870 Tacken St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1928
- Listed 322 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Two lots (see description)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 3 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $589 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.4% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (51%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $39k implies a 86% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 64.76%
- DSCR
- 3.88
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,830
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3801 W Court | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-5%) | 7mo | $16,500 | $13 | 80 |
| 945 Salisbury Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+13%) | 4mo | $95,000 | $61 | 66 |
| 3414 Van Buren Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,470 (+7%) | 6mo | $28,000 | $19 | 62 |
| 3631 Ridgecliffe Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-8%) | 6mo | $173,000 | $137 | 61 |
| 3360 Beecher Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,351 (-1%) | 0mo | $66,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 1318 Mann Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 | 1,412 (+3%) | 7mo | $89,900 | $64 | 58 |
| 2830 Reynolds St | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 5mo | $31,500 | $23 | 56 |
| 3405 Sherwood Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,500 (+10%) | 4mo | $88,000 | $59 | 52 |
| 1202 Knapp Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,255 (-8%) | 3mo | $49,900 | $40 | 50 |
| 1409 Stocker Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,290 (-6%) | 1mo | $50,250 | $39 | 48 |
| 3709 Brentwood Dr | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,176 (-14%) | 3mo | $130,000 | $111 | 47 |
| 2710 Mansfield Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-12%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $96 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.86×
- Total profit
- $31,276
- Equity at exit
- $5,815
- IRR
- 68.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.94×
- Total profit
- $75,812
- Equity at exit
- $3,372
Cash invested: $10,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48532
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,174 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$205
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $589
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $611 | -5% $600 | +0% $589 | +5% $578 | +10% $567 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $497 | -5% $543 | +0% $589 | +5% $636 | +10% $682 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $609 | -0.5pp $599 | base $589 | +0.5pp $579 | +1.0pp $569 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,750
- Closing costs
- $1,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 Barney Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3713 Gratiot Ave Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3901 Herrick St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 314 Sheffield Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,250 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3929 Larchmont St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2198 Utley Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2610 Swayze St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1194 | $950 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1410 Bradley Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $995 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2428 Norbert St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2544 Tyrone St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $825 | $0.57 | 14d | 1 | 1.06mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $39,000 Pending 322 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $39,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,000 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $39,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $39,000 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-04-17price $39,000
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-04-16price $39,900 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-04-16price $39,900
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-04-15price $42,567 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-04-14price $42,567
-
2026-03-31price $44,567 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-03-30price $44,567
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-03-30price $50,777 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-03-30price $50,777
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-03-16price $52,345 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-03-16price $52,345
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-02-14price $54,000 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2026-02-13price $54,000
-
2025-10-22price $54,890 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2025-10-21price $54,890
-
2025-09-05price $59,900 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2025-09-05price $59,900
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2025-07-17$78,900 Active
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2025-07-17$78,900 Active 1-char remark
Show marketing remark (1 chars)
.
-
2019-02-05soldstatus $21,000
-
2019-01-28soldstatus $21,000 Sold 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2019-01-28soldstatus $21,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2018-12-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2018-12-21status Pending 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2018-11-28$23,000 Active 210-char remark
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2018-11-28$23,000 Active
Show marketing remark (210 chars)
MLS Data such as bedrooms, bathrooms, number of rooms, room sizes, etc are all estimated as Listing Broker has not been inside of home and does not guarantee it is accurate, buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2005-12-14soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,088
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,185
- − Property taxes
- −$1,408
- − Insurance
- −$195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − Depreciation
- −$1,135
- Taxable income
- $6,912
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,659
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,413/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,750
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -82.08%
- Current HPI
- 202.407
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-43.5% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $42,567 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $42,567 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $44,567 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $44,567 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $50,777 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $50,777 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $52,345 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $52,345 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $54,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $54,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $54,890 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $54,890 REALCOMP
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-17 Listed $78,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-17 Listed $78,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2019-01-28 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-01-28 Sold (MLS) $21,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-12-21 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-12-21 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-11-28 Listed $23,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-11-28 Listed $23,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,408 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…