300 4th Ave N · Hettinger, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$116,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Attached garage
- Detached lawn shed
- Convenient access
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 40 x 120; Low density residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Cooling present
- Interior features: Window coverings; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $116k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $92 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#94 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Hettinger 13 (rural): math 30% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #118 of 169 in ND (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($804 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Adams County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $116k implies a 365% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.37%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $19,805
- Equity at exit
- $52,271
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $62,314
- Equity at exit
- $80,556
Cash invested: $32,550 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58639
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$610
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $888/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $92
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $157 | -5% $124 | +0% $92 | +5% $59 | +10% $26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $9 | -5% $50 | +0% $92 | +5% $133 | +10% $174 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $150 | -0.5pp $121 | base $92 | +0.5pp $61 | +1.0pp $31 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,062
- Closing costs
- $3,488
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-21days on market $116,250 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $116,250 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $116,250 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $116,250 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $116,250 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $116,250 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $116,250 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $116,250 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $116,250 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $116,250 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $116,250 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $116,250 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $116,250 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $116,250 Active 127 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $116,250 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-08price $116,250
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2026-01-25$125,000 Active
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2022-10-19soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $888 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,139 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- +$252/yr (+$21/mo · 28.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,510
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,512
- − Property taxes
- −$888
- − Insurance
- −$581
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$3,382
- Taxable loss
- −$854
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$205
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hettinger 13
- NCES district ID
- 3809410
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,531
- Composite
- 34.59/100
- National rank
- #10096
- State rank
- #118 of 169 in ND
Livability — Hettinger
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #8171
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hettinger, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,715
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,371 people
- By 2030
- 2,359 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 2,320 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 2,278 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 2,328 · -1.8%
- By 2100
- 2,230 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 19% Romanian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.7) · D 18.1% · R 80.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.0pp toward R · 2008: -27.8pp · 2024: -62.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.7 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+27.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
+365.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $116,250 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2026-01-25 Listed $125,000 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2022-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $888 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…