85 E Johnson St · Fond du Lac, WI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment opportunity close to downtown Fond Du Lac! This 2065 sq ft duplex features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on each level! Tenants are responsible for heat, electric and water, keeping expenses low for the owner. Home has washer & dryer hookups! Brand new 2025 furnace recently installed. Property offers 4 off- street parking spaces and is within walking distance to Main St. A solid rental property in a convenient location- perfect to add to your portfolio! Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Off street parking
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1904
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (1.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.6% in Fond du Lac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#170 in WI, #4,627 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime D.
- Fond Du Lac School District (urban): math 34% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #255 of 342 in WI (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Fond du Lac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fond du Lac County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $90k; list at $170k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.20%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,532
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -16.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-10,531
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.88×
- Total profit
- $41,846
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54935
- Rents YoY
- 11.2%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,681 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$238 /mo · $2,860/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $127
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $170,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $170,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $170,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Great investment opportunity close to downtown Fond Du Lac! This 2065 sq ft duplex features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on each level! Tenants are responsible for heat, electric and water, keeping expenses low for the owner. Home has washer & dryer hookups! Brand new 2025 furnace recently installed. Property offers 4 off- street parking spaces and is within walking distance to Main St. A solid rental property in a convenient location- perfect to add to your portfolio! Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-10-09price $175,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Great investment opportunity close to downtown Fond Du Lac! This 2065 sq ft duplex features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on each level! Tenants are responsible for heat, electric and water, keeping expenses low for the owner. Home has washer & dryer hookups! Brand new 2025 furnace recently installed. Property offers 4 off- street parking spaces and is within walking distance to Main St. A solid rental property in a convenient location- perfect to add to your portfolio! Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-08-24$180,000 Active 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Great investment opportunity close to downtown Fond Du Lac! This 2065 sq ft duplex features 2 bedrooms and 1 bath on each level! Tenants are responsible for heat, electric and water, keeping expenses low for the owner. Home has washer & dryer hookups! Brand new 2025 furnace recently installed. Property offers 4 off- street parking spaces and is within walking distance to Main St. A solid rental property in a convenient location- perfect to add to your portfolio! Schedule your showing today!
-
2001-04-03soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,860 · $238/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,003 · $250/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$2,860
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,614
- − Management
- −$1,614
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,237
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,822/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fond Du Lac School District
- NCES district ID
- 5504680
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,125
- Composite
- 28.31/100
- National rank
- #6786
- State rank
- #255 of 342 in WI
Livability — Fond du Lac
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #4627
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fond du Lac, WI
- County
- Fond du Lac County · 41,613 people
- City population
- 41,613
- Metro
- Fond du Lac, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,613
- Household income
- $63,144
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1157.0
Population outlook (Fond du Lac County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,433 people
- By 2030
- 101,594 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 98,503 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 95,039 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 90,551 · -11.6%
- By 2100
- 87,819 · -14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fond du Lac
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.7) · D 35.1% · R 63.8% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.7pp toward R · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: -28.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.7 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.7 2012: R+15.0 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.76%
- Current HPI
- 205.5097
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.15%
- Metro
- Fond du Lac, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+88.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $170,000 RANW
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $175,000 RANW
- 2025-08-24 Listed $180,000 RANW
- 2001-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,860 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…