103 Ingram Ln · Hot Springs, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
Key facts
- One level home
- Central heat
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Frame construction with metal/vinyl siding; Level lot in a subdivision
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Outside storage area; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Bonus room
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Central electric heating; Floor/wall furnace
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Electric water heater; Sheetrock walls and ceilings; Paneling
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.8% in Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Lakeside School District (urban): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #28 of 238 in AR (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $85k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.59%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,448
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Leatherwood Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,406 (+0%) | 3mo | $221,354 | $157 | 80 |
| 308 Leatherwood Loop | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-6%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $162 | 70 |
| 108 Yellowpine Ct | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+5%) | 2mo | $228,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 312 Leatherwood Loop | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-6%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 312 Leatherwood Loop Lot 45 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-6%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 109 Circle R Ct | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+11%) | 5mo | $227,500 | $146 | 64 |
| 295 Leatherwood Loop | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,326 (-6%) | 11mo | $215,000 | $162 | 64 |
| 210 Leatherwood Loop | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,272 (-9%) | 4mo | $206,000 | $162 | 64 |
| 141 Seaburn Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-6%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $178 | 64 |
| 272 Leatherwood Loop | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,303 (-7%) | 3mo | $218,125 | $167 | 63 |
| 831 Akers Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (+2%) | 15mo | $234,900 | $164 | 59 |
| 220 Chadwood St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+12%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $162 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $22,315
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $65,833
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71901
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 363
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,368 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $387/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Parkshores Rd Hot Springs National Park, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 931 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-05-12status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-25status Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-25status Back on Market
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-22status Pending 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-22status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-09$85,000 Active 403-char remark
Show marketing remark (403 chars)
Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.
-
2026-04-08$85,000 New Listing
-
1995-08-25soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $387 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $544 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$157/yr (+$13/mo · 40.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$387
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,313
- − Management
- −$1,313
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $5,740
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,378
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lakeside School District
- NCES district ID
- 0508670
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,849
- Composite
- 39.76/100
- National rank
- #3884
- State rank
- #28 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hot Springs
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #12498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Garland County · 76,414 people
- City population
- 76,414
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,937
- Household income
- $53,514
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 961.0
Population outlook (Garland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,343 people
- By 2030
- 101,880 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 104,804 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 107,292 · +6.9%
- By 2075
- 113,182 · +12.8%
- By 2100
- 112,247 · +11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Garland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.2) · D 30.8% · R 67.0% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.3pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -36.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.2 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+29.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -11.75%
- Current HPI
- 317.2542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hot Springs, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+240.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — HSBOR
- 2026-05-12 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — HSBOR
- 2026-04-25 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — HSBOR
- 2026-04-22 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $85,000 HSBOR
- 2026-04-08 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
- 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+17.7%/yrLatest (2025): $387 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…