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1033 NC 16 Hwy N
B+ Composite 77.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1033 NC 16 Hwy N · Taylorsville, NC 28681
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,316 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1955 1.04 ac lot Est $196k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom fixer upper offers incredible potential for the savvy buyer or investor looking to add sweat equity. While the home is dated and the original finishes need some work, it remains fully livable and structurally sound, providing a solid foundation for your personal vision. This rustic beauty features 3 reasonably sized bedrooms, a spacious kitchen and a cozy living area perfect for everyday living. Situated on a generously sized lot butting up to a creek, this home offers lots of room for outdoor enjoyment. This property offers an excellent opportunity to create your dream home through cosmetic and functional updates. Don't miss your chance to transform this

Key facts

  • Generously sized lot
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Cozy living area

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHENCOZY LIVING AREAGENEROUSLY SIZED LOTBUTTING UP TO A CREEKOUTDOOR ENJOYMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 4.0% in Taylorsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#159 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Alexander County Schools (rural): math 52% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #52 of 178 in NC (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Alexander County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alexander County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.45%
Cap rate
12.69%
Cash-on-cash
22.83%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,084
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1033 NC 16 Hwy N 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,316 (0%) 1mo $107,000 $81 100
80 Sunset Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,512 (+15%) 15mo $225,000 $149 43
35 Wilson Ln 0.53mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,217 (-8%) 24mo $239,900 $197 34
355 Gravel Hill Ct 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (-13%) 18mo $47,000 $41 32
796 Old Wilkesboro Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-15%) 13mo $226,100 $202 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$20,350
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
3.11×
Total profit
$67,830
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28681

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,663 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $601/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $887
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    listed $115,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$601 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$943 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$342/yr (+$28/mo · 56.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,955
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$601
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,596
− Management
−$1,596
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$5,799
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,392
After-tax cash flow
$5,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alexander County Schools
NCES district ID
3700090
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$41,189
Composite
44.84/100
National rank
#2732
State rank
#52 of 178 in NC

Livability — Taylorsville

Score
69/100
State rank
#159
US rank
#8794

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
26,117

Population outlook (Alexander County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,916 people
By 2030
36,085 · -2.3%
By 2040
33,528 · -9.2%
By 2050
30,229 · -18.1%
By 2075
23,159 · -37.3%
By 2100
15,981 · -56.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alexander

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.9) · D 19.7% · R 79.5%
2008→2024 swing
-21.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -59.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.9 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+44.6 2008: R+38.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.79%
Current HPI
227.497
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $115,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $601 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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