5711 Columbia Way #163 · Quartz Hill, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 28 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-wide mobile home featuring fresh interior paint and brand-new carpet throughout. This cozy home offers a comfortable living space with a swamp cooler for warmer months and a wall heater for year-round comfort. Conveniently priced to sell, this is a great opportunity for affordable living or investment. Don't miss out--call today before it's gone!
Key facts
- Wall heater
- Fresh interior paint
- Brand-new carpet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: APN 8950-116-163
- HOA & community: Park name: Quartz Hill Mobile; New space rent around $536; Park deposit: none; Deposit: $3
Exterior
- Security: Security complex (park)
- Utilities: Individual meter; Cable TV
- Home design: Mobile home; Located in a mobile home park (Quartz Hill Mobile); Space number 163; All ages community; Manufactured in 1978; Length about 54 ft; Width about 12 ft
- Construction: Composition shingle roof; Skirted exterior; Manufacturer: Skyline
- Exterior features: Awning (2); Park pool; Clubhouse/rec room; Security complex
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas Range; Gas Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Dryer; Washer; Refrigerator; Gas Range; Gas Oven
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.0% vs local median 4.1% in Quartz Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#703 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Westside Union Elementary (suburban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #565 of 1,400 in CA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1129 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→9/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 41.97%
- DSCR
- 2.87
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,880
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5711 Columbia Way #137 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $157 | 72 |
| 5711 W Columbia Way #216 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+10%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $119 | 69 |
| 5711 Columbia Way #77 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+14%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $177 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $44,367
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.32×
- Total profit
- $102,173
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93536
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1129
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $227/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$457
- Net cashflow
- $1,077
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6570 West Avenue L Lancaster, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 531 | $1,645 | $3.10 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 42347 52nd St W Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $2,300 | $2.75 | 12d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5036 West Avenue L8 Unit 20 Quartz Hill, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5637 Redwood Ave Unit B Palmdale, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $2,445 | $3.22 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4849 Avenue L-14 Quartz Hill, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 42603 50th St W Lancaster, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $2,300 | $2.93 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,999 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,999 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,999 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,999 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,999 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,999 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,999 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,999 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,999 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,999 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,999 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,999 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,999 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,999 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $109,999
-
2026-04-09$115,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $227 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $836 · $70/mo
- Expected delta
- +$609/yr (+$51/mo · 267.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 4 d/yr ≥97°F today · 9 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$227
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,089
- − Management
- −$2,089
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $11,792
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,830
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,096/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-wide mobile home offers a cozy living space with fresh paint and new carpet. Minor updates to the kitchen and exterior would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen cabinets — slightly worn
- Minor kitchen appliances — slightly worn
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizes kitchen and improves aesthetics
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
- Both landscape front yard — improves curb appeal and enhances property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · slightly worn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| kitchen appliances · slightly worn | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and appliances — modernizes kitchen and improves aesthetics ↑
- Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both landscape front yard — improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westside Union Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0642120
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $80,763
- Composite
- 41.01/100
- National rank
- #7473
- State rank
- #565 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Quartz Hill
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #703
- US rank
- #21208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Quartz Hill, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,412
- Household income
- $106,903
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1998.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Black 13% Asian 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -268.64%
- Current HPI
- 357.0605
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.20%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $109,999 AVMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $115,000 AVMLS
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $227 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…