221 Meridian Ave #309 · Miami Beach, FL 33139

$319,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 621 sqft · Condo public records · 14 Days on market

Built 1972 $624/mo HOA · 17% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.2/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +6.6/10.0
• DSCR +4.7/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Appreciation +3.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

This Exquisite TURN-KEY true 1/1 (Not a studio) is located a few steps away from the Beach, top restaurants, 5th Ave, Ocean drive and South Pointe Park. Very low maintenance, under $250. NO RENTAL RISTRICTIONS. NOT A CO-OP. Central A/C in the unit. One assigned covered parking space in a gated building. You can live in it, rent it, and use it as a vacation home. Recently updated, Tile/wood floors, updated kitchen and bathroom, Stainless steel appliances, Spacious balcony with tropical palm tree view. Huge master bedrooms with lots of natural light. Easy to show.

Key facts

• Low hoa fees
• Laundry area
• Private balcony

Tags

• CERAMIC TILE FLOORS
• PRIVATE BALCONY
• DEDICATED PARKING
• ELEVATOR
• LAUNDRY AREA
• LOW HOA FEES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: 2025 annual tax information available
• Financial info: Pets allowed
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $624 covering amenities

Exterior

• Parking: One covered parking space (garage)
• Security: Complex fenced; Secured elevator; Key card entry
• Utilities: Electric heating and cooling
• Home design: Attached property; Entry on level 3; Located on the 3rd floor; 10-story building
• Construction: Block construction; Resale property
• Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/patio

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Family/dining room; Handicap access; Other interior features

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $319k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-316 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (17.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $319k).
• Recommended offer: $263k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 1208 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,709/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 4052% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $263,235 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.49%
• DSCR: 1.07
• GRM: 7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.19% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-71,001
• Equity at exit: $59,234

10-year hold

• IRR: -24.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.31×
• Total profit: $-117,207
• Equity at exit: $48,050

Cash invested: $89,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33139

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.4%
• Active inventory: 1208
• Price-to-rent: 7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,709 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,673
• Tax from tax record: −$389 /mo · $4,673/yr
• Insurance: −$133
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$624
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$779
• Net cashflow: $-316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,109

Max offer price $263,235

Occupancy floor —

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $79,750
• Closing costs: $9,570
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15713 Fisher Island Dr #15713 Miami Beach, FL	2.0	1.5	670	$20,000	$29.85	24d	1	1.05mi
1602 Meridian Ave Miami Beach, FL	4.0	1.0–3.0	917	$6,932	$7.56	14d	1	1.19mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $624 · $7,488/yr
• Likely covers: security
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $319,000 Pending 14 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $319,000 Active 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $319,000 Active 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $319,000 Active 10 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   days on market $319,000 Active 7 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $319,000 Active 6 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $319,000 Active 5 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $319,000 Active 4 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $319,000 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-05-28
    listed $319,000 Active
11. 2026-03-31
    historical
12. 2025-07-21
    listed $360,000 Active
13. 2021-02-22
    soldstatus $299,000 Closed 570-char remark

    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    This Exquisite TURN-KEY true 1/1 (Not a studio) is located a few steps away from the Beach, top restaurants, 5th Ave, Ocean drive and South Pointe Park. Very low maintenance, under $250. NO RENTAL RISTRICTIONS. NOT A CO-OP. Central A/C in the unit. One assigned covered parking space in a gated building. You can live in it, rent it, and use it as a vacation home. Recently updated, Tile/wood floors, updated kitchen and bathroom, Stainless steel appliances, Spacious balcony with tropical palm tree view. Huge master bedrooms with lots of natural light. Easy to show.

14. 2021-01-28
    status Pending 570-char remark

    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    This Exquisite TURN-KEY true 1/1 (Not a studio) is located a few steps away from the Beach, top restaurants, 5th Ave, Ocean drive and South Pointe Park. Very low maintenance, under $250. NO RENTAL RISTRICTIONS. NOT A CO-OP. Central A/C in the unit. One assigned covered parking space in a gated building. You can live in it, rent it, and use it as a vacation home. Recently updated, Tile/wood floors, updated kitchen and bathroom, Stainless steel appliances, Spacious balcony with tropical palm tree view. Huge master bedrooms with lots of natural light. Easy to show.

15. 2020-10-28
    listed $299,000 Active 570-char remark

    Show marketing remark (570 chars)

    This Exquisite TURN-KEY true 1/1 (Not a studio) is located a few steps away from the Beach, top restaurants, 5th Ave, Ocean drive and South Pointe Park. Very low maintenance, under $250. NO RENTAL RISTRICTIONS. NOT A CO-OP. Central A/C in the unit. One assigned covered parking space in a gated building. You can live in it, rent it, and use it as a vacation home. Recently updated, Tile/wood floors, updated kitchen and bathroom, Stainless steel appliances, Spacious balcony with tropical palm tree view. Huge master bedrooms with lots of natural light. Easy to show.

16. 2020-06-23
    historical
17. 2020-05-07
    status Active
18. 2020-04-08
    historical Hold
19. 2020-02-24
    listed $312,000 Active
20. 1998-06-01
    soldstatus $53,000
21. 1973-02-01
    soldstatus $22,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,673 · $389/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,673 · $389/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥102°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $44,508
• − Mortgage interest: −$17,869
• − Property taxes: −$4,673
• − Insurance: −$6,714
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,561
• − Management: −$3,561
• − HOA: −$7,488
• − Depreciation: −$9,280
• Taxable loss: −$8,637
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,073
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,715/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Beach

• Score: 80/100
• State rank: #108
• US rank: #1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Miami Beach, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• City population: 90,533
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,753
• Household income: $69,793
• Rent vs Own: 62.8% rent · 37.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 4052.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 51% White 40% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 15% Salvadoran 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 56% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 37% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.19%
• Current HPI: 277.9321
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.36%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1317.8% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-28 Listed $319,000 MARMLS
• 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2025-07-21 Listed $360,000 MARMLS
• 2021-02-22 Sold (MLS) $299,000 MARMLS
• 2021-01-28 Pending — MARMLS
• 2020-10-28 Listed $299,000 MARMLS
• 2020-06-23 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2020-05-07 Relisted — MARMLS
• 2020-04-08 Delisted — MARMLS
• 2020-02-24 Listed $312,000 MARMLS
• 1998-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
• 1973-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,673 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.