8105 268th St Unit 228A · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well maintained corner unit on first floor. Spacious combination living/dining room. Eat in kitchen, windows on two sides. Easy parking and access to public transportation, highways, shopping and restaurants. Renting allowed after 2 years.
Key facts
- Access to highways
- Eat in kitchen
- Easy parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; One story; Entry level: 1
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 rooms total (includes first-floor bedroom)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with soaking tub; Storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-120/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (0.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: 200 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.15%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-48,401
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-42,809
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11040
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,568 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$369 /mo · $4,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $194 | -5% $92 | +0% $-10 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-214 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-213 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-10 | +5% $91 | +10% $193 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $139 | -0.5pp $65 | base $-10 | +0.5pp $-86 | +1.0pp $-164 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260-51 73rd Ave Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 518 | $2,200 | $4.25 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 318 Jericho Tpke Unit 1R Floral Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,900 | $3.80 | 18d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 322 Jericho Tpke Floral Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,800 | $4.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 102 Jericho Tpke Unit 3C New Hyde Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 685 | $2,000 | $2.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 402 Jericho Tpke Unit 1 New Hyde Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $2,850 | $4.63 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 36 Lakeville Rd New Hyde Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $3,500 | $5.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 610 Jericho Tpke New Hyde Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,900 | $5.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 76-37 Commonwealth Blvd Unit 2 Jamaica, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 641 | $2,200 | $3.43 | 26d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 77 S Tyson Ave Floral Park, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $3,095 | $3.83 | 0d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 145 Tulip Ave Floral Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,600 | $4.33 | 0d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 248-15 89th Ave Unit 2nd Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $295,000 Pending 88 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $295,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $295,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $295,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-04-16price $295,000
-
2026-04-01price $305,000
-
2026-02-26$315,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$4,425
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,465
- − Management
- −$2,465
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$5,121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,109/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,344
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 44% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Russian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Chinese 8% Other Asian/Pacific 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -747.29%
- Current HPI
- 308.3913
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-6.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $295,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $305,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $315,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…