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41 Circle Dr
B+ Composite 77.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$100,000

41 Circle Dr · Dixmoor, IL 60426
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1955 Est $152k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great UNIQUE opportunity for owner-occupants or investors! Solid property with strong potential at an affordable price point. Seller is motivated and property is being sold as-is. Easy access to shopping, transportation, and major expressways. Bring your ideas and make this property your own. Buyer responsible for any village requirements, if applicable.

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number on file; Directions provided to property
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Three off-street owned parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property is currently leased; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Approximately 960 total finished square feet
  • Exterior features: Small lot (less than 0.25 acre); Lot dimensions listed as 6240; Park access nearby

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 12 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Five bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level, approximately 14 x 12; Additional bedroom approximately 17 x 15; Two bedrooms approximately 12 x 10; One bedroom approximately 12 x 12
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; School bus service and commuter bus access
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#202 in IL, #3,730 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $98,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.27%
Cash-on-cash
10.65%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,680
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14103 Marshfield Ave 0.13mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 8mo $177,000 $184 87
34 W 142nd St 0.14mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 9mo $175,000 $182 86
29 Circle Dr 0.03mi 3/1.0 960 (0%) 19mo $103,500 $108 82
23 W 143 St 0.17mi 4/1.0 (+1) 984 (+2%) 5mo $155,000 $158 79
14208 Marshfield Ave 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 15mo $167,000 $174 77
14533 Ashland Ave 0.55mi 4/1.0 (+1) 960 (0%) 13mo $58,000 $60 59
14609 Justine St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,000 (+4%) 6mo $237,500 $238 55
14619 Myrtle Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+4%) 14mo $95,000 $95 49
14630 Loomis Ave 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 936 (-2%) 10mo $127,000 $136 48
14607 Myrtle Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+5%) 15mo $99,900 $99 48
14300 Honore Ave 0.28mi 3/2.0 840 (-12%) 21mo $45,000 $54 45
14510 Cooper Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 936 (-2%) 20mo $210,000 $224 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$70,368
Equity at exit
$90,088
10-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
7.96×
Total profit
$194,942
Equity at exit
$194,278

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60426

Home prices YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,318 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$227 /mo · $2,721/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$248

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,004
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $305 -5% $277 +0% $248 +5% $220 +10% $192
Rent -10% $144 -5% $196 +0% $248 +5% $300 +10% $353
Rate -1.0pp $299 -0.5pp $274 base $248 +0.5pp $223 +1.0pp $196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL 3.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 0.75mi
2053 135th Pl Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 21d 1 1.30mi
2053 135th Pl Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 8d 1 1.30mi
724 W 138th St Unit 3 Riverdale, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 19d 1 1.30mi
2119 135th Pl Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 5d 1 1.35mi
2119 135th Pl Unit 4 Blue Island, IL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 8d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-27
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,721 · $227/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,721 · $227/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,816
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,721
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,265
− Management
−$1,265
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$373
After-tax cash flow
$2,608/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Dixmoor

Score
76/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#3730

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dixmoor, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,066

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.36%
Current HPI
313.7895
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,721 · +25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…