312 Radio Rd · Sulphur Springs, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$147,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This older 3-bedroom, 2-bath home, in an established area, features an open kitchen, dining, and living area, along with large bedrooms. Other features include central heat & air, and ceiling fans. There is an abundance of counterspace, cabinet storage, a breakfast bar, and a covered carport with an attached, separate laundry room. The home is situated on a . 32-acre lot with a treed, fenced backyard, covered patio, and a storage shed. The home has a handicap ramp and offers some accessibility features. This home would be a good opportunity for a DIY buyer or investor. The home needs updates and repairs, and is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- Central heat
- Ceiling fans
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing terms include Cash and Conventional
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (covered) and driveway; no garage; 1 covered/carport space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter / natural gas available; Cable available; Overhead utilities; Concrete curbs
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Accessory unit on the property; Accessible approach with ramp, accessible full bath and accessible bedroom; Smoke detectors installed
- Construction: Built in 1956; Brick and siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Covered patio; Storage; Chain link fencing in back yard; Landscaped yard with many trees and large grassy backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Vented exhaust fan; Galley kitchen with breakfast bar and built-in cabinets
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom with medicine cabinet and walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Space heater; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Built-in features; Tile counters; Cable TV available; High speed internet available; Plantation shutters; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $148k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.3% in Sulphur Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#350 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Sulphur Springs ISD (town): math 46% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #323 of 826 in TX (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Bowie Pri (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 319 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 382 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 66 units permitted in Hopkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hopkins County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.22%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,045
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Radio Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (0%) | 1mo | $147,500 | $104 | 100 |
| 500 Sprite Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (-2%) | 6mo | $219,000 | $158 | 82 |
| 136 Lee St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (+2%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $145 | 66 |
| 212 Beckham St W | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+3%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $168 | 64 |
| 913 Fisher St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,374 (-3%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $127 | 61 |
| 612 Lamar St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+9%) | 3mo | $224,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 318 Whitworth St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,545 (+9%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 309 W Beckham St W | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+9%) | 3mo | $224,000 | $145 | 54 |
| 303 Ardis St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,472 (+4%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $146 | 54 |
| 200 Whitworth St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,514 (+6%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $50 | 52 |
| 307 W Beckham St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (+9%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $155 | 50 |
| 1015 Fisher St | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,559 (+10%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $48 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $2,938
- Equity at exit
- $21,993
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $37,236
- Equity at exit
- $12,753
Cash invested: $41,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75482
- Active inventory
- 382
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,852 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$774
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$389
- Net cashflow
- $421
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $504 | -5% $462 | +0% $421 | +5% $379 | +10% $337 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $274 | -5% $348 | +0% $421 | +5% $494 | +10% $567 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $495 | -0.5pp $458 | base $421 | +0.5pp $383 | +1.0pp $344 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,875
- Closing costs
- $4,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604 W A St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,500 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 709 Fuller St Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 325 League St S Sulphur Springs, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending
-
2026-04-16historical Active Option Contract
-
2026-04-03$147,500 Active
-
1992-11-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,492 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,699 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- +$208/yr (+$17/mo · 8.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,228
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,262
- − Property taxes
- −$2,492
- − Insurance
- −$738
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,778
- − Management
- −$1,778
- − Depreciation
- −$4,291
- Taxable income
- $2,889
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$693
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,355/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sulphur Springs ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4841820
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,871
- Composite
- 36.33/100
- National rank
- #4692
- State rank
- #323 of 826 in TX
Livability — Sulphur Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #350
- US rank
- #7665
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- County
- Hopkins County · 26,483 people
- City population
- 26,483
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,483
- Household income
- $69,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 543.0
Population outlook (Hopkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,107 people
- By 2030
- 38,867 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 40,009 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 40,448 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 40,669 · +6.7%
- By 2100
- 37,234 · -2.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hopkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.4% · R 82.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -44.7pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+55.4 2008: R+44.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.79%
- Current HPI
- 156.0526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sulphur Springs, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-16 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $147,500 NTREIS
- 1992-11-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,492 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…