%) 6mo $109,500 $117 60
301 S Hickory 0.48mi 2/1.0 1,100 (+10%) 3mo $51,500 $47 58
914 Charles Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,047 (+5%) 1mo $100,000 $96 56
223 E 14th 0.52mi 2/1.0 890 (-11%) 5mo $40,000 $45 54
704 W 21st St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,139 (+14%) 2mo $152,000 $133 53
912 W 13th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (+8%) 1mo $150,000 $139 52
817 Charles 0.47mi 2/1.0 850 (-15%) 2mo $133,000 $156 52
517 W 9th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,134 (+14%) 4mo $20,000 $18 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$41,405
Equity at exit
$3,280
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.18×
Total profit
$99,680
Equity at exit
$1,902

Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74820

Home prices YoY
-11.5%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,024 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$115
Tax from tax record
$9 /mo · $105/yr
Insurance
$9
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $169
Max offer price $22,000
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $688 -5% $682 +0% $676 +5% $670 +10% $663
Rent -10% $595 -5% $635 +0% $676 +5% $716 +10% $757
Rate -1.0pp $687 -0.5pp $681 base $676 +0.5pp $670 +1.0pp $664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,500
Closing costs
$660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $22,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $22,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $22,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $22,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $22,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $22,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $22,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $22,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $22,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $22,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $22,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $22,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $22,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $22,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $22,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $22,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $22,000 Active
  18. 2000-02-11
    soldstatus $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$105 · $9/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$198 · $16/mo
Expected delta
+$93/yr (+$8/mo · 88.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,291
− Mortgage interest
−$1,232
− Property taxes
−$105
− Insurance
−$110
− Repairs & maintenance
−$983
− Management
−$983
− Depreciation
−$640
Taxable income
$8,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,977
After-tax cash flow
$6,133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ada
NCES district ID
4002430
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$33,907
Composite
16.36/100
National rank
#9203
State rank
#177 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ada

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7835

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ada, OK
County
Pontotoc County · 31,943 people
City population
31,943
Metro
Ada, OK
Population (ZIP)
31,943
Household income
$62,357
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
774.0

Population outlook (Pontotoc County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,521 people
By 2030
40,140 · +1.6%
By 2040
41,242 · +4.4%
By 2050
42,293 · +7.0%
By 2075
44,678 · +13.0%
By 2100
46,015 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Native American 19% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pontotoc

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.6) · D 25.7% · R 72.3% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-9.9pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -46.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.6 2020: R+43.7 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+38.8 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.45%
Current HPI
250.7685
Rent YoY
▲ 4.83%
Metro
Ada, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+340.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $22,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2000-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $5,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $105 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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