1 Robinson Way Unit B87 · Kennebunk, ME
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$27,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Parking
- Built 1997
- Listed 3 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association with an annual fee of $6,300; Land lease: yes
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking with 1–4 spaces
- Utilities: Circuit breakers for electric service; Private sewer; Private seasonal well water; Electric water heater
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide); 1997 construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Shingle roof; Single wide mobile home
- Exterior features: Deck; Glassed-in porch; Shed(s); Located on an interior, level, wooded corner lot in a mobile home park; Near golf course and public beach; Near turnpike/interstate; Private road frontage with gravel/dirt roadway
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: One-floor living with first-floor bedroom; Storage; Furnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $28k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $28k).
- Cap rate 59.9% vs local median 3.2% in Kennebunk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in ME, #2,049 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- RSU 21 (rural): math 91% / reading 94% proficiency, ranked #13 of 112 in ME (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $190 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $825 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 59.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 191.42%
- DSCR
- 9.52
- GRM
- 0.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $40,950
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Robinson Way Unit B75 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 700 (+8%) | 3mo | $15,000 | $21 | 79 |
| 1 Robinson Way Unit A152 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 680 (+5%) | 20mo | $32,500 | $48 | 75 |
| 1 Robinson Way #174 | 0.09mi | 1/1.5 | 656 (+1%) | 24mo | $50,000 | $76 | 72 |
| 1 Robinson Way Unit B094 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 680 (+5%) | 21mo | $42,500 | $63 | 70 |
| 1 Robinson Way Unit B47 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+11%) | 11mo | $37,000 | $51 | 68 |
| 1 Robinson Way Unit A027 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 608 (-6%) | 21mo | $40,000 | $66 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.63×
- Total profit
- $74,134
- Equity at exit
- $4,100
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 22.66×
- Total profit
- $166,750
- Equity at exit
- $2,378
Cash invested: $7,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04043
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 0.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$144
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$34 /mo · $412/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$525
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$517
- Net cashflow
- $1,228
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,875
- Closing costs
- $825
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $525 · $6,300/yr
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18status $27,500 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $27,500 Active Under Contract 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $27,500 Active Under Contract 2 DOM
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2026-06-15$27,500 Active Under Contract 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,540
- − Property taxes
- −$412
- − Insurance
- −$138
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,362
- − Management
- −$2,362
- − HOA
- −$6,300
- − Depreciation
- −$800
- Taxable income
- $15,606
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,745
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 21
- NCES district ID
- 2314773
- Math proficiency
- 91% ▲ 34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 94% ▲ 20.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,462
- Composite
- 79.78/100
- National rank
- #55
- State rank
- #13 of 112 in ME
Livability — Kennebunk
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #2049
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,692
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,961 people
- By 2030
- 212,816 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 214,360 · +2.1%
- By 2050
- 210,350 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 201,686 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 183,392 · -12.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Slovak 5% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.54%
- Current HPI
- 398.495
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed — MREIS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $27,500 MREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…