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715 N Carico St
B Composite 73.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,000

715 N Carico St · Carbondale, IL 62901
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1948 5,720 sqft lot Est $35k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Starter home or Investment property with Lots of Updates ready for you. Newer Roof, Windows, Front Door, LR and Front Bedroom subflooring and floor coverings. -

Key facts

  • 5,720 sq ft lot
  • Built 1948
  • Listed 181 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story main level
  • Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Vinyl siding with frame construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 143

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space in kitchen (approx. 12 x 12)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Bedroom dimensions approximately 10 x 10 and 9 x 10
  • Flooring: Other flooring throughout listed rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Egress window in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($664 rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.9% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
  • Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 202 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $28,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.68%
Cash-on-cash
40.68%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$34,944
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
605 N Carico St 0.10mi 2/1.0 (+1) 700 (+4%) 0mo $32,000 $46 83
712 N Carico 0.03mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (-2%) 22mo $15,000 $23 72
805 N James St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (+1) 698 (+4%) 8mo $27,500 $39 66
521 N Allyn St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+7%) 9mo $37,250 $52 62
521 N Allyn St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (+1) 720 (+7%) 9mo $37,250 $52 62
520 N Davis St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+14%) 8mo $85,000 $111 60
520 N Davis St 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+14%) 8mo $85,000 $111 60
602 N Michaels St 0.06mi 2/0.5 (+1) 576 (-14%) 15mo $7,000 $12 54
514 N Davis St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+14%) 16mo $60,000 $78 52
514 N Davis St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (+1) 768 (+14%) 16mo $60,000 $78 52
306 W Cherry St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (+1) 616 (-8%) 4mo $30,000 $49 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$15,196
Equity at exit
$4,771
10-year hold
IRR
46.0%
Equity multiple
5.75×
Total profit
$42,521
Equity at exit
$2,767

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62901

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$664 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax est. 1.5%
$40 /mo · $480/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$140
Net cashflow
$304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $280
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
516 S Rawlings St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 450 $625 $1.39 43d 5 0.78mi
600 W Mill St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 615 $750 $1.22 43d 2 0.92mi
405 E College St Carbondale, IL 1.0 1.0 351 $690 $1.96 43d 10 0.96mi
250 S Lewis Ln Carbondale, IL 3.0 1.0 622 $550 $0.88 43d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $32,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $32,000 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,000 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $32,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,000 Active 165 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,000 Active 164 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,000 Active 163 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $32,000 Active 162 DOM
  16. 2026-01-08
    status Active
  17. 2026-01-06
    historical
  18. 2026-01-05
    historical
  19. 2025-06-26
    listed Active
  20. 2012-09-17
    soldstatus $156,500
  21. 2012-09-12
    soldstatus $48,250 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Great Starter home or Investment property with Lots of Updates ready for you. Newer Roof, Windows, Front Door, LR and Front Bedroom subflooring and floor coverings. -

  22. 2012-09-12
    soldstatus $48,250 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Great Starter home or Investment property with Lots of Updates ready for you. Newer Roof, Windows, Front Door, LR and Front Bedroom subflooring and floor coverings. -

  23. 2012-07-20
    listed $58,900 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Great Starter home or Investment property with Lots of Updates ready for you. Newer Roof, Windows, Front Door, LR and Front Bedroom subflooring and floor coverings. -

  24. 2012-07-20
    listed $58,900 166-char remark
    Show marketing remark (166 chars)

    Great Starter home or Investment property with Lots of Updates ready for you. Newer Roof, Windows, Front Door, LR and Front Bedroom subflooring and floor coverings. -

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$7,973
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$480
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$638
− Management
−$638
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$3,334
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$800
After-tax cash flow
$2,845/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbondale Chsd 165
NCES district ID
1708370
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$22,075
Composite
23.92/100
National rank
#7787
State rank
#279 of 620 in IL

Livability — Carbondale

Score
70/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#7806

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Carbondale, IL
County
Jackson County · 22,946 people
City population
22,946
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
Population (ZIP)
22,946
Household income
$35,089
Rent vs Own
70.0% rent · 30.0% own
Severe rent burden
2038.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,093 people
By 2030
59,628 · +0.9%
By 2040
59,495 · +0.7%
By 2050
58,811 · -0.5%
By 2075
57,683 · -2.4%
By 2100
55,337 · -6.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Asian 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 4% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 47.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+10.3 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -75.62%
Current HPI
88.7209
Rent YoY
▲ 4.51%
Metro
Carbondale-Marion, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-26 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $156,500 Public Records
  • 2012-09-12 Sold (MLS) $48,250 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-09-12 Sold (MLS) $48,250 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-20 Listed $58,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-07-20 Listed $58,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,866 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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