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6654 St Francis Ave
D+ Composite 49.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

6654 St Francis Ave · Brownfields, LA 70811
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1955 10,454 sqft lot Est $171k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming, highly maintained second-generation owned home with three bedrooms and one bath features a spacious kitchen/dining room with many cabinets for storage and a window for a view of the well-manicured partially fenced backyard. Desirable amenities include a security/fire alarm system, a new roof installed in June 2024; a new HVAC installed in June 2023; a 12 x 16 workshop/shed with an extended covering for a boat, lawn equipment, or outdoor ATV "toys"; a 10 x 24 open concrete patio; and a custom made iron bar-b-que pit that remains. The property is in a Flood Zone X and has never flooded. The neighborhood is home to the newly constructed Brownfields Elementary School. Hurry over to see for yourself what a great place this one will be to call HOME!

Key facts

  • New hvac
  • Workshop shed
  • New roof

Tags

SPACIOUS KITCHEN DINING ROOMWELL MANICURED BACKYARDSECURITY FIRE ALARM SYSTEMNEW ROOFNEW HVACWORKSHOP SHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($736/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.2% in Brownfields — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#271 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Belfair Montessori School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #251 of 646 statewide, top 41%, 264 students, 69% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Baton Rouge Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,931 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.88%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,520
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6654 St Francis Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,030 (+2%) 1mo $139,900 $136 97
6836 Yorkdale Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,124 (+11%) 5mo $189,000 $168 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-18,803
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-11,510
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70811

Home prices YoY
-30.8%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,179 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $940/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,102
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $101 +0% $61 +5% $22 +10% $-18
Rent -10% $-32 -5% $15 +0% $61 +5% $108 +10% $155
Rate -1.0pp $132 -0.5pp $97 base $61 +0.5pp $25 +1.0pp $-12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5610 Rickover Dr Baton Rouge, LA 2.0 2.0 1080 $875 $0.81 16d 1 0.86mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-21
    status Pending 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    This charming, highly maintained second-generation owned home with three bedrooms and one bath features a spacious kitchen/dining room with many cabinets for storage and a window for a view of the well-manicured partially fenced backyard. Desirable amenities include a security/fire alarm system, a new roof installed in June 2024; a new HVAC installed in June 2023; a 12 x 16 workshop/shed with an extended covering for a boat, lawn equipment, or outdoor ATV "toys"; a 10 x 24 open concrete patio; and a custom made iron bar-b-que pit that remains. The property is in a Flood Zone X and has never flooded. The neighborhood is home to the newly constructed Brownfields Elementary School. Hurry over to see for yourself what a great place this one will be to call HOME!

  2. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    This charming, highly maintained second-generation owned home with three bedrooms and one bath features a spacious kitchen/dining room with many cabinets for storage and a window for a view of the well-manicured partially fenced backyard. Desirable amenities include a security/fire alarm system, a new roof installed in June 2024; a new HVAC installed in June 2023; a 12 x 16 workshop/shed with an extended covering for a boat, lawn equipment, or outdoor ATV "toys"; a 10 x 24 open concrete patio; and a custom made iron bar-b-que pit that remains. The property is in a Flood Zone X and has never flooded. The neighborhood is home to the newly constructed Brownfields Elementary School. Hurry over to see for yourself what a great place this one will be to call HOME!

  3. 2026-04-18
    listed $139,900 Active 778-char remark
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    This charming, highly maintained second-generation owned home with three bedrooms and one bath features a spacious kitchen/dining room with many cabinets for storage and a window for a view of the well-manicured partially fenced backyard. Desirable amenities include a security/fire alarm system, a new roof installed in June 2024; a new HVAC installed in June 2023; a 12 x 16 workshop/shed with an extended covering for a boat, lawn equipment, or outdoor ATV "toys"; a 10 x 24 open concrete patio; and a custom made iron bar-b-que pit that remains. The property is in a Flood Zone X and has never flooded. The neighborhood is home to the newly constructed Brownfields Elementary School. Hurry over to see for yourself what a great place this one will be to call HOME!

  4. 2026-04-18
    listed $139,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (778 chars)

    This charming, highly maintained second-generation owned home with three bedrooms and one bath features a spacious kitchen/dining room with many cabinets for storage and a window for a view of the well-manicured partially fenced backyard. Desirable amenities include a security/fire alarm system, a new roof installed in June 2024; a new HVAC installed in June 2023; a 12 x 16 workshop/shed with an extended covering for a boat, lawn equipment, or outdoor ATV "toys"; a 10 x 24 open concrete patio; and a custom made iron bar-b-que pit that remains. The property is in a Flood Zone X and has never flooded. The neighborhood is home to the newly constructed Brownfields Elementary School. Hurry over to see for yourself what a great place this one will be to call HOME!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$940 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$940 · $78/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,152
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$940
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,132
− Management
−$1,132
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$398
After-tax cash flow
$1,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Baton Rouge Parish
NCES district ID
2200540
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$46,263
Composite
24.14/100
National rank
#7745
State rank
#47 of 98 in LA

Livability — Brownfields

Score
59/100
State rank
#271
US rank
#19734

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brownfields, LA
County
East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,154
Household income
$45,523
Rent vs Own
35.3% rent · 64.7% own
Severe rent burden
444.0

Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
464,810 people
By 2030
472,137 · +1.6%
By 2040
480,243 · +3.3%
By 2050
484,422 · +4.2%
By 2075
492,069 · +5.9%
By 2100
476,347 · +2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge

2024 margin
D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.98%
Current HPI
146.22
Rent YoY
Metro
Baton Rouge, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $139,900 GBRMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listed $139,900 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+32.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $940 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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