1771 Glendon Rd · Salem, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.7/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CARPET OVER HARDWOOD, BUILT-IN OVEN & COOK TOP, COVERED PATIO, DEN AND BONUS ROOM ON 3RD LEVEL, ONE OWNER HOME, LEVEL LOT.
Key facts
- Premium corner lot
- Renovated bathrooms
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Public transport access
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 3 open parking spaces; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1964
- Exterior features: Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Wall oven
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; 1 main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Storage; Wood doors; Insulated windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-30 ($-356/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (1.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $224k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.9% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#104 in VA, #3,257 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Salem City Public School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #35 of 131 in VA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Salem Elementary (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #536 of 1,108 statewide, top 51%, 409 students, 73% FRL); Andrew Lewis Middle (math 57% / reading 72%, grade A-, #123 of 342 statewide, top 37%, 895 students, 44% FRL); Salem High (math 64% / reading 91%, grade A-, #83 of 319 statewide, top 28%, 1,227 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 27% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 274 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 268 units permitted in Salem city in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Salem County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $280k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.45%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1771 Glendon Rd | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (0%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $141 | 100 |
| 1707 Glendon Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-3%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $133 | 82 |
| 4902 Rowe Ridge Rd NW | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,030 (-2%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $113 | 78 |
| 4852 Autumn Ln NW | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-3%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $100 | 70 |
| 307 Deaner Dr NW | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-3%) | 8mo | $219,500 | $110 | 69 |
| 912 Hemlock Rd | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,998 (-3%) | 0mo | $265,000 | $133 | 62 |
| 1313 Slemp St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-0%) | 2mo | $242,000 | $118 | 61 |
| 4644 Desi Rd NW | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,000 (-3%) | 1mo | $212,500 | $106 | 59 |
| 4230 Moomaw Ave NW | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,976 (-4%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $96 | 50 |
| 2136 Bainbridge Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,994 (-3%) | 10mo | $269,000 | $135 | 48 |
| 709 Catawba Dr | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,250 (+9%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $91 | 44 |
| 938 Hedgewood Dr NW | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,815 (-12%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $127 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-40,393
- Equity at exit
- $41,734
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-7,696
- Equity at exit
- $24,201
Cash invested: $78,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24153
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,236 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$212 /mo · $2,541/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $-30
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $50 | +0% $-30 | +5% $-109 | +10% $-188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-206 | -5% $-118 | +0% $-30 | +5% $59 | +10% $147 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $42 | base $-30 | +0.5pp $-102 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,975
- Closing costs
- $8,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4626 Autumn Ln NW Roanoke, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1408 | $1,999 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 928 Ohio Ave Salem, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 992 | $2,622 | $2.64 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-04-24$279,900 Active
-
2001-10-01soldstatus $118,000
-
2001-09-27soldstatus $118,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
CARPET OVER HARDWOOD, BUILT-IN OVEN & COOK TOP, COVERED PATIO, DEN AND BONUS ROOM ON 3RD LEVEL, ONE OWNER HOME, LEVEL LOT.
-
2001-04-18$119,950 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
CARPET OVER HARDWOOD, BUILT-IN OVEN & COOK TOP, COVERED PATIO, DEN AND BONUS ROOM ON 3RD LEVEL, ONE OWNER HOME, LEVEL LOT.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,541 · $212/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,541 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,679
- − Property taxes
- −$2,541
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,147
- − Management
- −$2,147
- − Depreciation
- −$8,143
- Taxable loss
- −$5,222
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,253
- After-tax cash flow
- $897/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103460
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,976
- Composite
- 57.25/100
- National rank
- #1092
- State rank
- #35 of 131 in VA
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #3257
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, VA
- County
- Salem City · 38,914 people
- City population
- 38,914
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,914
- Household income
- $74,260
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1115.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,761 people
- By 2030
- 27,543 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 29,174 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 30,902 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 35,530 · +32.8%
- By 2100
- 39,381 · +47.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.3) · D 39.8% · R 59.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -15.5pp · 2024: -19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.3 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -259.46%
- Current HPI
- 170.8986
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- Roanoke, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+133.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MLSRV
- 2026-04-24 Listed $279,900 MLSRV
- 2001-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2001-09-27 Sold (MLS) $118,000 MLSRV
- 2001-04-18 Listed $119,950 MLSRV
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,541 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…