605 Valley View Dr · Brownwood, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
Key facts
- Corner-lot home
- Screened-in porch
- Landscaped backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Brownwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#781 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Brownwood ISD (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #344 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brownwood Middle (math 39% / reading 41%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 485 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 380 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.74%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,995
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -28.16%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 1st St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,698 (-1%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $109 | 66 |
| 1901 Vine St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,854 (+8%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $135 | 60 |
| 1417 Durham Ave | 0.65mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+1%) | 6mo | $179,900 | $104 | 58 |
| 2603 Vincent St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,555 (-10%) | 3mo | $179,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 611 Idlewild Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 1,910 (+11%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $94 | 54 |
| 1009 Roselawn St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,942 (+13%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $165 | 54 |
| 2206 4th St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-7%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $100 | 53 |
| 2301 Berkley St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,535 (-11%) | 3mo | $222,500 | $145 | 46 |
| 2001 Southside Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,547 (-10%) | 8mo | $199,000 | $129 | 41 |
| 2306 Southside Dr | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 1,557 (-10%) | 11mo | $237,000 | $152 | 41 |
| 1601 2nd St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-14%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $151 | 32 |
| 1314 Avenue G | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,500 (-13%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $140 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,509
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $21,224
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76801
- Active inventory
- 380
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $346 | -5% $311 | +0% $275 | +5% $240 | +10% $205 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $133 | -5% $204 | +0% $275 | +5% $347 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $338 | -0.5pp $307 | base $275 | +0.5pp $243 | +1.0pp $210 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2411 13th St Brownwood, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18status $125,000 Pending 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 135 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 134 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 133 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 130 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $125,000 Active Option Contract 123 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $125,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $159,000 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
-
2026-03-13price $175,000 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
-
2026-03-13status Active 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-12-26status Pending 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-12-11historical Active Option Contract 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
-
2025-11-18$169,900 Active 1465-char remark
Show marketing remark (1465 chars)
REDUCED for quick sale. Back on the market and improved with $35,000 in repairs made!! Buyer financing felll through. Brand new HVAC, foundation work just completed with a warranty, all new plumbing in the house for fresh water and drains all the way to the sewer tap. This inviting corner-lot home delivers the kind of flexibility that makes life easier—whether your needs stay the same or evolve over time. Originally designed as a three-bedroom, it’s currently set up as four, and could easily function as five if needed. It could be a 3 bedroom with 2 living areas and an office, a 4 bedroom with an office or game room, etc. The oversized living room flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating a bright, open layout perfect for big gatherings and everyday comfort. Step through to the impressive 32' x 10' screened-in porch, where your entertaining space expands into a beautifully landscaped backyard anchored by a majestic pecan tree that provides excellent shade. For hobbies, storage, or projects, you’ll appreciate the workshop complete with electricity. Parking is a breeze with a double driveway, a well-built carport, and an additional single driveway for extra vehicles. The fenced yard is landscaped, offering privacy and curb appeal. This home is move-in ready as it sits, with plenty of opportunity to update and personalize at your own pace. A rare combination of space, flexibility, and value.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,765 · $314/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,765 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,765
- − Insurance
- −$2,128
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,614
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$387
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,919/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownwood ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811700
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,395
- Composite
- 35.8/100
- National rank
- #4833
- State rank
- #344 of 826 in TX
Livability — Brownwood
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #781
- US rank
- #14230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brownwood, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,152
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,381 people
- By 2030
- 38,288 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 38,120 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 38,227 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 39,362 · +2.6%
- By 2100
- 39,171 · +2.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+73.9) · D 12.7% · R 86.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -61.5pp · 2024: -73.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+73.9 2020: R+72.6 2016: R+74.5 2012: R+71.7 2008: R+61.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.52%
- Current HPI
- 164.0992
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-6.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $159,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-12-26 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-12-11 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $169,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,765 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…