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116 Berwick Rd N
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0

$189,900

116 Berwick Rd N · Lyncourt, NY 13208
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,349 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1920 6,048 sqft lot Est $213k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautiful bungalow located in the heart of Lyncourt with an unbeatable location right next to Lyncourt Elementary! As you walk through the front door, an amazing entryway with tapered columns, custom built-ins and woodwork greets you with its statement of quality and craftsmanship. Gleaming freshly-finished hardwood floors flow invitingly through the living room, dining room and main floor bedroom. The open kitchen with modular butcher block island and pleasing maple shaker-style cabinets complimented by modern white counters and glass backsplash is bright and fully updated, and perfect for entertaining (with formal dining attached). Both full baths have been completely updated as well! Upstairs, there are 2 bedrooms with abundant closet space. The backyard has a beautiful new deck with lots of space for summertime fun, and a fully fenced backyard. Come visit this extraordinary home - it won’t last long! Please see attached link for virtual tour and please follow all COVID guidelines while viewing! Previous Radon and Home Inspection report available. Public open house 1/31 12pm-2pm!

Key facts

  • Classic built-ins
  • Full basement
  • Spacious layout

Tags

CRAFTSMAN-STYLE COLUMNSCLASSIC BUILT-INSENCLOSED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS LAYOUTPLENTIFUL MAPLE CABINETRYFULL BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (25.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (7.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#72 in NY, #1,075 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-.
  • Lyncourt Union Free School District (suburban): math 33% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #719 of 755 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,754/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $142,472 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
4.60%
Cash-on-cash
-6.06%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,142
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 Berwick Rd N 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,349 (0%) 0mo $232,500 $172 100
2908 Court St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,312 (-3%) 2mo $170,000 $130 83
263 Wayland Rd 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,267 (-6%) 3mo $200,000 $158 77
252 Medford Rd 0.18mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,422 (+5%) 5mo $250,000 $176 74
709 Darlington Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,416 (+5%) 3mo $207,000 $146 67
352 Roxford Rd N 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,164 (-14%) 0mo $209,500 $180 60
158 Darlington Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,329 (-2%) 2mo $186,000 $140 57
308 Kenwick Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-8%) 3mo $180,000 $144 57
125 1/2 Westview Ave 0.60mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,292 (-4%) 3mo $220,000 $170 55
606 Roxford Rd S 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,162 (-14%) 1mo $210,000 $181 52
143 Huntley St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,218 (-10%) 2mo $97,000 $80 44
1108 Wadsworth St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,168 (-13%) 2mo $165,000 $141 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.63×
Total profit
$86,561
Equity at exit
$171,077
10-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
6.06×
Total profit
$268,826
Equity at exit
$368,934

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13208

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,754 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$579 /mo · $6,947/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$368
Net cashflow
$-268

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,094
Max offer price $142,472
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-161 -5% $-215 +0% $-268 +5% $-322 +10% $-376
Rent -10% $-407 -5% $-338 +0% $-268 +5% $-199 +10% $-130
Rate -1.0pp $-173 -0.5pp $-220 base $-268 +0.5pp $-318 +1.0pp $-368

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,475
Closing costs
$5,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
286 Ross Park Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 45d 1 0.88mi
106 Harrington St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,875 $1.61 44d 1 0.90mi
2802 Lemoyne Ave Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 988 $1,700 $1.72 14d 1 0.99mi
423 Wendell Ter Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 14d 1 1.02mi
126 Woodruff Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,675 $1.40 44d 1 1.11mi
417 Hazelhurst Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1536 $1,250 $0.81 21d 1 1.14mi
1132 Wolf St Unit 4 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,350 $1.30 44d 1 1.20mi
297 Norwood Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1188 $2,050 $1.73 21d 1 1.41mi
1801 James St #2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1244 $1,800 $1.45 14d 1 1.44mi
225 Marlborough Rd Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,800 $1.73 14d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-03-31
    listed $189,900 Active
  4. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $150,000
  5. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $150,000
  6. 2021-03-24
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed Sale or Rented 1122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1122 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful bungalow located in the heart of Lyncourt with an unbeatable location right next to Lyncourt Elementary! As you walk through the front door, an amazing entryway with tapered columns, custom built-ins and woodwork greets you with its statement of quality and craftsmanship. Gleaming freshly-finished hardwood floors flow invitingly through the living room, dining room and main floor bedroom. The open kitchen with modular butcher block island and pleasing maple shaker-style cabinets complimented by modern white counters and glass backsplash is bright and fully updated, and perfect for entertaining (with formal dining attached). Both full baths have been completely updated as well! Upstairs, there are 2 bedrooms with abundant closet space. The backyard has a beautiful new deck with lots of space for summertime fun, and a fully fenced backyard. Come visit this extraordinary home - it won’t last long! Please see attached link for virtual tour and please follow all COVID guidelines while viewing! Previous Radon and Home Inspection report available. Public open house 1/31 12pm-2pm!

  7. 2021-02-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 1122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1122 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful bungalow located in the heart of Lyncourt with an unbeatable location right next to Lyncourt Elementary! As you walk through the front door, an amazing entryway with tapered columns, custom built-ins and woodwork greets you with its statement of quality and craftsmanship. Gleaming freshly-finished hardwood floors flow invitingly through the living room, dining room and main floor bedroom. The open kitchen with modular butcher block island and pleasing maple shaker-style cabinets complimented by modern white counters and glass backsplash is bright and fully updated, and perfect for entertaining (with formal dining attached). Both full baths have been completely updated as well! Upstairs, there are 2 bedrooms with abundant closet space. The backyard has a beautiful new deck with lots of space for summertime fun, and a fully fenced backyard. Come visit this extraordinary home - it won’t last long! Please see attached link for virtual tour and please follow all COVID guidelines while viewing! Previous Radon and Home Inspection report available. Public open house 1/31 12pm-2pm!

  8. 2021-01-28
    listed $149,900 Active 1122-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1122 chars)

    Welcome to this beautiful bungalow located in the heart of Lyncourt with an unbeatable location right next to Lyncourt Elementary! As you walk through the front door, an amazing entryway with tapered columns, custom built-ins and woodwork greets you with its statement of quality and craftsmanship. Gleaming freshly-finished hardwood floors flow invitingly through the living room, dining room and main floor bedroom. The open kitchen with modular butcher block island and pleasing maple shaker-style cabinets complimented by modern white counters and glass backsplash is bright and fully updated, and perfect for entertaining (with formal dining attached). Both full baths have been completely updated as well! Upstairs, there are 2 bedrooms with abundant closet space. The backyard has a beautiful new deck with lots of space for summertime fun, and a fully fenced backyard. Come visit this extraordinary home - it won’t last long! Please see attached link for virtual tour and please follow all COVID guidelines while viewing! Previous Radon and Home Inspection report available. Public open house 1/31 12pm-2pm!

  9. 2018-08-17
    soldstatus $127,000 Closed Sale or Rented
  10. 2018-08-17
    listed $127,000 Active
  11. 2018-08-10
    soldstatus $127,000
  12. 2009-10-02
    soldstatus $114,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,947 · $579/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,947 · $579/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,044
− Mortgage interest
−$10,637
− Property taxes
−$6,947
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,684
− Management
−$1,684
− Depreciation
−$5,524
Taxable loss
−$6,381
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,531
After-tax cash flow
$-1,690/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lyncourt Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3617940
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$44,650
Composite
29.71/100
National rank
#11736
State rank
#719 of 755 in NY

Livability — Lyncourt

Score
82/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#1075

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lyncourt, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,993
Household income
$44,712
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1437.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.91%
Current HPI
399.3284
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.6% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $189,900 CNYIS
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (MLS) $150,000 CNYIS
  • 2021-02-01 Pending CNYIS
  • 2021-01-28 Listed $149,900 CNYIS
  • 2018-08-17 Listed $127,000 CNYIS
  • 2018-08-17 Sold (MLS) $127,000 CNYIS
  • 2018-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2009-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $114,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,947 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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