3434 Blanding Blvd #215 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.62%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated condo in a gated community with pool access! This spacious unit features LVP flooring throughout, a bright family room with plenty of windows, and a screened patio perfect for relaxing. The kitchen offers newer stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, 42'' cabinets with crown molding, and a stylish tile backsplash. Both bedrooms are generously sized, each with their own bath. Conveniently located and move-in ready.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Screened patio
- Pool access
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $434; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: Electricity connected
- Home design: Condominium; 2 stories; Entry on level 2; Residential use
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-687/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (10.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grasp Academy (math 18% / reading 14%, grade F, #2,130 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 271 students, 52% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Edward H. White High School (math 31% / reading 25%, grade F, #464 of 667 statewide, top 70%, 1,538 students, 64% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.45%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-20,789
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-26,574
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32210
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 441
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,423 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,176/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$434
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1 | -5% $-29 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-170 | -5% $-113 | +0% $-57 | +5% $-1 | +10% $55 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-7 | -0.5pp $-32 | base $-57 | +0.5pp $-83 | +1.0pp $-109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3434 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,695 | $1.54 | 4d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 6066 Wilson Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1097 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $1,412 | $1.36 | 4d | 39 | 0.64mi |
| 5215 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 9d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5214 Lexington Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $745 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2039 Niblick Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $1,275 | $1.51 | 4d | 10 | 0.71mi |
| 5615 San Juan Ave #208 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,200 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 4375 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1125 | $1,288 | $1.14 | 4d | 22 | 0.79mi |
| 5821 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $1,165 | $1.10 | 5d | 7 | 0.83mi |
| 4455 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1045 | $1,339 | $1.28 | 3d | 19 | 0.91mi |
| 5139 Camille Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,625 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6349 Kimberly Ln Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,095 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4343 Ortega Farms Cir Unit A Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,950 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4776 Cardinal Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,550 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6511 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 740 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6715 Cotton Tail Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6595 San Juan Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $1,250 | $1.48 | 21d | 4 | 1.20mi |
| 6746 Jack Horner Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 4844 Merrimac Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,325 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6809 Miss Muffet Ln S Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $1,475 | $1.35 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4608 Wheeler Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $2,000 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 6863 Jack Horner Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 9d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4503 Anvers Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $1,595 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5985 Windsor Forest Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,099 | $1.22 | 9d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5985 Windsor Forest Dr Unit 23 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 5985 Windsor Forest Dr Unit 15 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 9d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4586 Park St Rm 2 Jacksonville, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $700 | $0.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $434 · $5,208/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-04-14price $99,999
-
2026-04-01$109,000 Active
-
2026-01-23status Pending 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated condo in a gated community with pool access! This spacious unit features LVP flooring throughout, a bright family room with plenty of windows, and a screened patio perfect for relaxing. The kitchen offers newer stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, 42'' cabinets with crown molding, and a stylish tile backsplash. Both bedrooms are generously sized, each with their own bath. Conveniently located and move-in ready.
-
2026-01-23historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated condo in a gated community with pool access! This spacious unit features LVP flooring throughout, a bright family room with plenty of windows, and a screened patio perfect for relaxing. The kitchen offers newer stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, 42'' cabinets with crown molding, and a stylish tile backsplash. Both bedrooms are generously sized, each with their own bath. Conveniently located and move-in ready.
-
2025-11-22price $109,000 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated condo in a gated community with pool access! This spacious unit features LVP flooring throughout, a bright family room with plenty of windows, and a screened patio perfect for relaxing. The kitchen offers newer stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, 42'' cabinets with crown molding, and a stylish tile backsplash. Both bedrooms are generously sized, each with their own bath. Conveniently located and move-in ready.
-
2025-09-25$122,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated condo in a gated community with pool access! This spacious unit features LVP flooring throughout, a bright family room with plenty of windows, and a screened patio perfect for relaxing. The kitchen offers newer stainless steel appliances, granite countertops, 42'' cabinets with crown molding, and a stylish tile backsplash. Both bedrooms are generously sized, each with their own bath. Conveniently located and move-in ready.
-
2024-08-16soldstatus $133,500
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2024-08-01soldstatus $133,500 Closed 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Lovely 2nd floor condominium in a gated community, with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, new laminate flooring, beautiful kitchen with granite countertops, and a huge screened porch overlooking a park-like green! Neighborhood pool and dock! Convenient to everything! You don't want to miss this! Seller will pay 6 months of condo fees with a full price offer!
-
2024-06-29status Pending 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Lovely 2nd floor condominium in a gated community, with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, new laminate flooring, beautiful kitchen with granite countertops, and a huge screened porch overlooking a park-like green! Neighborhood pool and dock! Convenient to everything! You don't want to miss this! Seller will pay 6 months of condo fees with a full price offer!
-
2024-04-17price $149,900 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Lovely 2nd floor condominium in a gated community, with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, new laminate flooring, beautiful kitchen with granite countertops, and a huge screened porch overlooking a park-like green! Neighborhood pool and dock! Convenient to everything! You don't want to miss this! Seller will pay 6 months of condo fees with a full price offer!
-
2024-03-22$159,900 Active 353-char remark
Show marketing remark (353 chars)
Lovely 2nd floor condominium in a gated community, with 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, new laminate flooring, beautiful kitchen with granite countertops, and a huge screened porch overlooking a park-like green! Neighborhood pool and dock! Convenient to everything! You don't want to miss this! Seller will pay 6 months of condo fees with a full price offer!
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2017-02-02soldstatus $59,000
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2017-01-31soldstatus $59,900 Sold
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2016-12-15status Pending
-
2016-12-04historical Active - Contingent
-
2016-11-28$64,900 Active
-
2013-09-05soldstatus $40,500
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2013-08-29soldstatus $40,500
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2013-04-23$40,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,176 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 62% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,601
- − Property taxes
- −$2,176
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,366
- − Management
- −$1,366
- − HOA
- −$5,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$2,050
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$492
- After-tax cash flow
- $-194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 65,729
- Household income
- $61,050
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3605.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -314.81%
- Current HPI
- 281.2688
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.11%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+146.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $99,999 realMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $109,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-23 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $109,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $122,000 realMLS
- 2024-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $133,500 Public Records
- 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $133,500 realMLS
- 2024-06-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $149,900 realMLS
- 2024-03-22 Listed $159,900 realMLS
- 2017-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $59,900 realMLS
- 2016-12-15 Pending — realMLS
- 2016-12-04 Contingent — realMLS
- 2016-11-28 Listed $64,900 realMLS
- 2013-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records
- 2013-08-29 Sold (MLS) $40,500 realMLS
- 2013-04-23 Listed $40,500 realMLS
Property tax history
+10.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,176 · +189.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…