1814 Bracey St · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come see this charming 5 bedroom Colonial built in 2023 and waiting for you to update and revitalize-located near shopping and main roads. The eat-in kitchen is open with electric range, dishwasher and refrigerator. There is a first floor bedroom and full bath down the hall. The primary bedroom upstairs is well proportioned with carpeting-the remaining bedrooms are also good sized-bathrooms feature tub/shower combinations. SOLD AS-IS, with no repairs by Seller. This property may qualify for Seller Financing (Vendee). If Property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists.
Key facts
- 2,456 sq ft lot
- Built 2023
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached colonial; 2 stories; Crawl foundation
- Construction: Fiber cement siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Back fenced yard; City view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor; 7 total rooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Carpet, laminate, and vinyl flooring
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lindenwood Elementary (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,082 of 1,108 statewide, top 98%, 262 students, 98% FRL); Granby High (math 33% / reading 80%, grade C, #270 of 319 statewide, top 86%, 1,837 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 123 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,496/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1531% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $259k implies a 1571% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.05%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 746 A Ave | 0.25mi | 5/3.0 | 2,000 (+5%) | 1mo | $315,000 | $158 | 79 |
| 934 Pollard St | 0.17mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,790 (-6%) | 4mo | $322,000 | $180 | 74 |
| 1311 Cary Ave | 0.54mi | 5/3.0 | 1,900 (0%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $163 | 73 |
| 1347 Marshall Ave | 0.60mi | 5/3.0 | 1,900 (0%) | 2mo | $359,000 | $189 | 70 |
| 857 A Ave | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 1256 Maltby Ave | 0.60mi | 5/3.0 | 1,900 (0%) | 5mo | $347,300 | $183 | 67 |
| 2222 Hanson Ave | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 1,980 (+4%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $174 | 65 |
| 1740 Hancock Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,908 (+0%) | 4mo | $370,000 | $194 | 60 |
| 823 Lexington St | 0.20mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,616 (-15%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $186 | 58 |
| 2529 Carona Ave | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,673 (-12%) | 5mo | $333,000 | $199 | 52 |
| 2729 Vimy Ridge Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,086 (+10%) | 4mo | $255,000 | $122 | 41 |
| 2811 Dunkirk Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,644 (-14%) | 5mo | $340,000 | $207 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-22,118
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $31,346
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23504
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,496 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$321 /mo · $3,852/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $258 | +0% $184 | +5% $111 | +10% $38 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-13 | -5% $86 | +0% $184 | +5% $283 | +10% $381 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $315 | -0.5pp $250 | base $184 | +0.5pp $117 | +1.0pp $49 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 766 A Ave Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1403 Lead St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1854 | $2,550 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1801 Saint Denis Ave Unit 3 Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 219 W 27th St Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2268 | $2,900 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2914 Peronne Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $2,495 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2537 McKann Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2321 | $2,695 | $1.16 | 15d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3239 Granby St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2350 | $2,600 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3114 Luxembourg Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $3,100 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2349 | $2,900 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 212 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2350 | $2,800 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 220 Broadway St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2540 | $3,500 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 410 W 29th St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2001 | $2,500 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3301 Vimy Ridge Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,150 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3126 Marne Ave Norfolk, VA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1943 | $3,000 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 507 Westover Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2414 | $3,495 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 711 Stockley Gdns Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,900 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3414 Tidewater Dr Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,000 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 407 Pennsylvania Ave Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,200 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 630 W 36th St Norfolk, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $259,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 596-char remark
-
2026-06-17$259,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,852 · $321/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,852 · $321/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,946
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$3,852
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,396
- − Management
- −$2,396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable loss
- −$2,035
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$488
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,700/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,502
- Household income
- $44,659
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1531.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 78% White 12% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.60%
- Current HPI
- 327.2374
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.12%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+1571.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $259,000 REINMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $299,990 REINMLS
- 2025-10-01 Listed $324,990 REINMLS
- 2023-08-25 Pending — REINMLS
- 2023-08-10 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2023-07-26 Listed $298,000 REINMLS
- 2020-01-15 Pending — REINMLS
- 2020-01-10 Price Changed $10,000 REINMLS
- 2020-01-06 Listed $14,000 REINMLS
- 1978-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $15,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+26.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,852 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…