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1399 Martin Hill Rd
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • DSCR +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,900

1399 Martin Hill Rd · South Corning, NY 14830
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1961 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A perfect blend of country living, and comfort in this 4 bed, 2 full bath ranch with so many updates! Take the drive just outside of south corning, and see this country ranch with new siding, new kitchen, refinished hardwood floors, refreshed bathrooms, new electrical service, replacement windows and doors, new plumbing, new gas lines in the house, as well as from road to the meter. Additionally seamless gutters, main level laundry and a new side porch are just few of the updates on a very long list. Longing for a bit of the quiet life, but yet close to everything you need? Here is your chance to claim this one, because the work has already been done. This could very well be the place you w

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New siding
  • Refreshed bathrooms

Tags

NEW SIDINGNEW KITCHENREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSREFRESHED BATHROOMSNEW ELECTRICAL SERVICEREPLACEMENT WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($243/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (6.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#228 in NY, #3,596 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Corning City School District (town): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #406 of 590 in NY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $190k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $177,265 (6.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.46%
DSCR
1.02
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-29,414
Equity at exit
$28,315
10-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-23,674
Equity at exit
$16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14830

Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,773 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,662/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,747
Max offer price $189,900
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $128 -5% $74 +0% $20 +5% $-33 +10% $-87
Rent -10% $-120 -5% $-50 +0% $20 +5% $90 +10% $160
Rate -1.0pp $116 -0.5pp $69 base $20 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-79

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-25
    listed $189,900 Active
  3. 2023-04-04
    soldstatus $80,000
  4. 2015-03-10
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,662 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,662 · $305/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,272
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$3,662
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,702
− Management
−$1,702
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$2,905
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$697
After-tax cash flow
$940/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corning City School District
NCES district ID
3608400
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$53,042
Composite
41.8/100
National rank
#3392
State rank
#406 of 590 in NY

Livability — South Corning

Score
76/100
State rank
#228
US rank
#3596

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Steuben County · 41,193 people
Metro
Corning, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,015
Household income
$73,263
Rent vs Own
34.0% rent · 66.0% own
Severe rent burden
565.0

Population outlook (Steuben County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,062 people
By 2030
89,793 · -3.5%
By 2040
82,353 · -11.5%
By 2050
74,286 · -20.2%
By 2075
55,589 · -40.3%
By 2100
37,587 · -59.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Steuben

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.8) · D 34.1% · R 65.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.8 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+36.2 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -94.59%
Current HPI
173.9857
Rent YoY
Metro
Corning, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+578.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $189,900 UNYREIS
  • 2023-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2015-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,662 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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