Triplex
29867 N 1st · Barstow, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 11 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$550,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
These are very nice units in the growing city of Barstow. Barstow is located 30 miles north of Victorville in the Upper Desert. Barstow's future growth is estimated to double in the near future due to Barstow being the center of the Barstow International Gateway project. This plan includes a 5,000 acre rail & logistics hub led by BNSF Railway. This identified "BIG" facility is designed to streamline freight movement and position Barstow as a regional economic powerhouse. This includes a 9 MILLION SQUARE FOOT WAREHOUSE EMPLOYING 15,000+ NEW JOBS!! Please see details in documents attached. These units are located just north of Route 66 and central Barstow. Public & schoo
Key facts
- Tile flooring
- Located on 3.7 acres
- 3.7 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total of 7 rental units; Building area reported as 5,000 total; Gross scheduled income approximately $84,780; Net operating income approximately $65,506; Total operating expenses approximately $19,274 (including water/sewer and insurance); Gross rent roll examples: one 3-bedroom unit showing $1,025 actual rent; six 1-bedroom units showing $6,040 actual rent (unit counts and rents reported separately)
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water; One separate water meter; Eight separate gas meters; Eight separate electric meters
- Home design: Attached multi-unit property; Single-story buildings; Two buildings on the parcel; Property zoned/characterized as suburban
- Construction: Year built per assessor; Common walls (2+ shared walls)
- Exterior features: No pool
Interior
- Bedrooms: Units include 3-bedroom and 1-bedroom configurations (see unit breakdown)
- Bathrooms: Units feature full bathrooms
- Interior features: Ground-level entry
- Laundry & utility: No on-site laundry listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/2.3-bath units multifamily listed at $550k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $828 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $276/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $531k (3.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $531k (3.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.5% in Barstow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#444 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
- Barstow Unified (town): math 11% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #482 of 517 in CA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Skyline North Elementary (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,571 statewide, top 92%, 427 students, 72% FRL); Barstow Junior High (math 4% / reading 13%, grade F, #495 of 498 statewide, top 100%, 742 students, 80% FRL); Barstow High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #618 of 1,170 statewide, top 56%, 1,584 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,308/mo this rent would consume 103% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1305% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $550k implies a 224% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.45%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-40,211
- Equity at exit
- $82,007
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $17,492
- Equity at exit
- $47,554
Cash invested: $154,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92311
- Home prices YoY
- -30.6%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 25.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,308 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,884
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,028/yr
- Insurance
- −$229
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,115
- Net cashflow
- $828
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,139 | -5% $983 | +0% $828 | +5% $672 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $618 | +0% $828 | +5% $1,037 | +10% $1,247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,105 | -0.5pp $967 | base $828 | +0.5pp $685 | +1.0pp $540 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 2.3 | $5,307 |
| #1 | 3 | 2.3 | $1,769 |
| #2 | 3 | 2.3 | $1,769 |
| #3 | 3 | 2.3 | $1,769 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,308 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $137,500
- Closing costs
- $16,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $550,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $550,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $550,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $550,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $550,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $550,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-13$550,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,028 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,180 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,152/yr (+$96/mo · 38.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 11 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $63,696
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,809
- − Property taxes
- −$3,028
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,096
- − Management
- −$5,096
- − Depreciation
- −$16,000
- Taxable income
- $918
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$220
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,710/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barstow Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604020
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,505
- Composite
- 14.44/100
- National rank
- #9430
- State rank
- #482 of 517 in CA
Livability — Barstow
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #444
- US rank
- #15099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 33,954
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,954
- Household income
- $61,862
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1305.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 29% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 39% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 20% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -139.26%
- Current HPI
- 316.4858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+279.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $550,000 CRMLS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $699,000 CRMLS
- 2004-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 1991-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,028 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…