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212 Woodland Ave
B Composite 70.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

212 Woodland Ave · Blackman, MI 49203
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,991 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 1940 0.92 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Unlock the Potential!Attention investors, flippers, and rehab enthusiasts! This property is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. While the home requires renovation and updating, the opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something special is undeniable. Whether you're looking for your next flip project, rental investment, or renovation masterpiece, this home offers a chance to bring your vision to life. Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • 0.92 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; One-story (ranch)
  • Construction: Built in 1940; Aluminum siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Public water; 0.46-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $681 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Western School District (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #179 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Bean Elementary School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #606 of 1,397 statewide, top 48%, 402 students, 35% FRL); Western Middle School (math 29% / reading 46%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 586 students, 41% FRL); Western High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #109 of 713 statewide, top 17%, 846 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 35% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 172 active listings in the ZIP; 317 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (103 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
16.53%
Cash-on-cash
36.55%
DSCR
2.63
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,668
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3803 Catherine St 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,966 (-1%) 13mo $290,000 $148 66
314 Pershing Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,832 (-8%) 21mo $162,500 $89 61
2850 Sheridan Cir #62 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,770 (-11%) 2mo $461,840 $261 46
163 Robinson Rd 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,756 (-12%) 12mo $250,000 $142 44
3836 Westchester Blvd 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,892 (-5%) 20mo $233,000 $123 40
2904 Sheridan Cir #58 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,741 (-13%) 13mo $554,312 $318 33
410 Robinson Rd 0.60mi 3/3.0 2,203 (+11%) 18mo $345,000 $157 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$38,032
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
46.3%
Equity multiple
6.50×
Total profit
$123,156
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49203

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,376/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$681

Break-even live

Break-even rent $718
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $727 -5% $704 +0% $681 +5% $659 +10% $636
Rent -10% $557 -5% $619 +0% $681 +5% $744 +10% $806
Rate -1.0pp $722 -0.5pp $702 base $681 +0.5pp $661 +1.0pp $640

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 498-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 461-char remark
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Unlock the Potential!Attention investors, flippers, and rehab enthusiasts! This property is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. While the home requires renovation and updating, the opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something special is undeniable. Whether you're looking for your next flip project, rental investment, or renovation masterpiece, this home offers a chance to bring your vision to life. Sold as-is.

  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (457 chars)

    Unlock the Potential!Attention investors, flippers, and rehab enthusiasts! This property is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. While the home requires renovation and updating, the opportunity to build equity and transform this property into something special is undeniable. Whether you're looking for your next flip project, rental investment, or renovation masterpiece, this home offers a chance to bring your vision to life. Sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,376 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,376 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,962
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,376
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,517
− Management
−$1,517
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$7,353
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,765
After-tax cash flow
$6,412/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Western School District
NCES district ID
2635940
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$54,441
Composite
36.1/100
National rank
#4755
State rank
#179 of 540 in MI

Livability — Blackman

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Jackson County · 85,581 people
Metro
Jackson, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,474
Household income
$56,201
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
156,365 people
By 2030
153,123 · -2.1%
By 2040
144,981 · -7.3%
By 2050
135,671 · -13.2%
By 2075
113,833 · -27.2%
By 2100
86,592 · -44.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 38.6% · R 59.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-23.7pp toward R · 2008: 2.4pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.09%
Current HPI
211.5474
Rent YoY
▲ 7.54%
Metro
Jackson, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $79,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $79,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $79,900 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,376 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…