41 Circle Dr · Dixmoor, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great UNIQUE opportunity for owner-occupants or investors! Solid property with strong potential at an affordable price point. Seller is motivated and property is being sold as-is. Easy access to shopping, transportation, and major expressways. Bring your ideas and make this property your own. Buyer responsible for any village requirements, if applicable.
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Listed 23 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel number on file; Directions provided to property
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Three off-street owned parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Property is currently leased; Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Approximately 960 total finished square feet
- Exterior features: Small lot (less than 0.25 acre); Lot dimensions listed as 6240; Park access nearby
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 12 x 10)
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level, approximately 14 x 12; Additional bedroom approximately 17 x 15; Two bedrooms approximately 12 x 10; One bedroom approximately 12 x 12
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Six total rooms; School bus service and commuter bus access
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#202 in IL, #3,730 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.65%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,680
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14103 Marshfield Ave | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 8mo | $177,000 | $184 | 87 |
| 34 W 142nd St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 9mo | $175,000 | $182 | 86 |
| 29 Circle Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 19mo | $103,500 | $108 | 82 |
| 23 W 143 St | 0.17mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 984 (+2%) | 5mo | $155,000 | $158 | 79 |
| 14208 Marshfield Ave | 0.12mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 15mo | $167,000 | $174 | 77 |
| 14533 Ashland Ave | 0.55mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 960 (0%) | 13mo | $58,000 | $60 | 59 |
| 14609 Justine St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 6mo | $237,500 | $238 | 55 |
| 14619 Myrtle Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (+4%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $95 | 49 |
| 14630 Loomis Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-2%) | 10mo | $127,000 | $136 | 48 |
| 14607 Myrtle Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+5%) | 15mo | $99,900 | $99 | 48 |
| 14300 Honore Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 840 (-12%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $54 | 45 |
| 14510 Cooper Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 936 (-2%) | 20mo | $210,000 | $224 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $70,368
- Equity at exit
- $90,088
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.96×
- Total profit
- $194,942
- Equity at exit
- $194,278
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$227 /mo · $2,721/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $248
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $305 | -5% $277 | +0% $248 | +5% $220 | +10% $192 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $196 | +0% $248 | +5% $300 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $299 | -0.5pp $274 | base $248 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $196 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2053 135th Pl Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2053 135th Pl Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 8d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 724 W 138th St Unit 3 Riverdale, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2119 135th Pl Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2119 135th Pl Unit 4 Blue Island, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 8d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$100,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,721 · $227/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,721 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,721
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,265
- − Management
- −$1,265
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$373
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,608/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dixmoor
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #3730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dixmoor, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2023): $2,721 · +25.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…