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103 Ingram Ln
B- Composite 69.73
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

103 Ingram Ln · Hot Springs, AR 71901
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1980 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

Key facts

  • One level home
  • Central heat
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

ONE LEVEL HOMECORNER LOTLAKESIDE SCHOOL DISTRICTEAT IN KITCHENSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMCENTRAL HEAT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public water; Municipal electric (Entergy); Natural gas
  • Home design: Frame construction with metal/vinyl siding; Level lot in a subdivision
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Outside storage area; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Bonus room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling; Central electric heating; Floor/wall furnace
  • Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Electric water heater; Sheetrock walls and ceilings; Paneling
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.8% in Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lakeside School District (urban): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #28 of 238 in AR (top 12%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 363 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $85k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,725 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.61%
Cap rate
14.30%
Cash-on-cash
28.59%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,448
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
204 Leatherwood Loop 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,406 (+0%) 3mo $221,354 $157 80
308 Leatherwood Loop 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-6%) 3mo $215,000 $162 70
108 Yellowpine Ct 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,472 (+5%) 2mo $228,000 $155 67
312 Leatherwood Loop 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-6%) 8mo $205,000 $155 66
312 Leatherwood Loop Lot 45 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-6%) 8mo $205,000 $155 66
109 Circle R Ct 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+11%) 5mo $227,500 $146 64
295 Leatherwood Loop 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,326 (-6%) 11mo $215,000 $162 64
210 Leatherwood Loop 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,272 (-9%) 4mo $206,000 $162 64
141 Seaburn Ln 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-6%) 2mo $235,000 $178 64
272 Leatherwood Loop 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,303 (-7%) 3mo $218,125 $167 63
831 Akers Rd 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,436 (+2%) 15mo $234,900 $164 59
220 Chadwood St 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,572 (+12%) 4mo $255,000 $162 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$22,315
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
30.8%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$65,833
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71901

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,368 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $387/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$567

Break-even live

Break-even rent $650
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 Parkshores Rd Hot Springs National Park, AR 2.0 2.0 931 $1,300 $1.40 14d 1 0.38mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  2. 2026-05-12
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  3. 2026-04-25
    status Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  4. 2026-04-25
    status Back on Market
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  5. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  6. 2026-04-22
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  7. 2026-04-09
    listed $85,000 Active 403-char remark
    Show marketing remark (403 chars)

    Affordable one level frame traditional style home conveniently located on a spacious corner lot within the Lakeside School District. Home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, eat in kitchen, spacious living room, central heat, central cool, porch, deck and parking pads. HUD Case #031-405592, FHA Financing: IE (Insured Escrow). Property is sold in as-is condition, no warranties, guarantees or representations.

  8. 2026-04-08
    listed $85,000 New Listing
  9. 1995-08-25
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$387 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$544 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$157/yr (+$13/mo · 40.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,411
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$387
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,313
− Management
−$1,313
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,378
After-tax cash flow
$5,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lakeside School District
NCES district ID
0508670
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,849
Composite
39.76/100
National rank
#3884
State rank
#28 of 238 in AR

Livability — Hot Springs

Score
65/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#12498

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Garland County · 76,414 people
City population
76,414
Metro
Hot Springs, AR
Population (ZIP)
28,937
Household income
$53,514
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
961.0

Population outlook (Garland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,343 people
By 2030
101,880 · +1.5%
By 2040
104,804 · +4.4%
By 2050
107,292 · +6.9%
By 2075
113,182 · +12.8%
By 2100
112,247 · +11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Garland

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.2) · D 30.8% · R 67.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.3pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -36.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.2 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+29.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.75%
Current HPI
317.2542
Rent YoY
Metro
Hot Springs, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending HSBOR
  • 2026-05-12 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted HSBOR
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending HSBOR
  • 2026-04-22 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $85,000 HSBOR
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $85,000 CARMLS
  • 1995-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $387 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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