1407 W Hank Ave · Artesia, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.3/30.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Excellent investment opportunity * * 4-Unit multifamily property featuring one 1-bedroom, two 2-bedroom and one 3-bedroom units. Large front porch. Split Units added in all units in 2024. New Roof in 2024. This property offers a strong combination of current income and long term value. Don't miss your chance to acquire a value-add asses in a steady rental market. 100% Occupied.
Key facts
- Value-add asset
- Large front porch
- Long term value
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 16-bed/8.0-bath other listed at $284k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $284k).
- Recommended offer: $250k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#75 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Artesia Public Schools (town): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #17 of 95 in NM (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 156 units permitted in Eddy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,298/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 159% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Eddy County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.69%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-5,055
- Equity at exit
- $42,345
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $48,485
- Equity at exit
- $24,555
Cash invested: $79,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88210
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,298 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,489
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$355 /mo · $4,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$118
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$692
- Net cashflow
- $642
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,000
- Closing costs
- $8,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $284,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $284,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $284,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $284,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $284,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $284,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $284,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $284,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $284,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $284,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $284,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $284,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $284,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $284,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $284,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $284,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $284,000 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity * * 4-Unit multifamily property featuring one 1-bedroom, two 2-bedroom and one 3-bedroom units. Large front porch. Split Units added in all units in 2024. New Roof in 2024. This property offers a strong combination of current income and long term value. Don't miss your chance to acquire a value-add asses in a steady rental market. 100% Occupied.
-
2026-02-16status Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity * * 4-Unit multifamily property featuring one 1-bedroom, two 2-bedroom and one 3-bedroom units. Large front porch. Split Units added in all units in 2024. New Roof in 2024. This property offers a strong combination of current income and long term value. Don't miss your chance to acquire a value-add asses in a steady rental market. 100% Occupied.
-
2026-02-08status Pending 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity * * 4-Unit multifamily property featuring one 1-bedroom, two 2-bedroom and one 3-bedroom units. Large front porch. Split Units added in all units in 2024. New Roof in 2024. This property offers a strong combination of current income and long term value. Don't miss your chance to acquire a value-add asses in a steady rental market. 100% Occupied.
-
2025-10-15$289,000 Active 382-char remark
Show marketing remark (382 chars)
Excellent investment opportunity * * 4-Unit multifamily property featuring one 1-bedroom, two 2-bedroom and one 3-bedroom units. Large front porch. Split Units added in all units in 2024. New Roof in 2024. This property offers a strong combination of current income and long term value. Don't miss your chance to acquire a value-add asses in a steady rental market. 100% Occupied.
-
2025-08-01historical $850
-
2025-07-19$850
-
2025-06-26historical $975
-
2025-06-05$975
-
2025-04-11historical $800
-
2025-03-15price $800
-
2025-03-07$825
-
2024-01-07historical $1,000
-
2023-12-15price $1,000
-
2023-12-01$1,100
-
2023-07-13soldstatus $450,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,908
- − Property taxes
- −$4,260
- − Insurance
- −$1,420
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,166
- − Management
- −$3,166
- − Depreciation
- −$8,262
- Taxable income
- $3,389
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$813
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Artesia Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500120
- Math proficiency
- 29% —
- Reading proficiency
- 42% —
- Median HH income
- $51,397
- Composite
- 33.48/100
- National rank
- #10522
- State rank
- #17 of 95 in NM
Livability — Artesia
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #15300
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Artesia, NM
- County
- Eddy County · 58,370 people
- City population
- 18,542
- Metro
- Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,542
- Household income
- $79,632
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 159.0
Population outlook (Eddy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,505 people
- By 2030
- 69,797 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 79,191 · +20.9%
- By 2050
- 89,199 · +36.2%
- By 2075
- 115,829 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 129,336 · +97.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 40% Two or more races 19% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 50%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Eddy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.9) · D 21.4% · R 77.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -55.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.9 2020: R+51.8 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+25.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -238.85%
- Current HPI
- 115.6107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Carlsbad-Artesia, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-36.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $284,000 NMMLS
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — NMMLS
- 2026-02-08 Pending — NMMLS
- 2025-10-15 Listed $289,000 NMMLS
- 2025-08-01 Rental Removed $850 APPFOLIO
- 2025-07-19 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-26 Rental Removed $975 APPFOLIO
- 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $975 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-11 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-15 Price Changed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2025-03-07 Listed for Rent $825 APPFOLIO
- 2024-01-07 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-15 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-01 Listed for Rent $1,100 APPFOLIO
- 2023-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $450,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2024): $49 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…