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617 Oscar
D+ Composite 47.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

617 Oscar · North Muskegon, MI 49445
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1950 0.29 ac lot Est $211k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of this classic 3 bedroom ranch home located in a North Muskegon. This home offers character and plenty of space to enjoy on the main level and in the basement. Situated on a large lot, the property provides room for gardening, outdoor entertaining, or simply relaxing in a peaceful setting. New furnace and AC plus roof is less than 10 years old. Immediate possession. It's a wonderful opportunity to enjoy the charm of an older home while making it your own. Conveniently located near Hardings, Brooklyn Bagels, Hometown Pharmacy and the Muskegon bike path.

Key facts

  • New furnace
  • Outdoor entertaining
  • Classic ranch home

Tags

CLASSIC RANCH HOMELARGE LOTROOM FOR GARDENINGOUTDOOR ENTERTAININGNEW FURNACENEW AC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single family residence; Single-story
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Full basement (finished status not specified)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Garage door opener; 6 total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-41 ($-496/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $218k (3.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.1% in North Muskegon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#129 in MI, #3,195 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • North Muskegon Public Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #84 of 760 in MI (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 438 units permitted in Muskegon County in 2024 (115 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Muskegon County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $180,000 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.79%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$211,050
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
506 Straley St 0.12mi 3/1.0 955 (-9%) 2mo $242,500 $254 75
2659 Celery Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,090 (+4%) 3mo $226,000 $207 73
613 Oscar St 0.02mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+9%) 14mo $279,900 $246 71
418 Straley St 0.14mi 3/1.0 952 (-9%) 13mo $239,900 $252 65
1846 Mills Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-1%) 2mo $125,000 $120 61
2202 Oak Ave 0.31mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,117 (+6%) 22mo $225,000 $201 50
1929 Lake Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+3%) 20mo $200,000 $185 48
1838 Moulton Ave 0.65mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,116 (+6%) 9mo $200,000 $179 47
1837 Mills Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,024 (-2%) 21mo $173,000 $169 46
1848 Oak Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 930 (-11%) 15mo $179,900 $193 33
2003 Moulton Ave 0.46mi 2/2.0 (-1) 897 (-15%) 24mo $171,000 $191 27
1833 Cedar Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 907 (-14%) 16mo $191,000 $211 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.7%
Equity multiple
2.90×
Total profit
$119,879
Equity at exit
$202,698
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
6.64×
Total profit
$355,037
Equity at exit
$437,126

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49445

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$190 /mo · $2,276/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-41

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,852
Max offer price $217,698
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $86 -5% $22 +0% $-41 +5% $-105 +10% $-169
Rent -10% $-184 -5% $-112 +0% $-41 +5% $30 +10% $101
Rate -1.0pp $72 -0.5pp $16 base $-41 +0.5pp $-100 +1.0pp $-159

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
614 E Sunset Dr Muskegon, MI 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,800 $1.75 21d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $225,000 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    remarks 578-char remark
  4. 2026-06-02
    listed $225,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,276 · $190/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,870 · $239/mo
Expected delta
+$595/yr (+$50/mo · 26.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,600
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,276
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,728
− Management
−$1,728
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$4,406
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,057
After-tax cash flow
$561/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Muskegon Public Schools
NCES district ID
2625800
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▲ 13.00%
Median HH income
$57,539
Composite
52.2/100
National rank
#3473
State rank
#84 of 760 in MI

Livability — North Muskegon

Score
77/100
State rank
#129
US rank
#3195

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Muskegon, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,090

Population outlook (Muskegon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
174,032 people
By 2030
173,365 · -0.4%
By 2040
168,877 · -3.0%
By 2050
160,306 · -7.9%
By 2075
134,426 · -22.8%
By 2100
98,836 · -43.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 10% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Muskegon

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.4% · R 50.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.6 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+17.8 2008: D+29.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 40.82%
Current HPI
605.31
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $225,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $225,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $225,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,276 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…