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300 4th Ave N
C- Composite 51.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$116,250

300 4th Ave N · Hettinger, ND 58639
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · Other · 146 Days on market
Built 1960 4,800 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Attached garage
  • Detached lawn shed
  • Convenient access

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGEHEATED WORKSHOP SPACEDETACHED LAWN SHEDDETACHED GARDEN SHEDCORNER LOTCONVENIENT ACCESS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 40 x 120; Low density residential zoning

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Cooling present
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $116k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#94 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Hettinger 13 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #118 of 169 in ND (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($804 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Adams County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $116k implies a 365% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $102,300 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.37%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$19,805
Equity at exit
$52,271
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$62,314
Equity at exit
$80,556

Cash invested: $32,550 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58639

Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$610
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $888/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$92

Break-even live

Break-even rent $927
Max offer price $116,250
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $157 -5% $124 +0% $92 +5% $59 +10% $26
Rent -10% $9 -5% $50 +0% $92 +5% $133 +10% $174
Rate -1.0pp $150 -0.5pp $121 base $92 +0.5pp $61 +1.0pp $31

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,062
Closing costs
$3,488
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $116,250 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $116,250 Active 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $116,250 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $116,250 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $116,250 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $116,250 Active 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $116,250 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $116,250 Active 135 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $116,250 Active 134 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $116,250 Active 133 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $116,250 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $116,250 Active 129 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $116,250 Active 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $116,250 Active 127 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $116,250 Active 126 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $116,250
  17. 2026-01-25
    listed $125,000 Active
  18. 2022-10-19
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$888 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,139 · $95/mo
Expected delta
+$252/yr (+$21/mo · 28.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,510
− Mortgage interest
−$6,512
− Property taxes
−$888
− Insurance
−$581
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,001
− Management
−$1,001
− Depreciation
−$3,382
Taxable loss
−$854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$205
After-tax cash flow
$1,303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hettinger 13
NCES district ID
3809410
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,531
Composite
34.59/100
National rank
#10096
State rank
#118 of 169 in ND

Livability — Hettinger

Score
69/100
State rank
#94
US rank
#8171

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing C Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hettinger, ND
Population (ZIP)
1,715

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,371 people
By 2030
2,359 · -0.5%
By 2040
2,320 · -2.2%
By 2050
2,278 · -3.9%
By 2075
2,328 · -1.8%
By 2100
2,230 · -5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 19% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.7) · D 18.1% · R 80.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-35.0pp toward R · 2008: -27.8pp · 2024: -62.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.7 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+27.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+365.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $116,250 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $125,000 Badlands BOR MLS
  • 2022-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $888 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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