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1266 Burnham Ave
D Composite 42.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.4/30.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1266 Burnham Ave · Calumet City, IL 60409
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1964 5,222 sqft lot Est $148k · 25% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid Brick home/ roof 10 years/ Furnace 3 years/ Centra air 1993/ newer vinyl eaves/ Newer front and side doors/ newer garage door and opener/ newer Anderson window in front/ new cleanout/ Electric updated / washer and dryer and stove newer/ Large 2 1/2 car garage with side drive/ Home needs cosmetics/ Sold AS IS Conventional or Cash/ Cal City inspection Sept 5 , Buyer to accept CC Inspection/Buyer to check school districts/ Seller is selling AS IS, Initial line 484/ Seller only entertaining Conventional or cash offers/ Cal City Point of Sale Inspection in documents with buyer form to accept / Previous buyer backed out 5 days before closing,

Key facts

  • Side drive
  • 5,222 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

SOLID BRICK RESIDENTIALHIGHLY FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANEXPANSIVE DETACHED GARAGESIDE DRIVECALUMET CITY LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (owned), concrete surface; Two garage spaces (two total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 49.5 x 105.5; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Eating area/table space
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level with full bath access; Bedroom 2 on the main level (9 x 14); Bedroom 3 on the main level (10 x 9)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Eating area in the kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#330 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215 (suburban): math 9% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #563 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $185k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $167,371 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.86%
Cash-on-cash
5.59%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,963
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1263 Mackinaw Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,102 (-4%) 1mo $175,900 $160 88
1382 Burnham Ave 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,147 (0%) 1mo $105,000 $92 86
910 163rd St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,160 (+1%) 1mo $150,000 $129 76
1216 Balmoral Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,177 (+3%) 1mo $135,000 $115 74
1394 Forest Pl 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,147 (0%) 2mo $81,000 $71 74
1261 Balmoral Ave 0.38mi 3/1.5 1,055 (-8%) 2mo $172,000 $163 67
1374 Kenilworth Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,111 (-3%) 0mo $138,000 $124 63
116 163rd St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,125 (-2%) 1mo $61,500 $55 62
1269 Arthur St 0.32mi 3/1.5 999 (-13%) 2mo $168,000 $168 62
43 162nd Pl 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,135 (-1%) 0mo $159,000 $140 60
211 Waltham St 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,101 (-4%) 1mo $150,000 $136 58
19 Schrum Rd 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,062 (-7%) 3mo $109,000 $103 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-9,209
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$35,488
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60409

Home prices YoY
-27.6%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,674 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $406/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $293 +0% $241 +5% $189 +10% $-84
Rent -10% $109 -5% $175 +0% $241 +5% $307 +10% $373
Rate -1.0pp $334 -0.5pp $288 base $241 +0.5pp $193 +1.0pp $144

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1312 Gordon Ave Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1134 $1,600 $1.41 8d 1 0.22mi
1338 Wentworth Ave Unit 1338 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,430 $1.79 25d 1 0.53mi
1539 Wentworth Ave Unit 3W Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 13d 1 0.84mi
34 Elizabeth St Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 1246 $2,400 $1.93 2d 1 0.84mi
3 Waltham St Hammond, IN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,095 $0.91 25d 1 0.96mi
5 Ruth St Unit 2W Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 13d 1 0.99mi
3 Ruth St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 25d 1 0.99mi
115 157th St Unit 3 Calumet City, IL 3.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 25d 1 1.04mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 17d 1 1.14mi
407 Kenwood St Hammond, IN 2.0 1.0 920 $1,495 $1.62 25d 1 1.14mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 3d 1 1.32mi
3069 Bernice Rd Apt 2N Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 950 $1,535 $1.62 21d 1 1.32mi
3023 Bernice Rd Apt 2S Lansing, IL 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 2d 1 1.32mi
3649 173rd Ct Lansing, IL 2.0 2.0 972 $1,357 $1.40 25d 1 1.45mi
323 Memorial Dr Unit 2 Calumet City, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    remarks 683-char remark
  10. 2026-06-04
    listed $185,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$406 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,303 · $192/mo
Expected delta
+$1,897/yr (+$158/mo · 466.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,085
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$406
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,607
− Management
−$1,607
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$205
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$49
After-tax cash flow
$2,943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Fractional Twp Hsd 215
NCES district ID
1738940
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$48,207
Composite
10.27/100
National rank
#9793
State rank
#563 of 620 in IL

Livability — Calumet City

Score
71/100
State rank
#330
US rank
#6552

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calumet City, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
35,100
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
35,100
Household income
$55,369
Rent vs Own
44.3% rent · 55.7% own
Severe rent burden
2415.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% Hispanic / Latino 15% White 7% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.01%
Current HPI
197.2137
Rent YoY
▲ 6.17%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+428.6% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $185,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-22 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-14 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-26 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-03 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-26 Listed $109,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 1984-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $406 · +264.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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