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706 Elizabeth Dr
D- Composite 37.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

706 Elizabeth Dr · Ardmore, OK 73401
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,297 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1951 7,841 sqft lot Est $157k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A nicely updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a fresh, modern feel throughout. The interior features a beautiful paint palette paired with granite countertops and a large granite island that anchors the kitchen. The kitchen also includes stainless-steel appliances, including the refrigerator. The floor plan offers the convenience of a true second full bathroom, a valuable upgrade in this area. Outside, the property includes a large concrete double driveway, providing plenty of parking and an elevated curb appeal. A clean, move-in-ready home with thoughtful upgrades in a convenient Ardmore location.

Key facts

  • Large granite island
  • Granite countertops
  • Elevated curb appeal

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSLARGE GRANITE ISLANDSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESTRUE SECOND FULL BATHROOMLARGE CONCRETE DOUBLE DRIVEWAYELEVATED CURB APPEAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.6% in Ardmore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ardmore (town): math 12% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #241 of 270 in OK (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Charles Evans Es (math 17% / reading 23%, grade F, #469 of 845 statewide, top 56%, 398 students, 0% FRL); Ardmore Ms (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #299 of 345 statewide, top 88%, 498 students, 0% FRL); Ardmore Hs (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #348 of 447 statewide, top 79%, 751 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 73% district-wide (73 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,813 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.24%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$156,937
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 Elizabeth 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-5%) 4mo $165,000 $134 83
923 Maxwell St 0.40mi 3/1.0 1,304 (+0%) 2mo $169,900 $130 75
510 Campbell 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (+3%) 3mo $157,000 $117 75
1412 Healdton Blvd 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,124 (-13%) 2mo $144,300 $128 67
1115 Harris St 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,180 (-9%) 4mo $128,000 $108 63
703 Campbell 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-15%) 4mo $139,000 $126 60
1817 Comanche 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,224 (-6%) 2mo $147,500 $121 59
1908 Choctaw Ave 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,194 (-8%) 2mo $142,500 $119 55
408 NW 11th St 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,194 (-8%) 1mo $140,000 $117 55
1618 Mount Washington St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,248 (-4%) 2mo $120,000 $96 54
801 B St NW 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,320 (+2%) 4mo $127,500 $97 50
321 Ash St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,412 (+9%) 1mo $205,000 $145 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-16,077
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$22,455
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73401

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $465/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,302
Max offer price $174,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $191 -5% $141 +0% $92 +5% $42 +10% $-8
Rent -10% $-21 -5% $35 +0% $92 +5% $148 +10% $204
Rate -1.0pp $180 -0.5pp $136 base $92 +0.5pp $46 +1.0pp $0

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $174,900 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $174,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $174,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $174,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $174,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $174,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $174,900 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $174,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $174,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $174,900 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $174,900 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $174,900 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $174,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $174,900 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    remarks 604-char remark
  16. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on marketlisting id $174,900 Active 1 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 19 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $175,000 Active 18 DOM
  19. 2026-05-12
    listed $175,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$465 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,574 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$1,109/yr (+$92/mo · 238.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,018
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$465
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$1,930
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$463
After-tax cash flow
$1,561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ardmore
NCES district ID
4003180
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,194
Composite
11.1/100
National rank
#9733
State rank
#241 of 270 in OK

Livability — Ardmore

Score
58/100
State rank
#447
US rank
#21387

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ardmore, OK
County
Carter County · 36,833 people
City population
36,833
Metro
Ardmore, OK
Population (ZIP)
36,833
Household income
$61,989
Rent vs Own
36.8% rent · 63.2% own
Severe rent burden
1026.0

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,892 people
By 2030
51,913 · +2.0%
By 2040
53,857 · +5.8%
By 2050
55,604 · +9.3%
By 2075
60,670 · +19.2%
By 2100
62,366 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.7) · D 21.9% · R 76.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -40.5pp · 2024: -54.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.7 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+42.7 2008: R+40.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.93%
Current HPI
269.7381
Rent YoY
▲ 7.38%
Metro
Ardmore, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $175,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $465 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…