120 N Potomac St · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Adorable 2BR/1.5BA Townhome located on a tree-lined street. Make your way to the front door and step inside a home filled with natural light and original hardwood floors. The main floor offers a spacious open concept living room and dining room, a kitchen with laundry, and a half bath. On the second floor is a two sizable secondary bedroom, a larger primary bedroom and a full bath with a double sink vanity. The lower level is clean and dry offering you the opportunity to create additional living space for your family's needs. The yard is fenced and features a covered deck and a spacious patio ideal for hosting family and friends. This home needs a bit of TLC, is ideal for any new homeowner
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Fenced yard
- Spacious patio
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership; In city limits (Baltimore City)
- Construction: Brick construction; Built-up roof; Block foundation; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Deck(s); Patio(s); Basement with connecting stairway (full); Below-grade area finished/usable
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on upper level; One half bathroom on main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Open floor plan with combined dining and living area; Dining area; Ceiling fans; Wood floors; Tub/shower
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $153k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($153k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.39%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,160
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 N Streeper St | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (-5%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $241 | 83 |
| 530 N Curley St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $89 | 81 |
| 20 N Decker Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+8%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $143 | 76 |
| 441 N East Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 976 (+2%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $179 | 76 |
| 3534 E Fairmount Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+6%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 14 S Curley St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $246 | 69 |
| 735 N Lakewood Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 970 (+1%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $82 | 68 |
| 3500 E Fairmount Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (+14%) | 2mo | $107,000 | $98 | 59 |
| 629 N Kenwood Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.5 | 1,100 (+15%) | 1mo | $76,500 | $70 | 56 |
| 615 S Rose St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 885 (-8%) | 1mo | $151,000 | $171 | 53 |
| 309 S Fagley St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,030 (+7%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $218 | 52 |
| 622 S Glover St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-13%) | 0mo | $195,500 | $235 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-8,769
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $5,389
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $303
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 N Ellwood Ave Unit Main Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $2,200 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 29 N Ellwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,395 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3205 Esther Pl Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 520 N Decker Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 415 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,300 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 127 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2608 E Fayette St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 15d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3344 E Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 545 | $1,250 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 415 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1092 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 531 N Belnord Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 104 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $2,500 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 233 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 934 | $1,750 | $1.87 | 18d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 502 N Glover St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 827 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 20d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 224 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $1,875 | $1.67 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 400 N Rose St #1 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $1,080 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3413 Leverton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 832 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 107 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 870 | $1,995 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 402 N Milton Ave Unit 402B Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,290 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 517 N Rose St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 437 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,450 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 16 N Bradford St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 3.5 | 930 | $2,400 | $2.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 201 S Conkling St Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,500 | $2.03 | 2d | 2 | 0.51mi |
| 2729 Ashland Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2308 Jefferson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,450 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 400 S Highland Ave Unit 402 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3232 Eastern Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.5 | 874 | $2,260 | $2.59 | 2d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 618 N Montford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,468 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 108 N Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 720 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3235 Eastern Ave Unit 2FL Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,795 | $3.25 | 4d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 400 S Conkling St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,700 | $2.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 107 S Collington Ave Unit 2 REAR Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,800 | $3.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 211 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 819 | $1,650 | $2.01 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 227 S Madeira St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 643 S Potomac St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $1,650 | $2.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 223 Grundy St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,450 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 321 Fagley St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,650 | $2.06 | 20d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 305 S Collington Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 722 | $2,895 | $4.01 | 17d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2309 Eastern Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,295 | $2.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-16status $154,900 Pending 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $154,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $164,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $164,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $164,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $170,000
-
2026-05-19$175,000 Active
-
2018-03-01soldstatus $4,552,396
-
1997-12-08historical
-
1997-06-11
-
1990-03-15soldstatus $47,600
-
1989-11-02soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,201 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,201 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$3,201
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $1,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$313
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+353.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $4,552,396 Public Records
- 1997-12-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-06-11 Listed — MRIS
- 1990-03-15 Sold (Public Records) $47,600 Public Records
- 1989-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,201 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…