806 N 2nd St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Situated in an established neighborhood in Belleville, this charming historic home offers a blend of character, potential, and everyday convenience. Built in the 1800s, this 1.5-story residence features approximately 3 bedrooms and 1 bathroom within a manageable footprint, making it an appealing opportunity for all. A functional layout includes a spacious living room, a dedicated dining area, and a kitchen ready for your personal touches. The home also offers a partial basement for additional storage and utility space. Outside, the property sits on a generous lot with a concrete driveway and a 1-car garage, providing both off-street parking and added convenience. Located just minutes from l
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Partial basement
- Historic home
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: One-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half stories; Bank-owned
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Back yard; Sloped lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main/upper levels)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cellar; Crawl space; Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 38.8% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1862 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1862 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 116.21%
- DSCR
- 6.17
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 Gilbert St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 914 (+9%) | 2mo | $96,900 | $106 | 64 |
| 513 N Fourth St | 0.25mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 909 (+8%) | 6mo | $25,000 | $28 | 62 |
| 1007 Western Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 884 (+5%) | 9mo | $132,500 | $150 | 59 |
| 504 N 16th St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 840 (0%) | 10mo | $54,900 | $65 | 56 |
| 708 Gilbert St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 910 (+8%) | 1mo | $94,500 | $104 | 55 |
| 1213 Kinsella Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (+3%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $168 | 55 |
| 112 Brackett St | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 722 (-14%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 900 N Church St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 780 (-7%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $167 | 48 |
| 1208 Western Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 884 (+5%) | 16mo | $119,900 | $136 | 48 |
| 709 Benton St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+14%) | 1mo | $42,500 | $44 | 42 |
| 216 Anna St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 808 (-4%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $80 | 38 |
| 619 N Church St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 955 (+14%) | 23mo | $99,900 | $105 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $48,864
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.07×
- Total profit
- $117,815
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62226
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$270
- Net cashflow
- $811
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308 Caseyville Ave Swansea, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1671 Shadow Ridge Ct Belleville, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $1,325 | $1.62 | 1d | 12 | 0.97mi |
| 1717 La Salle St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 31 S 27th St Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $915 | $0.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1528 Lebanon Ave Belleville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $29,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$32,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,454
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,236
- − Management
- −$1,236
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $9,839
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,361
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,368/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,255
- Household income
- $70,797
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 824.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.57%
- Current HPI
- 133.9028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $32,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+27.2%/yrLatest (2024): $3,032 · -5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…