12846 NW Lacey Blvd #45 · Hanford, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 31 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 35 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this charming mobile home located in Four Seasons Family Mobile Home Park in Hanford Ca. conveniently close to shopping centers, dining and everyday amenities. This property features a remodeled Kitchen, a new heater and a new water heater, offering comfort and value for the next owner. The home offers great potential and is ready for your personal touches.
Key facts
- New heater
- Remodeled kitchen
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Natural gas available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Double wide manufactured home
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Skirted with aluminum; Mobile dimensions approximately 10' x 57'
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Private outdoor pool; Aluminum siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Free-standing gas range
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (other); Evaporative cooling; Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater; Free-standing gas range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $840 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 430 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.36%
- DSCR
- 2.88
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $39,523
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $102,457
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93230
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $840
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2060 Millennium Way Unit C Hanford, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 794 | $2,195 | $2.76 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $85,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 370-char remark
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-25$85,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 31 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$1,275
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $9,280
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,227
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanford Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0616500
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,265
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #9626
- State rank
- #765 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Hanford
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #4255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kings County · 107,655 people
- City population
- 69,684
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,684
- Household income
- $76,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 147,136 people
- By 2030
- 145,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 146,017 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 145,239 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 131,479 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 103,967 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 5% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.4% · R 60.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.9pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+12.2 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -267.79%
- Current HPI
- 321.3409
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Hanford-Corcoran, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $85,000 TCMLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2015): $78 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…