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133 Emery Heights Rd
B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$44,000

133 Emery Heights Rd · Masontown, PA 15461
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,771 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1941 0.38 ac lot $25/sqft · 71% below area ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Your Blank Canvas Awaits! Calling all dreamers, DIY enthusiasts, and visionary homeowners! This home is ready for a complete transformation, featuring a generous, open floor plan, this property is the perfect "diamond in the rough" waiting for your personal touches. Imagine designing your dream kitchen and creating the showplace home you've always wanted!

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 55 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Resale property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.377 acres; Lot dimensions: 102 x 259 x 110 x 222

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom(s) on main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $435 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $44k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,115 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Albert Gallatin Area SD (rural): math 26% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #419 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($304 loan paydown + $731 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $42,680 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
18.15%
Cash-on-cash
42.35%
DSCR
2.88
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,157
List price
$44,000
Delta
-71.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

1.66% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.9%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$30,009
Equity at exit
$16,557
10-year hold
IRR
47.0%
Equity multiple
6.85×
Total profit
$72,092
Equity at exit
$23,245

Cash invested: $12,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15461

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,012 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$231
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,389/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$213
Net cashflow
$435

Break-even live

Break-even rent $462
Max offer price $44,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $460 -5% $447 +0% $435 +5% $422 +10% $410
Rent -10% $355 -5% $395 +0% $435 +5% $475 +10% $515
Rate -1.0pp $457 -0.5pp $446 base $435 +0.5pp $423 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$11,000
Closing costs
$1,320
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $44,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $44,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $44,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $44,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $44,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $44,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $44,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $44,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $44,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $44,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $44,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $44,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $44,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $44,000 Active 36 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $44,000 Active 367-char remark
  17. 2009-10-20
    soldstatus $65,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,389 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,389 · $116/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,146
− Mortgage interest
−$2,465
− Property taxes
−$1,389
− Insurance
−$220
− Repairs & maintenance
−$972
− Management
−$972
− Depreciation
−$1,280
Taxable income
$4,849
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,164
After-tax cash flow
$4,053/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Albert Gallatin Area SD
NCES district ID
4202100
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,456
Composite
29.8/100
National rank
#6422
State rank
#419 of 539 in PA

Livability — Masontown

Score
65/100
State rank
#1115
US rank
#12702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,624

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 11% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Romanian 7% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.66%
Current HPI
207.2041
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $44,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2009-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,389 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…