1410 N Dogwood St · Owasso, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$197,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 3 Bedroom Home in Quiet Cul-de-Sac. This home offers a large living room with a formal dining area (or optional second living space) plus a versatile flex room. The Master Bedroom features a walk-in closet, and the property comes with a new roof, gutters, and a fully fenced backyard. Located in a wonderful neighborhood, just minutes and walking distance from schools, shopping, parks and Highway 169.
Key facts
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Walk-in closet
- Versatile flex room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Sidewalks; Gutters (community feature)
Exterior
- Parking:
- Security: Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built according to public records
- Exterior features: Covered patio and porch; Patio; Porch; Rain gutters; Full privacy fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with breakfast nook; Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet (first level); Two additional bedrooms without attached baths (first level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full hall bathroom (first level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Storm doors; Laminate counters; Ceiling fans; Gas range and oven connections
- Laundry & utility: Inside utility room (first level); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $197k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.8% in Owasso — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#5 in OK, #2,368 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Owasso (suburban): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #25 of 270 in OK (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 495 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $166k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.41%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 409 E 19th St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+2%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $132 | 79 |
| 107 W 18th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,665 (+4%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $99 | 76 |
| 8513 N 102nd EastAvenue | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (-0%) | 3mo | $248,000 | $156 | 72 |
| 211 W 17th St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-10%) | 1mo | $232,900 | $161 | 65 |
| 2304 N Dogwood St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $155 | 63 |
| 8515 N 102nd EastAvenue | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,704 (+6%) | 2mo | $247,500 | $145 | 62 |
| 306 E 17th St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,369 (-14%) | 3mo | $187,000 | $137 | 58 |
| 10103 E 85th Ct | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (-8%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $170 | 58 |
| 212 W 17th St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,384 (-14%) | 5mo | $222,500 | $161 | 56 |
| 12022 E 85th St N | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (-4%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $153 | 54 |
| 10906 E 95th St N | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,788 (+12%) | 3mo | $268,000 | $150 | 43 |
| 11408 E 93rd Pl N | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,813 (+13%) | 2mo | $336,846 | $186 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-21,049
- Equity at exit
- $29,373
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,921
- Equity at exit
- $17,033
Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74055
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 495
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,897 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,033
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $314 | -5% $259 | +0% $203 | +5% $147 | +10% $91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $128 | +0% $203 | +5% $278 | +10% $353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $302 | -0.5pp $253 | base $203 | +0.5pp $152 | +1.0pp $100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,250
- Closing costs
- $5,910
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11521 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 9306 N 114th East Ave Owasso, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1813 | $2,350 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 12003 E 85th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,595 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8220 N 116th East Ave Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 11506 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 11502 E 94th Pl N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 8751 N 97th East Ave Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 2d | 47 | 0.79mi |
| 108 N Atlanta St Unit C Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,795 | $1.20 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 103 N Atlanta St Unit B Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11413 E 99th St N Owasso, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $1,750 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 9803 E 96th St N Owasso, OK | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 951 | $2,092 | $2.20 | 2d | 8 | 1.15mi |
| 12700 E 100th St N Owasso, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,825 | $1.79 | 2d | 8 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-04price $197,000
-
2026-03-27$205,000 Active
-
2026-03-26historical
-
2026-02-06price $205,000
-
2025-12-11price $210,000
-
2025-11-20price $215,000
-
2025-11-13price $220,000
-
2025-10-01$225,000 Active
-
2023-10-30soldstatus $166,000
-
2007-03-30soldstatus $81,000
-
2004-11-05historical
-
2004-05-06$92,500
-
2003-01-28historical
-
2002-07-30$89,900
-
1986-07-21soldstatus $37,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,759
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,035
- − Property taxes
- −$2,162
- − Insurance
- −$985
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,821
- − Management
- −$1,821
- − Depreciation
- −$5,731
- Taxable loss
- −$796
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$191
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Owasso
- NCES district ID
- 4023280
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,759
- Composite
- 32.24/100
- National rank
- #5771
- State rank
- #25 of 270 in OK
Livability — Owasso
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2368
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Owasso, OK
- County
- Tulsa County · 640,811 people
- City population
- 51,381
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,381
- Household income
- $87,506
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1001.0
Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 723,846 people
- By 2030
- 766,033 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 851,386 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 938,389 · +29.6%
- By 2075
- 1,166,011 · +61.1%
- By 2100
- 1,350,277 · +86.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Native American 6% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.44%
- Current HPI
- 207.781
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+425.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $197,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-27 Listed $205,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-06 Price Changed $205,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-11 Price Changed $210,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $215,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $220,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-01 Listed $225,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2023-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $166,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2004-11-05 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2004-05-06 Listed $92,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-01-28 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2002-07-30 Listed $89,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 1986-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,162 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…