205 Oregon St · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this cute 3 bedroom 1 bath home. No carpet! Vinyl planks and ceramic tile throughout. Updated bathroom, new kitchen countertop with subway tile backsplash, fresh paint throughout, large backyard!!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 13 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $200 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Wylam Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 371 students, 89% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.80%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,036
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 Oregon St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (0%) | 3mo | $62,000 | $59 | 95 |
| 527 Lexington St | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,044 (0%) | 1mo | $87,500 | $84 | 72 |
| 761 Crowne Rd | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,068 (+2%) | 1mo | $97,970 | $92 | 72 |
| 308 Lexington St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+2%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $42 | 69 |
| 604 Lexington St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 993 (-5%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $50 | 67 |
| 426 Memphis St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 9mo | $37,000 | $32 | 60 |
| 708 Crowne Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,044 (0%) | 20mo | $80,000 | $77 | 59 |
| 605 Oregon St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+10%) | 8mo | $114,500 | $99 | 57 |
| 420 Quebec St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,076 (+3%) | 15mo | $55,000 | $51 | 57 |
| 765 Crowne Rd | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+5%) | 19mo | $76,500 | $70 | 55 |
| 5417 Holland Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+7%) | 8mo | $77,000 | $69 | 50 |
| 4322 6th Ct | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-14%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $45 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-5,078
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $11,977
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35224
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,168 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $200
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $262 | -5% $231 | +0% $200 | +5% $169 | +10% $138 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $154 | +0% $200 | +5% $246 | +10% $293 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $256 | -0.5pp $228 | base $200 | +0.5pp $172 | +1.0pp $143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 229 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 304 Nevada St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 528 Oregon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1165 | $1,200 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5223 Loop Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 604 Lexington St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 993 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 761 Crowne Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,200 | $1.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4623 6th Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1421 | $1,175 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 538 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1226 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,245 | $1.01 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1400 Indiana St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,200 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1221 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $950 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1232 Frisco St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,295 | $0.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1312 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1376 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4800 Norway Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1300 Yukon St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3015 Avenue C Unit C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3011 Avenue D Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-07soldstatus $103,000
-
2026-03-04status Pending
-
2026-02-19$110,000 Active
-
2025-06-01historical $1,150
-
2025-05-28price $1,150
-
2025-05-01historical $1,200
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2025-05-01$1,200
-
2025-04-19$1,200
-
2025-04-07soldstatus $99,000
-
2025-04-01soldstatus $99,000 Sold 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Welcome home to this cute 3 bedroom 1 bath home. No carpet! Vinyl planks and ceramic tile throughout. Updated bathroom, new kitchen countertop with subway tile backsplash, fresh paint throughout, large backyard!!
-
2025-03-06status Pending 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Welcome home to this cute 3 bedroom 1 bath home. No carpet! Vinyl planks and ceramic tile throughout. Updated bathroom, new kitchen countertop with subway tile backsplash, fresh paint throughout, large backyard!!
-
2025-02-25price $97,188 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Welcome home to this cute 3 bedroom 1 bath home. No carpet! Vinyl planks and ceramic tile throughout. Updated bathroom, new kitchen countertop with subway tile backsplash, fresh paint throughout, large backyard!!
-
2025-02-11$102,188 Active 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
Welcome home to this cute 3 bedroom 1 bath home. No carpet! Vinyl planks and ceramic tile throughout. Updated bathroom, new kitchen countertop with subway tile backsplash, fresh paint throughout, large backyard!!
-
2018-06-24price $51,900
-
2005-03-10soldstatus $50,000
-
1986-11-10soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,020
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,201
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$159
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- City population
- 210,422
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,409
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 0%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.47%
- Current HPI
- 126.3423
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+194.3% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $103,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-04 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-06-01 Rental Removed $1,150 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-05-28 Price Changed $1,150 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-05-01 Rental Removed $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,200 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-04-19 Listed for Rent $1,200 BUILDIUM
- 2025-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-01 Sold (MLS) $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-06 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-02-25 Price Changed $97,188 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-02-11 Listed $102,188 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2018-06-24 Price Changed $51,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2005-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1986-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,201 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…