3919 Bressler Cir · Candler-McAfee, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to add value in established Decatur neighborhood! This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers solid bones and a functional layout, ready for your updates and vision. The property needs repairs and cosmetic improvements, but the price reflects the condition — perfect for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to build equity. Features include a spacious living area, generous bedroom sizes, and a large backyard with plenty of potential for outdoor living or future improvements. Located in the 30035 area of Decatur, you’re minutes from I-20, shopping, dining, parks, and just a short drive to downtown Atlanta. The neighborhood has seen ongoing renovation activity, making
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Minutes from i-20
- Resale potential
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $355 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (0.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.2% in Candler-McAfee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Snapfinger Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,228 statewide, top 100%, 501 students, 100% FRL); Columbia High School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #376 of 424 statewide, top 89%, 898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 180 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $74k; list at $198k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.68%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $271,405
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3975 Northstrand Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,864 (+6%) | 2mo | $289,500 | $155 | 76 |
| 3892 Northstrand Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,949 (+11%) | 2mo | $351,500 | $180 | 70 |
| 2046 Copperfield Cir | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,683 (-4%) | 7mo | $220,000 | $131 | 65 |
| 3876 Emerald North Dr | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,577 (-10%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $187 | 63 |
| 2205 Chestnut Hill Cir | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (-3%) | 6mo | $221,598 | $131 | 60 |
| 2347 Greenway Dr | 0.69mi | 3/3.0 | 1,771 (+1%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 2327 Greenway Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,684 (-4%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $95 | 53 |
| 2256 Greenway Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-5%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $189 | 48 |
| 3985 Lindsey Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,632 (-7%) | 2mo | $295,000 | $181 | 47 |
| 4105 Emerald Lake Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (-12%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $155 | 45 |
| 3991 Lindsey Dr | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 1,550 (-12%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $197 | 44 |
| 1946 Glenwood Downs Dr | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,526 (-13%) | 8mo | $217,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-13,687
- Equity at exit
- $29,522
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $620
- Equity at exit
- $17,119
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30035
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,974 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,006/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$415
- Net cashflow
- $355
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $467 | -5% $411 | +0% $355 | +5% $299 | +10% $243 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $199 | -5% $277 | +0% $355 | +5% $433 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $455 | -0.5pp $405 | base $355 | +0.5pp $304 | +1.0pp $252 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3920 Wedgefield Cir Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2325 | $2,500 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2109 Newgate Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1701 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2248 Emerald Springs Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1918 | $1,870 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 4033 Emerald North Cir Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,061 | $1.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4111 Northstrand Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2173 | $2,031 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2351 Emerald Falls Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,696 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1995 Glenwood Downs Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 5d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1985 Glenwood Downs Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1460 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4085 Canby Ln Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 4066 Marble Arch Ct Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3015 Arthurs Ct Unit 3015 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3019 Arthurs Ct Unit 3019 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3025 Arthurs Ct Unit 3025 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3017 Arthurs Ct Unit 3017 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3023 Arthurs Ct Unit 3023 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3021 Arthurs Ct Unit 3021 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3854 Austin Park Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,800 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1910 Bodwin Pl Unit 1910C Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1914 Bodwin Pl Unit 1914A Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2007 Bodwin Pl Unit 2007 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2011 Bodwin Pl Unit 2011 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2112 Royal Fox Way Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1518 | $2,049 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1905 Bodwin Pl Unit 1905 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1998 Arthurs Court Dr Unit 1998 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1998 Arthurs Court Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4116 Snapfinger Way Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,719 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4203 Wesley Hall Ln Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2457 | $2,461 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4655 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $1,600 | $1.21 | 20d | 31 | 0.77mi |
| 200 High Court Pl Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1130 | $1,705 | $1.51 | 2d | 12 | 0.80mi |
| 2319 Wingfoot Pl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1840 | $1,800 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3525 Oregon Trl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,825 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4371 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 44d | 6 | 0.97mi |
| 4371 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,525 | $1.39 | 2d | 9 | 0.97mi |
| 4707 Riverwood Cir Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $1,850 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3711 Daisy Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,700 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3443 Hyland Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3917 Leprechaun Ct Decatur, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2463 | $2,280 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3415 Hyland Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3409 Hyland Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $1,990 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2381 Charleston Ter Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2130 | $2,125 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending
-
2026-02-23$198,000 Active
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2025-12-06price $240,000
-
2025-12-06price $240,000
-
2025-06-21$250,000 New
-
2025-06-21$250,000 Active
-
1987-06-01soldstatus $73,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,822 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$815/yr (+$68/mo · 81.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,692
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$1,006
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,895
- − Management
- −$1,895
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable income
- $1,054
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$253
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Candler-McAfee
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,569
- Household income
- $66,799
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Swiss 0%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.60%
- Current HPI
- 218.8323
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.87%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+169.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $198,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $240,000 FMLS
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $240,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-21 Listed $250,000 FMLS
- 2025-06-21 Listed $250,000 GAMLS
- 1987-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,006 · -77.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…